Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Hazm
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.5/10Al-Ittihad Edge Al-Hazm in Five-Goal Thriller at King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ittihad FC kicked off their Pro League campaign with a pulsating 3-2 victory over Al-Hazm at King Abdullah Sports City, overcoming an early deficit in a match brimming with attacking intent and momentum swings. Despite falling behind in the 18th minute, the hosts rallied with two quickfire goals before halftime and ultimately sealed the win with a late strike, while Al-Hazm's spirited response kept the contest alive until the final whistle. The match was a showcase of offensive ambition from both sides, with Al-Ittihad registering 14 shots (6 on target) and controlling 54% possession, while Al-Hazm proved clinical in transition, scoring twice from their 8 attempts. Both teams finished with three yellow cards apiece in a fiercely contested encounter, but it was Al-Ittihad's resilience and attacking depth that proved decisive.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
18' — Goal
Afimico Pululu finishes a swift counterattack to give Al-Hazm a shock lead.
34' — Goal
Al-Ittihad equalize, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
41' — Goal
Steven Bergwijn puts Al-Ittihad ahead with a composed finish.
59' — Goal
Al-Hazm level the score, punishing a defensive lapse from the hosts.
81' — Goal
Youssef En-Nesyri scores the winner for Al-Ittihad after a well-worked move.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Three players from each side booked in a fiercely contested match.
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC displayed impressive attacking fluidity in their 4-2-3-1 setup, responding well to adversity after conceding early. The midfield trio, led by Houssem Aouar and supported by the creative Steven Bergwijn, dictated the tempo and created numerous chances, reflected in their 14 shots and 54% possession. The defensive unit was occasionally exposed, particularly in transition, but ultimately did enough to secure the three points. The hosts' ability to turn the game around before halftime and find a late winner highlighted their mental strength and tactical flexibility. While their aggressive approach led to 21 fouls and three bookings, it also unsettled Al-Hazm and allowed Al-Ittihad to control key phases of the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm, lining up in a disciplined 4-1-4-1 formation, started brightly and stunned the hosts with an 18th-minute opener. Their midfield, marshaled by Bonheur Mugisha and Sofiane Bendebka, pressed effectively and capitalized on transitions, managing to score twice from limited opportunities. However, their defensive shape was tested by Al-Ittihad's relentless pressure, and they struggled to maintain control once the hosts found their rhythm. Despite being outshot and conceding more possession, Al-Hazm showed commendable fight, equalizing in the 59th minute to set up a tense final half-hour. Ultimately, their inability to contain Al-Ittihad's attacking threats in the closing stages proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Ittihad's 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and create overloads in midfield, with Houssem Aouar and Steven Bergwijn providing a creative spark behind Youssef En-Nesyri. The full-backs pushed high, stretching Al-Hazm's defensive line and creating space for the attacking midfielders. Al-Hazm's 4-1-4-1 was compact and focused on quick transitions, with Bonheur Mugisha shielding the defense and launching counters. However, their narrow shape was exploited by Al-Ittihad's width, especially in the second half. Both sides made tactical fouls to disrupt rhythm, resulting in a high card count.
Turning Point
Youssef En-Nesyri's 81st-minute goal, which restored Al-Ittihad's lead and ultimately secured the win.
Man of the Match
Steven Bergwijn
Provided a crucial goal, orchestrated attacks, and was the creative engine for Al-Ittihad throughout the match.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm: Match Preview
Al-Ittihad return to King Abdullah Sports City after a 1-1 home draw to open their league campaign, extending a run of five matches without a clean sheet but also without failing to score. Al-Hazm arrive on a three-match winning streak across all competitions, including a 2-1 away win at Abha in their league opener, and sit three places above Al-Ittihad in the early table. Both sides have shown attacking intent in August, with Al-Hazm averaging 1.8 goals over their last five and Al-Ittihad slightly higher at 2.2.
The statistical matchup points to a game with chances at both ends. Al-Ittihad’s last five matches have all seen both teams score, and their defence has conceded 1.8 per game in that span. Al-Hazm’s away record is boosted by their recent 2-1 win and a 3-2 cup victory, but they allow over a goal per game and have only one clean sheet in five. First-half goals are common for both (Al-Ittihad 7, Al-Hazm 6 in last five), and disciplinary data suggests a high card count (combined 2.4 yellow cards per game).
Model rates favour a narrow home win, with Al-Ittihad’s historical dominance in this fixture and their attacking output at home outweighing defensive concerns. The most likely scenario is both sides getting on the scoresheet, with Al-Ittihad’s edge in shot creation and H2H record tipping the balance. Expect a contest decided by attacking efficiency rather than defensive solidity.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Ittihad have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, with an average of 4.0 total goals per game in that span.
- 2Al-Hazm’s only away league match this season ended 2-1 in their favour, and they have scored in four of their last five competitive fixtures.
- 3In the last five H2H meetings in Jeddah, Al-Ittihad have won four times, but three of those saw both teams on the scoresheet.
Who do you think wins: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The 2-1 home win is the most probable single scoreline (18%), reflecting both sides’ recent attacking rates and Al-Ittihad’s strong historical home edge in this matchup.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average above 1.5 goals scored per match over their last five, with Al-Ittihad seeing BTTS in all of their last five games and Al-Hazm’s only league match finishing 2-1.
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BTTS: Yes
Al-Ittihad have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five and both teams have scored in five straight Al-Ittihad matches; Al-Hazm have scored in four of their last five.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction
Statistical rates suggest a moderately high-scoring contest, with Al-Ittihad’s home attack expected to edge Al-Hazm’s improving away output. Both sides have shown a tendency for early goals and defensive lapses, making the over and BTTS markets attractive. The historical head-to-head leans heavily to Al-Ittihad at home, but Al-Hazm’s recent away form and scoring rates suggest they can keep it competitive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al-Hazm have won three consecutive matches in all competitions, scoring 7 in their last 3.
Defence
- →Al-Ittihad average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match over their last five.
- →Al-Ittihad have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
🚩 Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Al-Ittihad FC and 3.8 for Al-Hazm, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.
How Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Ittihad’s recent form is mixed, with a five-match run featuring two wins, two draws, and a loss, but they have scored in every outing and conceded in all as well. Al-Hazm, by contrast, come in on a three-match winning streak, including a 2-1 league win away at Abha and a 3-2 cup victory, showing improved attacking output and momentum.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad have historically controlled this fixture at home, winning four of the last five meetings in Jeddah and losing just once to Al-Hazm in the last ten encounters. Draws have been frequent, but both teams have found the net in three of the last five at this venue, indicating a trend towards competitive, high-scoring games.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Al-Ittihad FC wins
3
Draws
1
Al-Hazm wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value analysis cannot be performed. Without market prices, the focus remains on the underlying rates and distribution of likely outcomes. Once odds are posted, the BTTS and over 2.5 goals markets should be monitored for potential value given the statistical edge in this matchup.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
- ⚠️Both teams have only played one league match this season, so season-long rates are not yet stable.
- ⚠️Some recent form is drawn from friendlies, which may not fully reflect competitive intensity.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value analysis; edge calculations are omitted.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-HazmThe model projects a 2-1 win for Al-Ittihad, driven by their consistent attacking output (2.2 goals per game in the last five) and a historical home advantage over Al-Hazm. The main risk is Al-Ittihad’s defensive vulnerability, with no clean sheets in five and Al-Hazm’s recent away scoring form, making a high-scoring draw a plausible alternative.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
Al-Ittihad are given a 46% probability to win, with the draw at 30% and Al-Hazm at 24%. The model leans towards a narrow home victory, supported by Al-Ittihad’s historical edge and recent scoring rates.
Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
There is a 59% chance of both teams scoring, reflecting Al-Ittihad’s run of five straight BTTS matches and Al-Hazm’s consistent away goalscoring form.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, with both teams averaging above 1.5 goals scored per match in their last five and defensive records that point to a high-scoring environment.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.