Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Al Taawon
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Al Taawon
Match Result
7.3/10Late Double Lifts Al-Hazm to Vital Win Over Al Taawon
Al-Hazm produced a stirring late surge to claim a 2-0 victory over Al Taawon at Ar-Rass Stadium, thanks to goals in the 78th and 81st minutes. The hosts, set up in a 4-3-3, absorbed pressure for much of the match as Al Taawon enjoyed 58% possession and dictated the tempo. However, Al-Hazm's resilience paid off in the closing stages, capitalizing on their chances after a cagey opening hour. Despite firing 20 shots with 8 on target, Al-Hazm had to wait until the final quarter-hour to break the deadlock. Al Taawon, meanwhile, struggled to convert their territorial dominance into clear-cut opportunities, managing just 3 shots on target from 17 attempts. The result was sealed with a quickfire second goal, leaving the visitors stunned and unable to respond before the final whistle.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
78' — Goal
Omar Al Soma scores to give Al-Hazm the lead after sustained pressure.
81' — Goal
Elias Mokwana doubles Al-Hazm's advantage with a swift follow-up.
35' — Yellow Card
Aboubacar Bah (Al-Hazm) booked for a tactical foul in midfield.
52' — Yellow Card
Ashraf El Mahdioui (Al Taawon) shown yellow for dissent.
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm delivered a disciplined and patient performance, soaking up pressure and using their 4-3-3 formation to spring forward when opportunities arose. Though they had less of the ball (42% possession), they made their moments count, especially in the final stages. Their attacking trio proved decisive, while the midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Al Taawon's rhythm. Defensively, Al-Hazm were robust, limiting Al Taawon's threat in the box and keeping their composure even as the visitors pressed for an opener. Their ability to convert late chances into goals was a testament to their persistence and tactical discipline.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Taawon
Al Taawon controlled possession for large spells and looked comfortable in their 4-1-4-1 setup, but lacked incisiveness in the final third. Despite having 58% of the ball and 17 shots, they struggled to test the Al-Hazm goalkeeper, with only 3 efforts on target. Their midfield dictated play but failed to unlock a resolute Al-Hazm defense. As the match wore on, Al Taawon appeared vulnerable to quick transitions, and their inability to convert dominance into goals proved costly. The late goals conceded left them chasing the game, and they could not recover in the closing minutes.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Hazm's 4-3-3 formation prioritized defensive solidity and quick transitions, allowing them to absorb Al Taawon's pressure and strike late. Their use of width and set pieces (9 corners) kept the visitors on edge, while the midfield trio focused on breaking up play and launching counters. Al Taawon, in a 4-1-4-1, sought to dominate the ball and control the game's rhythm, but lacked a focal point in attack and struggled to penetrate Al-Hazm's compact lines. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half saw Al-Hazm push higher, leading to their late breakthrough. Al Taawon, meanwhile, failed to adapt after conceding, leaving them exposed to a second goal in quick succession.
Turning Point
Omar Al Soma's 78th-minute goal, which shifted momentum decisively in Al-Hazm's favor.
Man of the Match
Omar Al Soma
His late goal broke the deadlock and inspired Al-Hazm's crucial victory.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Al Taawon
Al Taawon have a much stronger away record, superior season performance, and have never lost to Al-Hazm in the last 9 H2H meetings. The model gives a high probability to X2, making it a solid selection even without odds.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a high season over 2.5 rate (Al-Hazm 62.5%, Al Taawon 56.25%) and recent games suggest goals at both ends. H2H history also shows frequent BTTS and overs.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 3 of Al-Hazm's last 5 and 4 of Al Taawon's last 5. H2H also trends toward BTTS, supporting this selection.
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The Case For This Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Prediction
Al-Hazm, solidly mid-table, welcome a higher-ranked Al Taawon side that has been inconsistent but remains dangerous, especially away from home. Al Taawon’s attacking output and away form give them the edge, while Al-Hazm’s defense has struggled, conceding nearly two goals per game at home. Expect a competitive game with a good chance of goals, but Al Taawon’s superior quality and H2H dominance make them favourites to take points.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al Taawon have won 8 of 16 away matches and have a +10 away goal difference.
Attack
- →Al Taawon’s attack averages 1.81 goals per match, vs Al-Hazm’s 1.13.
Defence
- →Al-Hazm have conceded 30 goals in 16 home games (1.88 per game).
Injuries & Team News
- →Neither side has significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →No Al-Hazm win in last 9 H2H (3 Al Taawon wins, 6 draws).
- →Both teams have a high over 2.5 goal rate this season.
🚩 Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Al-Hazm and 4.5 for Al Taawon, for an expected total of 10.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 72% · Over 10.5: 48%.
How Al-Hazm and Al Taawon Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Hazm are unbeaten in three (DLDWW), showing some resilience but also defensive vulnerability, conceding in four of their last five. Al Taawon have alternated wins and losses in their last five (LWLWL), with a potent attack but a leaky defense, highlighted by a recent 5-1 away win but also two home defeats.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
The head-to-head record strongly favours Al Taawon, who have never lost to Al-Hazm in recent history and have won the last two away fixtures at Al-Hazm. Draws are common, but Al Taawon’s attack has often found success in this matchup.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Al-Hazm wins
6
Draws
3
Al Taawon wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
With no odds available, the model cannot identify specific value edges. However, model probabilities indicate the strongest value would likely lie on Al Taawon double chance (X2) and over 2.5 goals, given the respective high probabilities and supportive trends in both team and H2H data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for several recent games, reducing precision.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown inconsistency in recent results, especially Al Taawon.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.