Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Al-Faisaly FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC: Match Preview
Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC face off with both sides languishing near the foot of the Pro League table, separated by a single point and desperate for a result to ease relegation fears. Al-Fayha arrive with a run of five games without a win (DLLDD), while Al-Faisaly have also found victories elusive, picking up just one win in their last five (LDWLD). With both teams averaging less than a point per game, the stakes are clear: avoid defeat against a direct rival.
The statistical profile of this fixture is shaped by defensive frailty and erratic attacking output. Al-Fayha's home matches average 3.8 goals (8 for, 11 against in 5), while Al-Faisaly's away games see 3.5 per match (5 for, 9 against in 4). Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in at least 60% of their league fixtures, but neither keeps clean sheets—Al-Fayha at 18.2%, Al-Faisaly at 20%. Recent form backs this up: Al-Fayha have conceded 8 in their last 5, Al-Faisaly 10. BTTS has landed in 3 of Al-Fayha's last 5 and 4 of Al-Faisaly's last 5, pointing to vulnerabilities on both sides.
The model projects a tight contest, with a draw the most probable outcome and 1-1 the likeliest scoreline. Both teams' inability to convert chances consistently tempers the goal expectation, but defensive errors on either side could still swing the match. The most plausible scenario is a nervy, high-stakes game where neither side is able to assert dominance, and the points are shared.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Fayha have taken an average of just 2.6 shots on target per match over their last five, despite averaging 9 total shots.
- 2Al-Faisaly's away games have produced an average of 3.5 total goals, but they've failed to win any of their four on the road (0W, 2D, 2L).
- 3Both teams have kept just one clean sheet in their last five matches, with BTTS hitting in 7 of their combined last 10.
Who do you think wins: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average just over a goal scored per game (Al-Fayha 1.09, Al-Faisaly 1.1) and concede at a high rate (1.73 and 2.0 per game respectively), but their attacking output is inconsistent and both have drawn over a third of their matches. Stalemate is the statistical mode.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Al-Fayha's last 5 and 4 of Al-Faisaly's last 5, with clean sheet rates below 21% for both over the season. Defensive frailties on both sides point to goals at each end.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides locked in the lower reaches of the Pro League, with Al-Fayha 14th and Al-Faisaly FC 15th, separated by a single point. Both teams have found wins hard to come by—Al-Fayha with just one victory from 11, Al-Faisaly with one from 10—and both are on streaks defined more by draws and narrow defeats than momentum. The relegation battle is already shaping their campaigns, with neither able to afford a slip against a direct rival. Statistically, the matchup is defined by porous defences and modest attacks. Al-Fayha's home record (8 scored, 11 conceded in 5) mirrors Al-Faisaly's away numbers (5 scored, 9 conceded in 4), and both average over 1.7 goals conceded per game across the season. Recent games reinforce this: Al-Fayha have shipped 8 in their last 5, Al-Faisaly 10 in the same span. Both sides' BTTS and over 2.5 rates (Al-Fayha 63.6% over 2.5, Al-Faisaly 60%) suggest a match with chances, but neither attack is clinical—Al-Fayha have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, Al-Faisaly in 1. Model rates point to a high draw probability, with 1-1 the modal outcome. The most likely deviations come from defensive lapses rather than attacking brilliance: both teams are more likely to concede than to keep a clean sheet, but neither has the firepower to run away with the game. Expect a contest shaped by caution and the fear of defeat, but with enough defensive errors to keep the scoreline moving.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Al-Fayha average 1.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game; Al-Faisaly 1.1 scored, 2.0 conceded.
- →Season clean sheet rates are low: Al-Fayha 18.2%, Al-Faisaly 20%.
Match Context
- →Both teams have drawn at least 40% of their league matches (Al-Fayha 5/11, Al-Faisaly 4/10).
🚩 Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Al-Fayha and 4 for Al-Faisaly FC, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Faisaly FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Fayha come into this match winless in their last five (DLLDD), conceding eight and scoring just five. Al-Faisaly FC have fared little better, with a single win in their last five (LDWLD) and 10 goals conceded. Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets and are trending towards draws rather than victories.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four of the last eight encounters, with three draws and only one win for Al-Fayha. The last three meetings have produced two draws and one narrow win, suggesting a closely contested fixture is likely.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
1
Al-Fayha wins
3
Draws
4
Al-Faisaly FC wins
Things to Watch: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value estimation is limited.
- ⚠️Both teams' attacking output is inconsistent, raising variance in low-scoring scenarios.
- ⚠️Recent H2H meetings are dated and may not reflect current squads or tactical setups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Faisaly FCThe model points to a 1-1 draw as the most probable outcome, driven by both sides' low win rates, high draw percentages, and consistent defensive frailty (clean sheet rates below 21%). The main risk to this call is either side capitalising on the other's defensive errors to edge a narrow win, but neither attack has shown the consistency to inspire confidence in a high-scoring or one-sided result.
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
The probabilities are nearly even, with Al-Fayha at 31%, Al-Faisaly FC at 32%, and the draw at 37%. Both teams have drawn at least 40% of their league matches, making a stalemate the most likely result.
Will both teams score in Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
There's a 59% probability for both teams to score, supported by low clean sheet rates (Al-Fayha 18.2%, Al-Faisaly 20%) and BTTS landing in 7 of their combined last 10 matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
Model probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, with both teams' league matches exceeding that line in at least 60% of cases this season. Defensive frailty on both sides tilts the balance slightly towards a higher-scoring game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.