Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 3
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 3.1(+33% edge)
Match Result
8.3/10Al-Ettifaq Edge 3-2 Thriller as Nine-Man Al-Qadisiyah Fall Short in Dammam
Al-Ettifaq clinched a dramatic 3-2 victory over Al-Qadisiyah FC at the Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium in a match brimming with goals, cards, and momentum swings. Despite trailing early and facing a possession deficit (44% to 56%), the hosts showed resilience, overturning a first-half deficit and capitalizing on Al-Qadisiyah's disciplinary woes, with the visitors finishing the match with just nine men after two red cards. Al-Qadisiyah struck first in the 33rd minute, but Al-Ettifaq responded emphatically, leveling before halftime and taking the lead soon after the restart. A third goal in the 74th minute seemed to seal the win, but a late Al-Qadisiyah fightback in the 87th minute set up a tense finale. Ultimately, Al-Ettifaq's clinical edge and numerical advantage proved decisive in a pulsating Pro League encounter.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 3
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
33' — Goal
Julián Quiñones puts Al-Qadisiyah ahead after a well-worked move.
40' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq equalize, shifting momentum before halftime.
47' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq take the lead early in the second half, capitalizing on a fast start.
74' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq extend their lead to 3-1, seemingly putting the game out of reach.
87' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah pull one back to make it 3-2, setting up a tense finish.
Second Half' — Red Cards
Al-Qadisiyah reduced to nine men after two dismissals, severely hampering their comeback hopes.
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq showcased grit and opportunism, recovering from an early setback to claim all three points. Despite having less of the ball (44% possession), they made their chances count, converting 6 shots on target from 11 attempts into 3 goals. The midfield pairing of Álvaro Medrán and Ondrej Duda provided balance, while Moussa Dembélé led the line with menace. Defensively, Al-Ettifaq had to withstand periods of pressure, conceding 15 shots, but Marek Rodák's presence in goal and a disciplined back four held firm when it mattered. Discipline was a concern, with five yellow cards picked up, but the hosts managed to avoid a sending off and kept their composure during Al-Qadisiyah's late surge.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC began brightly, dictating play with 56% possession and creating more chances (15 shots, 5 on target) but were ultimately undone by lapses in discipline and defensive frailties. Their three-man backline, marshaled by Nacho Fernández, initially kept Al-Ettifaq at bay, but the midfield struggled to contain the hosts' counterattacks. Two red cards in the second half left them desperately short-handed, and though they pulled a goal back late, the numerical disadvantage proved too much to overcome. There were positives in attack, with Julián Quiñones and Mateo Retegui combining well, but the team will rue their inability to manage the game's emotional temperature.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Ettifaq lined up in a 4-2-3-1, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. Their double pivot shielded the defense and allowed the attacking midfield trio to exploit spaces behind Al-Qadisiyah's wingbacks. Moussa Dembélé's movement stretched the back three, creating openings for runners from deep. Al-Qadisiyah's 3-1-4-2 aimed to control possession and overload midfield zones, but their high defensive line was repeatedly exposed on the break. After the red cards, they were forced to drop deeper, ceding initiative and struggling to maintain their earlier pressing intensity. Set pieces also became a liability as they lost aerial presence with fewer men.
Turning Point
The second red card to Al-Qadisiyah in the second half, which left them with nine men and extinguished their late momentum.
Man of the Match
Moussa Dembélé
Led the line superbly, scored a vital goal, and was a constant threat to the Al-Qadisiyah defense.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 2.60
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 0-3 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 3.1
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Al-Qadisiyah FC 69%, Al-Ettifaq 58%). Al-Qadisiyah FC's attack is in great form (3.2 goals avg last 5), and recent H2H meetings have seen 4+ goals. Odds offer significant value.
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BTTS: Yes@ 3.7
Al-Qadisiyah FC have conceded in 4 of last 5, and Al-Ettifaq score at home (1.54 avg). BTTS has landed in 3 of Al-Ettifaq's last 5 and 4 of Al-Qadisiyah's last 5. Odds are generous.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC arrive in dominant form, boasting a potent attack (3.2 goals avg last 5) and strong away record (9W/1D/2L). Al-Ettifaq have struggled recently (1W in last 5), leaking goals (2.4 conceded avg last 5) and failing to score in 2 of those matches. H2H history and recent meeting (0-4 loss for Al-Ettifaq) further underline the away side's superiority. Expect Al-Qadisiyah FC to control the match and create plenty of chances, with Al-Ettifaq's home scoring threat offering hope for a competitive, open game.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: Al-Qadisiyah FC won 4 of last 5, including 4-0 last meeting
Attack
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC away: 9W/1D/2L, 2.42 goals scored per away game
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC's last 5: WWDWW, 3.2 goals scored avg, 1.2 conceded
- →Al-Ettifaq's last 5: LDLLW, 1.2 scored, 2.4 conceded
- →Al-Ettifaq home: 6W/5D/2L, 1.54 scored, 1.38 conceded per home game
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Both teams high over 2.5 rates (AQ 69%, AE 58%)
🚩 Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Al-Ettifaq and 6.8 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Al-Ettifaq and Al-Qadisiyah FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Ettifaqlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 68.97% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Ettifaq wins
1
Draws
5
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
Things to Watch: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- ⚠️Some underlying match stats missing for several recent Al-Ettifaq games, reducing precision of attack/defence estimates.
- ⚠️Al-Qadisiyah FC are away, and home underdog upsets are possible.
- ⚠️Al-Ettifaq's home record is resilient (only 2 losses in 13), so a draw risk exists.
- ⚠️Market odds reflect heavy away favoritism; late team news could shift value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.