Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Full Time
3 - 3
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Ettifaq
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.2/10Six-Goal Thriller: Al-Qadisiyah and Al-Ettifaq Share the Spoils in Dammam
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq delivered a pulsating 3-3 draw at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, with both sides trading blows in a match brimming with attacking intent and late drama. The hosts surged into an early two-goal lead with strikes in the 12th and 15th minutes, only for Al-Ettifaq to claw their way back, first halving the deficit before the half-hour mark and then drawing level midway through the second half. A late flurry saw Al-Qadisiyah retake the lead in the 81st minute, but Al-Ettifaq responded just four minutes later to ensure a share of the points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
12' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah open the scoring with an incisive attack.
15' — Goal
Hosts double their lead, capitalizing on early momentum.
26' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq pull one back, shifting the momentum.
64' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq equalize, completing their comeback from two down.
81' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah regain the lead with a late strike.
85' — Goal
Al-Ettifaq level the match again, denying the hosts victory.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah started with real purpose, exploiting their 3-5-2 formation to establish early control and a two-goal cushion. Their midfield pressed effectively and transitions were sharp, but defensive lapses allowed Al-Ettifaq back into the contest. Despite edging possession (51%) and registering 13 shots (3 on target), Al-Qadisiyah struggled to maintain their defensive discipline, conceding three times and picking up three yellow cards. Their late goal appeared to have sealed the win, but a lack of composure at the back cost them two points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq showed impressive resilience, coming from two goals down to salvage a draw on the road. Their 4-2-3-1 setup initially struggled to contain Al-Qadisiyah's midfield runners, but tactical adjustments and increased aggression (12 fouls, 5 yellow cards) helped them regain a foothold. With 12 shots (4 on target) and a balanced 49% possession, Al-Ettifaq's attacking unit, led by Yasir Shammari, found crucial goals at key moments, including the late equalizer that capped a spirited comeback.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah’s 3-5-2 formation allowed them to dominate the midfield early, pressing high and exploiting the flanks with wing-backs pushing forward. Their aggressive stance paid off with two quick goals, but as the match wore on, their back three became exposed, especially as Al-Ettifaq pushed more men forward. The visitors’ 4-2-3-1 setup initially struggled to cope with Al-Qadisiyah’s numbers in midfield, but tactical tweaks—likely involving more direct play and increased central presence—helped them wrestle back control. Al-Ettifaq’s willingness to commit fouls and disrupt play (12 fouls, 5 yellows) was instrumental in breaking Al-Qadisiyah’s rhythm. Set pieces and quick transitions were a recurring theme, with both sides looking dangerous when breaking at pace.
Turning Point
Al-Ettifaq’s equalizer in the 64th minute, which erased Al-Qadisiyah’s early advantage and set up a frantic finale.
Man of the Match
Yasir Shammari
Scored a crucial goal and was a constant threat, embodying Al-Ettifaq’s fighting spirit throughout the comeback.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq: Match Preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC approach this fixture in third place, buoyed by three wins from their opening four league matches and a recent run of two consecutive victories. Their attack is in rhythm, averaging 2.6 goals per game over the last five in all competitions, while their defence has allowed just 0.6 per match in that stretch. Al-Ettifaq, by contrast, sit ninth and have lost their last two league games, conceding six goals in the process, with their only away league outing a narrow 1-0 win at Al-Fateh.
Statistically, this is a clash of a high-output home attack against a leaky visiting defence. Al-Qadisiyah’s home matches see an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Al-Ettifaq’s overall defensive record is poor (2.0 GA/game) and their attack, while capable (1.75 GF/game), has failed to score in two of their last five. Both teams’ matches trend over 2.5 goals (Al-Qadisiyah 50%, Al-Ettifaq 75%), and their recent H2H record is littered with multi-goal affairs. Set-piece metrics are robust for both sides, with Al-Qadisiyah averaging 6 corners per match and Al-Ettifaq 5.2, suggesting attacking intent.
The model expects Al-Qadisiyah’s superior defensive numbers and home advantage to be decisive, projecting a 2-1 win. The likeliest scenario is an open game, with Al-Qadisiyah’s shot volume (13.4 per game) and Al-Ettifaq’s tendency to concede early (first-half goals in three of four league matches) pointing to a home lead at the break. However, Al-Ettifaq’s attack is not blunt, so BTTS remains a live possibility.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Qadisiyah’s last five matches have averaged 3.2 total goals, with only one clean sheet for either side.
- 2Al-Ettifaq’s matches have hit over 2.5 goals in 75% of league fixtures this season.
- 3The last five H2H meetings at this venue have produced 19 goals (3.8 per game).
Who do you think wins: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The 2-1 scoreline aligns with both sides’ season scoring/conceding rates (Al-Qadisiyah 2.0 GF, 0.75 GA; Al-Ettifaq 1.75 GF, 2.0 GA per game) and the model’s moderate goal expectation, while also matching the most frequent H2H margin.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in at least half their league matches this season (Al-Qadisiyah 50%, Al-Ettifaq 75%), and recent H2H history shows a strong bias toward high-scoring games.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah’s home defensive record (1.0 GA/game) and strong overall form (WWLWW) edge them ahead of an Al-Ettifaq side conceding 2.0 goals per match and coming off back-to-back losses.
Read more ↓
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction
This fixture pairs a high-performing Al-Qadisiyah side, currently third with three wins from four, against an Al-Ettifaq team whose defensive frailties have cost them in recent outings. Al-Qadisiyah’s attack is averaging 2.0 goals per league match and has generated 13.4 shots and 5.4 shots on target per game over the last five, while Al-Ettifaq are conceding 2.0 goals per game this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four league fixtures. The goal environment is supported by both sides’ season over 2.5 goal rates (Al-Qadisiyah 50%, Al-Ettifaq 75%) and a head-to-head history that has produced at least three goals in seven of the last ten meetings.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah average 2.0 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per league match.
- →Al-Ettifaq have conceded 8 goals in 4 league matches (2.0 per game) and lost their last two.
Match Context
- →Recent H2H: 7 of last 10 meetings produced over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.6 for Al-Ettifaq, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 58% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Ettifaqlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won four of their last five in all competitions, including two league victories and a 5-0 cup rout, conceding just three goals in that span. Al-Ettifaq’s form is more volatile, with two wins and three losses in their last five, and a concerning trend of back-to-back defeats with six goals conceded.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Dominant in possession — 55% avg
What History Says: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
The last ten meetings have favoured Al-Qadisiyah slightly (five wins to four), with goals flowing freely—seven matches over 2.5 goals and only one draw. Notably, Al-Qadisiyah’s last home game in this fixture ended 4-0 in their favour.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
2
Draws
4
Al-Ettifaq wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
With no bookmaker odds available, value analysis cannot be performed. However, the model’s probabilities suggest a slight edge on over 2.5 goals and the home win compared to typical market rates for similar statistical matchups.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected values cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for both teams’ home/away splits (Al-Ettifaq only one away league match).
- ⚠️Early season volatility may distort underlying rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-EttifaqThe model projects a 2-1 win for Al-Qadisiyah FC, anchored by their league-best defensive record (0.75 GA/game) against an Al-Ettifaq side conceding at twice that rate. The main risk is Al-Qadisiyah’s limited home sample and Al-Ettifaq’s ability to create chances even in defeat, which could see the visitors snatch a point if finishing variance swings their way.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
Al-Qadisiyah FC are favoured with a 45% win probability, compared to 24% for Al-Ettifaq and 31% for the draw. This is based on their stronger defensive record and recent form.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
The model estimates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams’ high season over 2.5 rates (Al-Qadisiyah 50%, Al-Ettifaq 75%) and a H2H trend towards high-scoring games.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 51%, with Al-Qadisiyah’s attack in form (2.6 goals/game last five) and Al-Ettifaq’s defence conceding 1.8 per match across their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.