Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Al-Hazm
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Hazm Win
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm: Match Preview
Al-Faisaly FC enter this fixture still searching for their first league win, sitting 16th after three rounds with just a single point and a concerning defensive record of seven goals conceded. Their home form has produced only one goal in two matches, while Al-Hazm have picked up three points from their opening three, including an away win at Abha and a narrow loss at Al-Ittihad. Both sides are in the lower half of the table, but Al-Hazm's slightly better away record and more consistent scoring provide a small edge.
Statistically, this matchup is shaped by defensive frailty on both sides. Al-Faisaly average 1.4 goals scored but 2.2 conceded per match over their last five, while Al-Hazm's last five show 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in the league, and Al-Hazm's away matches are averaging four total goals. The first half could be decisive, as Al-Hazm have netted five first-half goals in their last five outings, compared to Al-Faisaly's two, and both teams trend towards matches with both teams scoring.
Given these rates, the model expects a moderately open contest with a higher probability of over 2.5 goals (54%) and both teams finding the net (56%). Al-Hazm's away attack and Al-Faisaly's defensive issues suggest the visitors are more likely to edge it, with a projected 2-1 scoreline reflecting the current distribution of goals for and against on both sides.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Hazm have scored in both away league matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game on the road.
- 2Al-Faisaly have seen both teams score in four of their last five competitive fixtures.
- 3Across the last ten H2H meetings, the away side has won four of the last six, with five matches finishing 1-0 either way.
Who do you think wins: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Hazm Win
Al-Hazm's away scoring rate (2.0 per game) and overall stronger defensive record (1.67 conceded per match vs Al-Faisaly's 2.33) tilt the probabilities in their favour, despite the absence of a clear odds edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are conceding at least 1.67 goals per game and Al-Hazm's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in two of three league outings, suggesting a slightly higher goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Al-Faisaly have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league, supporting a BTTS-leaning outcome.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides with defensive vulnerabilities and moderate attacking output, suggesting a competitive contest with a slight edge to the visitors based on away scoring rates and recent form. Al-Faisaly's home record is winless, and their concession rate (2.33 per game) is among the league's worst, while Al-Hazm have shown more resilience away from home and a sharper attack. The statistical shape points to a match with goals at both ends, but Al-Hazm's ability to create chances on the road may prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al-Hazm average 2.0 goals scored per away league match, with four goals in two away games.
Defence
- →Al-Faisaly have failed to win in their opening three league matches, conceding 7 goals (2.33 per game).
- →Both teams have a 0% clean sheet rate so far this league season.
🚩 Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Al-Faisaly FC and 3.8 for Al-Hazm, for an expected total of 7.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 32% · Over 10.5: 13%.
How Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Hazm Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Faisaly FClast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Faisaly FC have struggled to find momentum, failing to win in their opening three league fixtures and conceding seven goals. Their last five show only one win (in a friendly), and their home attack has been muted. Al-Hazm, by contrast, have won two of their last five in all competitions and have shown more attacking intent, especially away from home, but have also dropped their last two league matches.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm
The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with both teams winning four of the last ten and two draws. Notably, the away side has often had the upper hand recently, winning four of the last six, and five of the last ten meetings have ended 1-0. This suggests a tendency for tight, low-margin games.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Faisaly FC wins
2
Draws
4
Al-Hazm wins
Things to Watch: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm
- ⚠️Early-season sample sizes are small, increasing variance in attack/defence rates.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Recent H2H results have alternated between both sides with no clear dominance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Faisaly FC 1–2 Al-HazmThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Al-Hazm, primarily on the strength of their away scoring rate (2.0 per game) and Al-Faisaly's defensive record (2.33 conceded per match). The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Al-Faisaly's attack, which has underperformed at home so far, manages to capitalise on Al-Hazm's own defensive lapses and turns the match into a higher-scoring draw.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm?
Al-Hazm are modelled as 42% likely winners, with Al-Faisaly at 26% and the draw at 32%. The edge comes from Al-Hazm's stronger away scoring and Al-Faisaly's defensive struggles.
Will both teams score in Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm?
Both teams to score is rated at 56% probability. Al-Faisaly have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% chance by the model, with both teams conceding at least 1.67 goals per game and Al-Hazm's away matches averaging four goals so far.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.