Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Predictions
Pro League ยท Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Hazm
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.85(+27% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10En-Nesyri Strike Earns 10-Man Al-Ittihad Gritty Win Over Wasteful Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC edged past Al-Hazm 1-0 at King Abdullah Sports City, thanks to a decisive second-half goal from Youssef En-Nesyri. Despite being reduced to ten men, the home side held firm against a spirited Al-Hazm, who failed to convert their dominance in chances and corners into a result. The match saw Al-Hazm register more shots (19 to 13) and corners (9 to 5), but it was Al-Ittihad who found the breakthrough in the 72nd minute. The visitors pushed hard, especially after gaining a numerical advantage, but Al-Ittihad's defensive resilience and Predrag Rajkoviฤ's assured goalkeeping saw them over the line.
๐ AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
๐ฐ Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
72' โ Goal
Youssef En-Nesyri scores the decisive goal for Al-Ittihad.
Unknown' โ Red card
Al-Ittihad reduced to ten men, forced into a defensive stance.
Various' โ Al-Hazm pressure
Al-Hazm pile on shots and corners but fail to score.
Unknown' โ Yellow cards
Al-Hazm pick up two yellows as frustration grows.
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad started with a 4-4-1-1, seeking balance between solidity and attacking intent. They enjoyed a slight edge in possession (54%) and created enough chances, but the match turned when they went down to ten men. Their response was resolute, with the defensive line and goalkeeper Rajkoviฤ standing tall under pressure. En-Nesyri's clinical finish proved the difference, and the team showed impressive grit to see out the result.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm set up in a 4-3-3 and looked to take the initiative, especially in the second half. They outshot their hosts (19 shots, 6 on target) and forced 9 corners, but lacked composure in the final third. Despite their numerical advantage late on, they couldn't break down a determined Al-Ittihad defense and were ultimately left to rue missed opportunities.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Ittihad's 4-4-1-1 provided early balance, with Fabinho anchoring midfield and En-Nesyri supported by Bergwijn. The red card forced a tactical shift, with the home side dropping deeper and relying on swift transitions. Defensively, they narrowed space and relied on Rajkoviฤ's shot-stopping. Al-Hazm's 4-3-3 emphasized width and pressing, with Mokwana and Al-Habashi stretching the play. Their midfield trio dictated possession spells, but their final ball and finishing let them down. Set pieces were a frequent source of threat, but Al-Ittihad's organization blunted their impact.
Turning Point
En-Nesyri's 72nd-minute goal, coming against the run of play, shifted momentum and forced Al-Hazm to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Youssef En-Nesyri
Scored the match-winning goal and led the line tirelessly, especially after Al-Ittihad went down to ten men.
๐ฎ Prediction Playground
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Expected goals ยท model says 2.15
Expected goals ยท model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
2-0 ยท 1-0 ยท 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above โ every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.85
Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches. Al-Ittihad's defense has kept only 1 clean sheet in 5, and Al-Hazm have scored in 4 of 5. The odds imply just a 26% chance, but model probability is 53%.
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Match Result: Draw@ 5
Recent H2H meetings have included 4 draws in 9, and both teams have drawn 1 of their last 5. The odds slightly underestimate the draw probability.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction
Al-Ittihad FC host Al-Hazm in a match where the home side are clear favorites, but recent form suggests vulnerability. Al-Ittihad have lost their last two, but remain strong at home (8W, 0D, 4L). Al-Hazm, while inconsistent, have found the net regularly and have avoided defeat in 8 of 13 away games. Both teams have a high BTTS rate recently, and H2H history shows a tendency for close encounters. Expect Al-Ittihad to control possession and chances, but Al-Hazm's counter threat and set pieces could trouble the hosts.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โBoth teams have BTTS in 4 of last 5 matches.
- โRecent H2H: 4 draws in last 9, most matches competitive.
Defence
- โAl-Ittihad only 1 clean sheet in last 5.
- โAl-Hazm's defense: season worst clean sheet rate (7.69%).
Injuries & Team News
- โNo major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- โAl-Ittihad's home record: 8 wins in 12, no draws.
- โAl-Hazm's away record: 3 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses.
- โAl-Ittihad average 1.25 goals for, 0.92 against at home.
๐ฉ Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Al-Ittihad FC and 5.8 for Al-Hazm, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% ยท Over 10.5: 54%.
How Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm โ Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- โInconsistent โ 3+ losses in last 5
- โLeaky defence โ 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form โ 3+ wins in last 5
- +High-volume attack โ 14 shots/game
What History Says: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Al-Ittihad FC wins
4
Draws
1
Al-Hazm wins
Things to Watch: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
- โ ๏ธSome recent match stats (shots, possession) missing for Al-Hazm.
- โ ๏ธAl-Ittihad's recent form is poor (L2), raising volatility.
- โ ๏ธH2H sample size moderate (9), but historical trends may shift.
- โ ๏ธNo confirmed lineups; late injuries or rotations possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.