Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Al Taawon
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Al-Hazm Edge Al Taawon in Gritty 1-0 Home Victory
Al-Hazm claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Al Taawon at the Al-Hazem Club Stadium, thanks to an early goal that proved decisive in a match defined by contrasting styles and resolute defending. The hosts struck in just the 3rd minute, then dug deep to withstand sustained pressure from the visitors, who dominated the shot count but lacked the clinical edge to break through. Despite Al Taawon's 20 attempts and 9 corners, Al-Hazm’s disciplined backline, marshaled by Ibrahim Zaid in goal, held firm. The home side managed only 8 shots themselves but made their early breakthrough count, frustrating Al Taawon as the match wore on. Tactical tweaks and substitutions from both benches could not alter the outcome, as Al-Hazm’s defensive organization and midfield work rate secured all three points.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
Afimico Pululu scores for Al-Hazm, finishing a swift move to give the hosts an early lead.
28' — Yellow Card
Al-Hazm’s Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi cautioned for a tactical foul to halt a counter.
56' — Yellow Card
Al-Hazm’s Sultan Tanker booked for a late challenge as Al Taawon pressed forward.
62' — Yellow Card
Al Taawon’s O. Dorley shown a yellow for dissent after a missed chance.
70-90' — Sustained Pressure
Al Taawon pile on the pressure, forcing several saves from Ibrahim Zaid, but cannot find an equalizer.
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm started with intensity, capitalizing on an early chance to take the lead and then shifting focus to disciplined defense. With 57% possession, they controlled the tempo for stretches but were forced to absorb pressure for much of the match. Their midfield shielded the back four effectively, and the backline dealt well with Al Taawon's aerial threat from set pieces. Though chances were limited (8 shots, 4 on target), Al-Hazm’s ability to manage the game after scoring was impressive. They committed 15 fouls and picked up two yellow cards, reflecting their combative approach, but ultimately kept their composure under pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Taawon
Al Taawon were left to rue missed opportunities after dominating the shot count (20 total, 5 on target) and winning 9 corners. Despite trailing from the 3rd minute, they responded positively, pushing numbers forward and testing the Al-Hazm defense repeatedly. However, their inability to convert pressure into goals proved costly. Their 3-5-2 formation provided width and numbers in midfield, but the final ball and finishing touch were lacking. Defensively, they recovered well from the early setback and limited Al-Hazm’s chances, but the single lapse at the start ultimately defined their afternoon.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Hazm lined up in a 4-2-3-1, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. After their early goal, they dropped deeper, relying on their double pivot to shield the defense and break up Al Taawon's attacks. Their wide players tracked back diligently, and the fullbacks rarely ventured forward after the opener, prioritizing solidity. Al Taawon’s 3-5-2 offered width and midfield numbers, allowing them to control large spells of possession in the opposition half, especially after going behind. They utilized their wing-backs and targeted set pieces, but Al-Hazm’s defensive organization limited clear-cut chances. Substitutions aimed to inject more attacking impetus, but the hosts’ compact shape held firm.
Turning Point
Afimico Pululu’s 3rd-minute goal set the tone, forcing Al Taawon to chase the game and allowing Al-Hazm to dictate the defensive narrative.
Man of the Match
Ibrahim Zaid
Produced several crucial saves and commanded his area under relentless Al Taawon pressure to secure the clean sheet.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon: Match Preview
Al-Hazm approach this fixture sitting 10th in the table with four points from four matches, having managed just one win and one draw so far. Their home record is underwhelming, with only one goal scored in two games and no victories. Al Taawon, meanwhile, are winless and sit 15th, having failed to score in half of their league matches and conceding five times in two away trips. Both teams are in need of points but lack momentum, with Al-Hazm coming off a 1-1 draw and Al Taawon suffering a 2-1 defeat away to Al-Nassr.
The statistical matchup is defined by modest attacking output and relatively average defensive records. Al-Hazm average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while Al Taawon are even more blunt in attack at 0.75 goals per game. Both teams' matches have landed under 2.5 goals in half of their fixtures. Al Taawon do create chances (11.2 shots per game in the last five), but their conversion is poor, and their away defence has leaked five in two matches. Set-piece threat is limited, with corners per game below league average for Al-Hazm (2.2) and moderate for Al Taawon (5.2).
Given these numbers, the model expects a tight, low-scoring affair. Both teams' inability to sustain attacking pressure or keep clean sheets points towards a draw as the most likely outcome, with 1-1 the modal scoreline. The lack of a clear attacking edge on either side, combined with a strong historical trend towards stalemates, suggests this will be decided by a single moment or mistake rather than sustained quality.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon that most previews miss.
- 1Six of the last ten H2H meetings have finished level, including three 1-1 draws.
- 2Al Taawon have failed to score in both home league matches but have netted three in two away, suggesting a slight away improvement.
- 3Al-Hazm have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding 1.6 per game in that span.
Who do you think wins: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
This fixture features two teams with low attacking output (Al-Hazm 1.25, Al Taawon 0.75 goals per game) and high draw rates in their recent H2H (6 of last 10), making a 1-1 result the single most probable outcome.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in 50% of their league matches and are averaging a combined 2.0 goals per game this season, with Al Taawon failing to score in two of four league outings.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw
The draw probability (0.36) is marginally higher than either win outcome, supported by six draws in the last ten H2H meetings and both teams' lack of cutting edge in attack.
Read more ↓
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Prediction
Statistically, this is a low-scoring, evenly matched contest. Both teams are struggling to convert possession and shot volume into goals, and neither side has shown defensive dominance. With high draw rates in their recent meetings and season averages pointing to a tight affair, the model expects a cautious, attritional match with little to separate the two.
Key Factors at a Glance
Match Context
- →Al-Hazm average just 0.5 goals per home game this season.
- →Al Taawon have failed to win in four league matches and have not scored in two of them.
- →Six of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws.
🚩 Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Al-Hazm and 5.3 for Al Taawon, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How Al-Hazm and Al Taawon Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Hazm have collected four points from their opening four matches (W1 D1 L2), but their home form is a concern with just one goal in two games. Al Taawon remain winless, drawing twice and losing twice, and have struggled to find the net, particularly at home. Both sides are searching for stability and attacking fluency as they look to climb the table.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
This fixture has historically favoured the draw, with six of the last ten meetings ending level. Al-Hazm have only managed one win in that span, while Al Taawon have taken three. Scorelines have typically been tight, with three 1-1 draws and only one match in the last ten seeing more than three goals.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Al-Hazm wins
5
Draws
3
Al Taawon wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to calculate precise value edges. However, the model's draw probability (36%) is slightly higher than typical market baselines for this type of fixture, suggesting that if the draw is priced above 2.80, it could represent value. Similarly, under 2.5 goals is a modest favourite and would be worth considering if offered at odds above 1.80.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
- ⚠️Early-season data means small sample sizes for both teams' attacking and defensive rates.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries could shift the balance in a low-margin fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Hazm 1–1 Al TaawonA 1-1 draw is the most statistically supported outcome, driven by the combination of both teams' low scoring rates and a strong historical draw tendency in this fixture. The greatest risk to this prediction is a defensive lapse, as neither side has shown the ability to keep clean sheets with consistency.
Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
The model gives Al-Hazm a 36% chance of victory, Al Taawon a 28% chance, and the draw a 36% likelihood. Both teams' low attacking output and high historical draw rate make a stalemate the most probable result.
Will both teams score in Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
The probability for both teams to score is 48%, with both sides averaging less than 1.3 goals per game and Al Taawon failing to score in two of four league matches. The data leans slightly towards 'no', but it's close to a coin flip.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 57% probability, reflecting both teams' season averages (Al-Hazm 1.25, Al Taawon 0.75 goals scored per game) and the fact that half their matches have landed under this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.