Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Predictions

Pro LeaguePro League ยท Saudi-Arabia
high confidence
Al-Hazm

Al-Hazm

Full Time

2 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Al-Fayha

Al-Fayha

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 11 Apr 2026 at 19:05 GMT+3 (venue time) ยท 16:05 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass

Win Probability (1X2)

Al-Hazm 25%Draw 34%Al-Fayha 41%

Best Value Pick

Double Chance: Draw or Al-Fayha

Match Result

7.2/10

Al-Hazm Strike Late to Seal 2-0 Win Over Wasteful Al-Fayha

Al-Hazm clinched a vital 2-0 victory over Al-Fayha at the Al-Hazem Club Stadium, capitalizing on clinical finishing and resolute defending. The hosts struck early in the 8th minute to seize the initiative and, despite Al-Fayha's sustained pressure and superior possession, held firm before sealing the result with a stoppage-time goal. Al-Fayha controlled the ball for much of the contest, enjoying 54% possession and racking up 10 corners, but struggled to convert their dominance into clear-cut chances. Al-Hazm, in contrast, were efficient in front of goal, hitting the target seven times from 16 attempts and making the most of their opportunities to secure all three points.

๐Ÿ’€ AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

1 - 2

โšก

Actual

2 - 0

โŒResult
โŒBTTS
โŒO/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results0/1 hit

double_chance โ€” X2
โ“
over_under_2_5 โ€” over
โŒ

Key Moments

8' โ€” Goal

N. Al Habashi pounced early to give Al-Hazm a 1-0 lead.

45' โ€” Yellow Card

Al-Hazm pick up their second yellow as the game grows tense before halftime.

60' โ€” Corner

Al-Fayha's 7th corner signals their attacking intent, but the chance is wasted.

75' โ€” Yellow Card

Al-Fayha's frustration shows with a booking for dissent.

90' โ€” Goal

Al-Hazm seal the win with a stoppage-time goal, ending Al-Fayha's hopes.

Al-Hazm

Al-Hazm

7.8/10

Al-Hazm executed their game plan effectively, striking early and absorbing pressure for long spells. Their 4-3-3 formation provided a solid defensive foundation, with the midfield trio working tirelessly to disrupt Al-Fayha's rhythm. Despite conceding more possession, Al-Hazm looked dangerous on the break and were clinical when chances arose, scoring in the 8th and 90th minutes. Defensively disciplined and sharp in transition, Al-Hazm also showed composure under pressure, even as they picked up four yellow cards. Their ability to withstand Al-Fayha's attacking waves and strike at crucial moments proved decisive.

Key Players

N. Al Habashi: Opened the scoring in the 8th minute, setting the tone for Al-Hazm's performance.
F. Martins: Anchored the midfield, breaking up play and initiating counter-attacks.
M. Al Ghamdi: Kept a clean sheet with several key interventions.

Strengths

Clinical finishingDefensive organizationEffective counter-attacks

Weaknesses

Conceded possession for long periodsAccumulated yellow cards (4)
Al-Fayha

Al-Fayha

6.5/10

Al-Fayha started brightly and dictated much of the play, boasting 54% possession and forcing 10 corners. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed for fluid ball movement and territorial dominance, yet they struggled to penetrate Al-Hazm's defensive block. Despite registering 15 shots, only three found the target, highlighting their lack of cutting edge in the final third. Frustration mounted as chances went begging and defensive lapses proved costly, particularly in the dying moments. Two yellow cards and 13 fouls underscored their growing impatience as the match slipped away.

Key Players

Y. Benzia: Orchestrated play from midfield, attempting to unlock Al-Hazm's defense.
S. Ganvoula: Led the line and was involved in several attacking moves, but lacked finishing touch.
C. Smalling: Marshaled the defense, but could not prevent the late second goal.

Strengths

Dominated possessionCreated numerous set-piece opportunities (10 corners)

Weaknesses

Inefficient finishing (3 shots on target from 15)Struggled to break down a compact defense

Tactical Analysis

Al-Hazm deployed a disciplined 4-3-3, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. Their midfield trio shielded the back four effectively, while the front three pressed selectively and exploited spaces on the break. The hosts were content to concede possession, relying on defensive solidity and moments of attacking quality. Al-Fayha's 4-2-3-1 emphasized ball retention and width, with full-backs pushing forward and midfielders rotating to create overloads. However, their lack of incisiveness in the final third and inability to convert set pieces into goals ultimately undermined their approach. Substitutions aimed to inject fresh legs and attacking impetus, but Al-Hazm's defensive structure held firm.

Turning Point

The late second goal in stoppage time extinguished any hope of an Al-Fayha comeback, sealing the result for Al-Hazm.

Man of the Match

N. Al Habashi

Scored the crucial opening goal and was a constant threat in attack.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Al-Hazm1.25

Expected goals ยท model says 1.25

Al-Fayha1.55

Expected goals ยท model says 1.55

Win Probability
Al-Hazm 31% Draw 25% Al-Fayha 44%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
25%
34%
41%
Al-Hazm 25%Draw 34%Al-Fayha 41%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
52%
48%
Over 9.5 52%Under 9.5 48%

Who do you think wins: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Prediction

This is a mid-table clash between two inconsistent sides, with Al-Fayha traveling to Al-Hazm. Both teams have leaky defenses, but Al-Fayha's slightly better attack and defensive solidity away from home make them narrow favorites. Al-Hazm's home form is patchy, and their low clean sheet rate suggests they'll concede. Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends, but Al-Fayha's edge in quality and recent results tips the balance in their favor.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Recent H2H meetings have been close, but Al-Fayha are unbeaten in the last two.

Defence

  • โ†’Al-Hazm have the league's lowest clean sheet rate (7.41%).
  • โ†’Both teams average over 1 goal scored per game but concede heavily.

Injuries & Team News

  • โ†’No significant injuries for either side.

Match Context

  • โ†’Al-Fayha have a better away record (4W, 1D, 9L) than Al-Hazm's home record (5W, 2D, 6L).
  • โ†’Both sides' over 2.5 goal % is high: Al-Hazm 62.96%, Al-Fayha 55.56%.
  • โ†’Al-Fayha are 2 points and 2 places ahead in the table.

๐Ÿšฉ Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.8expected total corners
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Al-Hazm and 5.2 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% ยท Over 10.5: 39%.

How Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Al-HazmAl-Hazmlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Al-FayhaAl-Fayhalast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha โ€” Last 10 Matches

Al-HazmAl-HazmLast 10 results
W2-0
L0-1
W2-1
L1-2
W3-1
D1-1
L0-4
W2-1
L0-2
D1-1
Wvs Al-Fayha2-0
L@ Al-Ittihad FC0-1
Wvs Al Kholood2-1
L@ Al Khaleej Saihat1-2
Wvs Al-Ettifaq3-1
Dvs Al-Ittihad FC1-1
L@ Al-Nassr0-4
Wvs Al Okhdood2-1
L@ Al-Ahli Jeddah0-2
D@ Al-Fateh1-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
Al-FayhaAl-FayhaLast 10 results
L0-2
D1-1
L0-1
W1-0
W5-0
L1-3
D1-1
W3-2
L1-2
W3-0
L@ Al-Hazm0-2
Dvs Al-Ahli Jeddah1-1
L@ NEOM0-1
Wvs Al-Ettifaq1-0
W@ Al Okhdood5-0
Lvs Al-Nassr1-3
Dvs NEOM1-1
W@ Al Taawon3-2
L@ Al-Ittihad FC1-2
Wvs Al Najma3-0

What History Says: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Al-Hazm wins

3

Draws

3

Al-Fayha wins

40%30% draws30%
11 Apr 26Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha2-0
25 Dec 25Al-Fayha vs Al-Hazm0-0
17 Feb 24Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha1-3
25 Aug 23Al-Fayha vs Al-Hazm0-0
7 May 22Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha3-1
5 Nov 21Al-Fayha vs Al-Hazm1-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Al-Hazm Win1.8525.0%-29.1%
Drawvalue3.3034.0%+3.7%
Al-Fayha Win1.8541.0%-13.1%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value2.0056.0%+6.0%
Under 2.51.8044.0%-11.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue4.3354.0%+30.9%
No1.1846.0%-38.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.30EV +0.122
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 2.00EV +0.120
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 4.33EV +1.338

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
  • โš ๏ธSome recent match stats (shots, possession) missing for Al-Fayha, reducing confidence in attack/defense calibration.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams' form is inconsistent, increasing result variance.
  • โš ๏ธH2H history is mixed, with several draws.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 6 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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