Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
Full Time
1 - 5
AI predicted 1 - 2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.2/10Al-Qadisiyah Run Riot in Jeddah with 5-1 Demolition of Al-Ittihad
Al-Qadisiyah FC delivered a statement performance at King Abdullah Sports City, thrashing Al-Ittihad FC 5-1 in a one-sided Pro League encounter. The visitors seized control from the outset, racing into an early lead and never looking back as they overwhelmed the hosts with clinical finishing and relentless attacking play. Despite a brief glimmer of hope for Al-Ittihad just before halftime, Al-Qadisiyah’s dominance was never in doubt as they piled on the goals in the second half. Al-Qadisiyah’s superiority was reflected in the statistics, enjoying 65% possession and firing 20 shots—six of them on target—compared to Al-Ittihad’s 13 attempts and just three on target. The visitors’ midfield orchestrated proceedings, carving open the home defence repeatedly, while Al-Ittihad struggled to cope both defensively and in transition. The result cements Al-Qadisiyah’s credentials as one of the league’s most dangerous attacking outfits.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 5
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
2' — Goal
Abdullah Al-Salem fires Al-Qadisiyah into an early lead, capitalising on a defensive lapse.
37' — Goal
Julián Quiñones doubles the advantage with a sharp finish.
37' — Goal
Quiñones strikes again moments later, making it 3-0 and putting the game beyond doubt.
42' — Goal
Youssef En-Nesyri pulls one back for Al-Ittihad, offering a glimmer of hope before halftime.
55' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah restore their three-goal cushion with a fourth, ending any comeback hopes.
64' — Goal
The visitors add a fifth, sealing a comprehensive victory.
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad endured a torrid evening, outclassed in almost every department by a rampant Al-Qadisiyah side. The hosts managed just 35% possession and were forced onto the back foot for long periods, with their three-man defence exposed by the visitors’ pace and movement. While they briefly rallied with a goal before the break, any hopes of a comeback were swiftly extinguished as Al-Qadisiyah continued to dominate after halftime. Despite flashes of attacking intent, Al-Ittihad’s lack of control in midfield and vulnerability at the back proved costly. The team also picked up three yellow cards as frustration grew, and their inability to stem the tide left them well beaten.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC produced a scintillating attacking display, dismantling Al-Ittihad with pace, precision, and ruthless finishing. Dominating possession with 65%, they dictated the tempo and created a flurry of chances, converting five of their 20 shots. The midfield trio controlled proceedings, while the front line’s movement and interplay repeatedly carved open the home defence. Defensively, Al-Qadisiyah were largely untroubled, conceding just once and keeping Al-Ittihad’s forwards quiet for most of the match. Their pressing game forced turnovers, and their ability to transition quickly from defence to attack was a constant threat.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Ittihad lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, but their back three struggled to contain Al-Qadisiyah’s twin strikers and dynamic midfield runners. The hosts’ wing-backs were pushed deep, limiting their attacking influence and leaving the midfield exposed. Al-Qadisiyah’s 3-1-4-2 shape allowed them to dominate central areas, with Otávio anchoring and distributing, while the wide midfielders provided width and supported the forwards. Al-Qadisiyah’s pressing forced Al-Ittihad into mistakes, and their transitions were swift and decisive. Their ability to overload the final third, combined with sharp movement from Quiñones and Al-Salem, repeatedly unpicked the home defence. Set pieces also proved fruitful, as the visitors won 10 corners and sustained pressure throughout.
Turning Point
The quickfire double from Julián Quiñones in the 37th minute—scoring twice in rapid succession—effectively killed off the contest before halftime.
Man of the Match
Julián Quiñones
His first-half brace broke Al-Ittihad’s resistance and set the tone for Al-Qadisiyah’s dominant win.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC are in excellent form (WWWDD), have the league's 4th-best away record, and average 2.38 goals per game this season. Al-Ittihad have been inconsistent and conceded in 3 of their last 5. The away side's attacking stats and momentum edge this in their favor.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams trend towards high-scoring games: Al-Qadisiyah's matches are over 2.5 in 71.9% of cases, and both sides average over 1.2 goals scored per game recently. H2H history also shows multiple 3+ goal games.
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Corners: Over 8.5
Both teams average high corners in recent matches (Al-Qadisiyah: 9, Al-Ittihad: 4), and recent matches for both sides have regularly seen 10+ corners.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction
This is a clash between two sides with contrasting recent momentum. Al-Qadisiyah FC, currently 4th and pushing for a top-three finish, arrive in formidable form and have been prolific in front of goal, especially away from home. Al-Ittihad FC, while solid at home, have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, conceding multiple goals in recent matches. Expect a competitive match with attacking intent from both sides, but the visitors' superior offensive numbers and away form give them a slight edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: Al-Qadisiyah unbeaten in 5 (WWWDD), Al-Ittihad mixed (WDWLL)
Attack
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC's away record: 11 wins in 16 away matches, 38 goals scored
- →Al-Qadisiyah average 2.4 goals and 18.6 shots per game in last 5
Defence
- →Al-Ittihad have conceded in 3 of last 5 and failed to score in 2
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: goals in 4 of last 5 meetings, but no overwhelming dominance
🚩 Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Al-Ittihad FC and 7.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Qadisiyah FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Ittihad FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, including a narrow home win last time out but also a 4-3 home defeat. In contrast, Al-Qadisiyah FC are on a strong run, unbeaten in five, with three consecutive wins and impressive attacking displays, scoring 11 goals in their last three games. The visitors' momentum and offensive firepower stand out heading into this fixture.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — Last 10 Matches
No recent results available
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70.59% of games this season
What History Says: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
The head-to-head record is competitive, with Al-Ittihad FC holding a slight advantage overall, especially at home, where they've won the last two meetings by 3-1. However, recent matches have often been open and high-scoring, with both teams finding the net and no clear dominance from either side in the last three encounters.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Al-Ittihad FC wins
2
Draws
3
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to quantify value edges. However, the model suggests that Al-Qadisiyah FC are slightly undervalued by public perception, given their away form and attacking stats. Over 2.5 goals also looks likely given both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; value edge assessment not possible
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable; late injuries or squad rotation may affect predictions
- ⚠️Al-Ittihad's home advantage and historical H2H edge could make this closer than model suggests
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.