Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Al-Fayha
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Match Result
8/10Late Drama as Al-Hazm Snatch Draw Against Al-Fayha in Four-Goal Thriller
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha played out a pulsating 2-2 draw at the Al Hazm Club Stadium, with the hosts salvaging a point thanks to a dramatic late equalizer. The match ebbed and flowed, with both sides enjoying spells of dominance, but ultimately neither could find the decisive winner in a contest marked by attacking intent and resilient defending. Al-Hazm struck early through Afimico Pululu, but Al-Fayha responded with goals on either side of halftime, first from Jason and then F. Sakala, to turn the game on its head. Just as it seemed Al-Fayha would take all three points, Al-Hazm rallied and found a late breakthrough in the 89th minute to secure a share of the spoils. Both teams matched each other in possession and corners, reflecting the even nature of the contest.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
Afimico Pululu gives Al-Hazm an early lead with a composed finish.
33' — Goal
Jason equalizes for Al-Fayha, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
69' — Goal
F. Sakala puts Al-Fayha ahead, completing the turnaround.
89' — Goal
Al-Hazm score a dramatic late equalizer to rescue a point.
various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up a yellow card each in a competitive midfield battle.
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm started brightly, taking the lead inside five minutes and looking the more threatening side early on. They registered 14 shots with 7 on target, showing attacking ambition throughout. However, lapses at the back allowed Al-Fayha to overturn the deficit, and the hosts had to dig deep to rescue a point late on. Their midfield worked hard to match Al-Fayha's possession, and the late equalizer was testament to their resilience. Despite conceding twice, Al-Hazm's ability to keep pressing and create chances, especially in the dying moments, ensured they avoided defeat in front of their home fans.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha responded well to falling behind, gradually asserting themselves with 51% possession and matching Al-Hazm's 7 corners. Their attacking duo of Jason and F. Sakala delivered when it mattered, scoring in the 33rd and 69th minutes to put the visitors ahead. Al-Fayha looked poised for victory, but a late defensive lapse cost them two points. Their midfield quartet provided balance and energy, but the inability to close out the game after taking the lead will be a source of frustration for the visitors.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Hazm lined up in a 4-2-3-1, seeking to control the midfield and utilize the creativity of A. Sayoud and S. Bendebka behind Pululu. Their approach paid dividends early, but as Al-Fayha settled, the visitors’ 4-4-2 provided greater width and attacking options, with Jason and Sakala stretching the Al-Hazm defense. Both teams pressed high in phases, but also left spaces in behind, leading to an open, end-to-end contest. The tactical battle in midfield was fierce, with both sides enjoying spells of possession and using the flanks to create chances. Set pieces were evenly matched, with each team earning 7 corners, but neither could capitalize decisively from dead-ball situations. Substitutions were used to inject fresh legs, but did not alter the formations significantly.
Turning Point
The 89th-minute equalizer for Al-Hazm, which snatched a point and denied Al-Fayha victory after they had taken the lead.
Man of the Match
Afimico Pululu
Set the tone with an early goal and remained a constant threat throughout, pivotal in Al-Hazm's attacking play.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha: Match Preview
Al-Hazm enter this fixture sitting 10th in the table on nine points, with a form line of DLWDD and just one defeat in their last five. Their home record is steady if unspectacular (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, 3-3 goal difference), and they have kept two clean sheets in their last five. Al-Fayha, 13th with seven points, have drawn four of their last five and remain winless away from home, but have shown slightly more attacking punch recently (1.4 goals scored per game in their last five).
From a statistical perspective, both sides are built on similar foundations: each averages 1.0 goals for per game this season, with Al-Hazm conceding 1.25 and Al-Fayha 1.5. Al-Hazm's attack at home is blunt (0.75 goals per home game), while Al-Fayha's away attack is even less productive (0.5 goals per away game). Both teams' matches trend under 2.5 goals (Al-Hazm 37.5%, Al-Fayha 62.5% over), and neither side has a clear set-piece or discipline edge, with corners and cards both hovering around league average.
Given these numbers, the model expects a low-scoring, tightly-contested match, with the draw and under 2.5 goals both the most probable outcomes. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the sides' matching scoring and concession rates, and the high incidence of draws in both recent form and head-to-head meetings.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Hazm's home games average just 1.5 total goals per match (3 scored, 3 conceded in 4).
- 2Al-Fayha have failed to win in any of their last 8 away league games, drawing five.
- 3Four of the last six H2H meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, including two 0-0s.
Who do you think wins: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average exactly 1.0 goals for per game this season and have drawn three of their last five head-to-heads, with a 1-1 scoreline matching their recent attacking and defensive rates.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Al-Hazm's home matches average 1.5 goals per game (3 for, 3 against in 4 games), and Al-Fayha's away games average 1.5 as well (2 for, 4 against in 4), with both teams under 1.5 xG for and against per match.
Read more ↓
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, closely-matched contest between two sides with nearly identical season scoring rates and a shared tendency towards draws. Both Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha average just 1.0 goals for per game, and neither has shown a consistent ability to pull away from similar opposition, particularly at home or away respectively.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Three of the last five head-to-heads ended in draws, with two finishing 0-0.
Match Context
- →Both teams are averaging exactly 1.0 goals for per game and have negative goal differences.
- →Al-Hazm's home record (1W, 2D, 1L, 3-3 goals) and Al-Fayha's away record (0W, 2D, 2L, 2-4 goals) point to low event matches.
🚩 Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Al-Hazm and 4.5 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Hazm have lost just once in their last five (DLWDD), but have only managed a single win in that span, with their attack producing under a goal per game. Al-Fayha's recent form is similarly cautious, with four draws and a single win in their last five, and a slight uptick in goals scored but continued struggles to convert chances into wins away from home.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with Al-Hazm holding a narrow edge (4 wins to 3), but three of the last five meetings have ended level, including two goalless draws. The last meeting at this venue saw Al-Hazm win 2-0, but overall, draws and low-scoring games are a recurring theme.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Hazm wins
4
Draws
2
Al-Fayha wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
With no bookmaker odds available, model-based value assessment is not possible for this fixture. However, the highest model confidence lies in the draw and under 2.5 goals markets, both of which are supported by low scoring rates and a high draw incidence in both recent form and H2H data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Neither side has a major injury or suspension, but lineups are not confirmed for this match.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent form is steady but unremarkable, so small-sample variance could swing the result.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-FayhaThe model projects a 1-1 draw, underpinned by both teams' matching season-long scoring rates (1.0 for, 1.25–1.5 against) and the high frequency of draws in their recent head-to-heads. The most plausible way this outcome is upset is if either side capitalises on an early goal, forcing the other to open up and increasing the chance of a second-half winner.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
The model gives Al-Hazm a 36% chance of victory, Al-Fayha a 26% chance, and the draw a 38% chance. With both teams averaging just 1.0 goals for per game and a high draw rate in recent H2Hs, a draw is the most likely single outcome.
Will both teams score in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
There's a 54% probability that both teams score, reflecting that each side has averaged a goal per game and both have seen BTTS in three or more of their last five matches.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 56% probability, based on both teams' season averages (Al-Hazm home games 1.5 total goals, Al-Fayha away 1.5) and a strong trend for low-scoring H2H encounters.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.