AC Horsens vs Lyngby Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
AC Horsens
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Lyngby
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Lyngby Win
@ 2.27(+7% edge)
Match Result
8.2/10Horsens Snatch Dramatic Late Winner to Edge Lyngby in Superliga Thriller
AC Horsens claimed a thrilling 2-1 victory over Lyngby at CASA Arena, with a last-gasp goal sealing the points in a fiercely contested Superliga encounter. Despite Lyngby dominating possession (58%) and firing 15 shots—seven on target—it was Horsens who struck first, capitalizing on an early chance in the 15th minute. Lyngby responded after the break, finally breaking through in the 66th minute to level the score and set up a tense finale. The visitors looked the more likely to find a winner as they pressed forward, but Horsens weathered the storm and, against the run of play, found a dramatic 90th-minute winner. The match was a physical affair, with Horsens picking up four yellow cards and Lyngby three, reflecting the intensity and stakes on display. Ultimately, Horsens' resilience and clinical finishing proved decisive, sending the home fans into raptures.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/0 hit
Key Moments
15' — Goal
Horsens open the scoring with a well-worked move, taking an early lead.
66' — Goal
Simon Colyn equalizes for Lyngby, finishing off a sustained period of pressure.
90' — Goal
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan scores a dramatic late winner for Horsens, sending the home crowd wild.
various' — Yellow Cards
A total of seven yellow cards are shown in a fiercely contested match (four to Horsens, three to Lyngby).
AC Horsens
Horsens showed tremendous grit and discipline, making the most of their limited possession (42%) and chances. Their defensive organization frustrated Lyngby for long stretches, and they were clinical when opportunities arose—scoring twice from just seven shots, four of which were on target. The late winner was a testament to their never-say-die attitude, as they absorbed pressure and struck at the perfect moment. While their aggressive approach resulted in a high foul count (17) and four yellow cards, Horsens' collective effort and tactical discipline underpinned a hard-fought victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Lyngby
Lyngby will rue their missed opportunities after dominating much of the play, enjoying 58% possession and registering 15 shots (seven on target). Their midfield quartet dictated the tempo and created numerous openings, but poor finishing and a lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. After equalizing in the 66th minute, Lyngby looked poised to push for victory, but lapses in concentration at the back allowed Horsens to steal all three points at the death. Despite their attacking intent and superior control, Lyngby were ultimately undone by their inability to convert chances and a momentary defensive lapse in stoppage time.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Horsens lined up in a 4-2-3-1, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their double pivot shielded the back four effectively, while the attacking trio supported Ehibhatiomhan on the break. Despite ceding possession, Horsens remained compact and disciplined, looking to exploit Lyngby on the counter. Lyngby opted for a 4-4-2, focusing on width and ball retention. Their midfield quartet controlled the tempo, frequently pushing fullbacks forward to overload the flanks. However, despite their territorial dominance and eight corners, they struggled to find space between Horsens' lines and were vulnerable to late surges as they committed men forward in search of a winner.
Turning Point
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan's 90th-minute goal, which snatched victory for Horsens just as Lyngby seemed to be pressing for a winner.
Man of the Match
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
Scored the decisive late winner and led the line with relentless energy, making the difference in a tight contest.
AC Horsens vs Lyngby: Match Preview
AC Horsens and Lyngby meet at Hybel Arena with both teams desperate for a first league win, sitting 12th and 11th respectively on just one point from three games. Horsens have struggled badly in attack, netting only twice across their opening fixtures and failing to score in three of their last five in all competitions. Lyngby’s defensive record is poor, but their attack has shown more promise with four goals in three league matches and a higher shot output.
Statistically, Lyngby’s offensive rates stand out: they average 1.6 goals and 11 shots per game over their last five, while Horsens muster just 0.4 goals and 4.4 shots. Horsens’ home record is unconvincing, with only one goal scored in two home matches and a 0% clean sheet rate. Lyngby’s away defence is vulnerable (2.5 goals conceded per away game), but Horsens’ low xG and shot numbers suggest limited ability to capitalise. Both teams tend to start slowly—just one first-half goal each in their last three league games—so the goal threat may increase after the interval.
The model expects a low-to-moderate scoring environment, with Lyngby’s superior attacking production likely to be decisive. Horsens’ lack of firepower and shot creation is a major concern, and while Lyngby concede frequently, their ability to generate chances should see them edge a tight contest. A 2-1 away win is the most probable outcome, with Lyngby’s attack the key differentiator.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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AC Horsens vs Lyngby Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind AC Horsens vs Lyngby that most previews miss.
- 1Lyngby average 11 shots and 3.6 shots on target per match over their last five, more than double Horsens’ 4.4 and 1.8.
- 2Horsens have failed to score in three of their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five.
- 3Despite their struggles, Horsens have lost just one of their last five home H2H meetings with Lyngby (three wins, one draw, one loss).
Who do you think wins: AC Horsens vs Lyngby?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: AC Horsens vs Lyngby(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Lyngby Win@ 2.27
Lyngby’s away scoring rate (1.0 goals per away game) and shot volume (11 shots per game last 5) contrast sharply with Horsens’ home struggles (0.5 goals per home game, zero clean sheets in three league matches). The model gives Lyngby a 47% win probability versus 44% implied by odds.
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More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This AC Horsens vs Lyngby Prediction
Both sides enter the fixture winless and anchored at the foot of the Superliga, but Lyngby’s superior attacking metrics and Horsens’ blunt offence tilt the balance towards the visitors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Lyngby average 1.6 goals scored and 11 shots per game over their last five matches, compared to Horsens’ 0.4 goals and 4.4 shots.
Defence
- →Horsens have failed to score in three of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in any competitive match this season.
- →Lyngby’s away defence is leaky (2.5 goals conceded per away game), but Horsens’ attack has not shown enough to exploit it.
🚩 AC Horsens vs Lyngby Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for AC Horsens and 5.8 for Lyngby, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How AC Horsens and Lyngby Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
AC Horsens vs Lyngby Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
AC Horsenslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Lyngbylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Horsens arrive on a five-match winless streak, having lost their last two league outings and scored just once in their last three. Lyngby’s form is also patchy, but they have shown more attacking intent, averaging 1.6 goals per game over their last five and drawing with Aarhus in their only home league fixture.
AC Horsens vs Lyngby — Last 3 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: AC Horsens vs Lyngby
The last ten meetings are narrowly in Horsens’ favour (five wins to Lyngby’s two), but recent results have swung towards the away side, with each of the last two matches won by the visitors. Low-scoring draws have also been common, with two 0-0s in the last five.
AC Horsens vs Lyngby Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
AC Horsens wins
3
Draws
2
Lyngby wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: AC Horsens vs Lyngby
Lyngby’s win odds (2.27, 44% implied) slightly underestimate the model’s 47% probability, offering a modest value edge. No value is found in the goal markets due to lack of available odds, but the away win stands out as the most efficient allocation of betting capital given the underlying rates.
Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: AC Horsens vs Lyngby
- ⚠️Small sample size for league form (three matches each) increases volatility in true team strength.
- ⚠️Both teams are coming off poor results and may adjust tactics for caution, lowering goal expectation.
- ⚠️No injuries reported, but lack of recent lineups adds uncertainty to selection and tactical approach.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
AC Horsens 1–2 LyngbyThe model projects a 2-1 win for Lyngby, primarily on the strength of their superior chance creation and Horsens’ anaemic attack (0.67 goals per game, zero clean sheets). The biggest risk is Lyngby’s own defensive frailty away from home, which could allow Horsens to overperform their usual scoring rate.
AC Horsens vs Lyngby: Common Questions
Who will win AC Horsens vs Lyngby?
The model gives Lyngby a 47% chance of victory, compared to 24% for Horsens and 29% for the draw. Lyngby’s stronger attack and higher shot volume are the key factors tipping the probabilities their way.
Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Lyngby?
Both teams to score is rated at 51%, reflecting Lyngby’s leaky defence (2.33 goals conceded per game) and Horsens’ struggles in attack (failed to score in three of last five), making this market finely balanced.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in AC Horsens vs Lyngby?
There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, driven by Lyngby’s high involvement in goal-heavy games (67% of their league matches over 2.5) and both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for AC Horsens vs Lyngby: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.