Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Predictions

Premier LeaguePremier League · Egypt
high confidence
Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

Full Time

3 - 0

AI predicted 0 - 1

Ismaily SC

Ismaily SC

🗓️ Saturday, 23 May 2026 at 20:00 EEST (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria

Win Probability (1X2)

Al Ittihad 27%Draw 41%Ismaily SC 32%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Match Result

7.4/10

Al Ittihad Outclass Ismaily SC with Commanding 3-0 Victory in Alexandria

Al Ittihad delivered a statement performance at the Borg El Arab Stadium, dispatching Ismaily SC 3-0 in a match that showcased both attacking flair and defensive solidity. The hosts struck on the stroke of halftime to seize momentum, before adding two more goals in the second half to seal a comprehensive win. Ismaily SC, despite enjoying a slight edge in possession (53%), struggled to convert their control into meaningful chances, managing just three shots on target from twelve attempts. The match was punctuated by disciplined defending and clinical finishing from Al Ittihad, who capitalized on key moments while keeping their visitors at bay. Ismaily’s frustration was evident in their four yellow cards, as they failed to find a foothold after falling behind. Al Ittihad’s 4-3-3 formation provided balance and width, while Ismaily’s 4-2-3-1 setup could not break down the home side’s organized lines.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

0 - 1

⚡

Actual

3 - 0

❌Result
✅BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/3 hit

Under/Over 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5
❌
Both Teams To Score — No
✅
Correct Score — 0-1
❌

Key Moments

45' — Goal

Mabululu opens the scoring for Al Ittihad just before halftime, shifting momentum firmly to the hosts.

68' — Goal

Al Ittihad double their lead, capitalizing on Ismaily's defensive disarray.

81' — Goal

A third goal for Al Ittihad puts the result beyond doubt.

Various' — Yellow Cards

Ismaily SC pick up four yellow cards as frustration mounts, while Al Ittihad receive three.

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

8.5/10

Al Ittihad were ruthless in front of goal, converting seven shots on target from fourteen attempts into three goals. Their midfield trio, anchored by Afsha, controlled transitions and provided the creative spark, while the forward line proved clinical. Defensively, they absorbed Ismaily’s pressure effectively, conceding few clear chances and maintaining discipline despite picking up three yellow cards. The hosts’ ability to strike at crucial moments—just before halftime and then twice in the second half—demonstrated a tactical maturity and killer instinct. Their 4-3-3 system allowed them to exploit the flanks and stretch Ismaily’s backline, while remaining compact when out of possession.

Key Players

Mabululu: Scored the opening goal at 45', setting the tone for the victory.
Afsha: Pulled the strings in midfield, orchestrating attacks and dictating tempo.
M. Genesh: Kept a clean sheet with several key saves, especially in the first half.

Strengths

Clinical finishingSolid defensive organizationEffective use of width

Weaknesses

Conceded more possessionNo corners won, indicating limited set-piece threat
Ismaily SC

Ismaily SC

5.5/10

Ismaily SC started brightly, enjoying 53% possession and earning six corners, but their attacking efforts fizzled in the final third. Despite their territorial advantage, they managed only three shots on target, rarely troubling the Al Ittihad goalkeeper. The midfield, led by M. Hassan and E. Traore, struggled to break through Al Ittihad’s disciplined lines. Defensively, Ismaily were undone by lapses at key moments, conceding goals at psychologically damaging times. Their frustration boiled over into four yellow cards, and the absence of a cutting edge up front left them chasing the game for long spells.

Key Players

M. Hassan: Worked tirelessly in midfield, trying to link play and recover possession.
A. Mahrous: Made several saves to keep the scoreline respectable.

Strengths

Maintained majority possessionEarned multiple corners

Weaknesses

Lack of penetration in attackDefensive lapses at crucial momentsDisciplinary issues (four yellow cards)

Tactical Analysis

Al Ittihad set up in a 4-3-3 formation, with their midfield trio providing both defensive cover and creative impetus. This structure allowed them to transition quickly from defense to attack, using the wide forwards to stretch Ismaily’s backline. Their pressing was measured, focusing on key moments to win the ball and break forward. Ismaily SC’s 4-2-3-1 aimed to control the midfield and dominate possession, but they lacked vertical penetration and struggled to create clear chances. Their reliance on set pieces (six corners) did not yield results, and their attacking midfielders were often isolated by Al Ittihad’s compact shape. Substitutions attempted to inject energy, but failed to alter the tactical balance.

Turning Point

Mabululu’s goal on the stroke of halftime gave Al Ittihad the lead and psychological edge, forcing Ismaily SC to chase the game in the second half.

Man of the Match

Mabululu

Scored the crucial opening goal and led the line with energy and precision, setting the tone for Al Ittihad’s dominant display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Al Ittihad0.65

Expected goals · model says 0.65

Ismaily SC0.75

Expected goals · model says 0.75

Win Probability
Al Ittihad 28% Draw 38% Ismaily SC 34%

Over 2.5 Goals

17%

BTTS: Yes

25%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
41%
32%
Al Ittihad 27%Draw 41%Ismaily SC 32%
Both Teams to Score
24%
76%
Yes 24%No 76%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
19%
81%
Over 2.5 19%Under 2.5 81%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
52%
48%
Over 9.5 52%Under 9.5 48%

Who do you think wins: Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC?

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The Case For This Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Prediction

This is a low-stakes relegation scrap between two of the league's lowest-scoring sides. Ismaily, despite their poor overall record, have shown some defensive resilience in recent away matches, while Al Ittihad's form and attacking output are unclear but likely weak. The head-to-head history is dominated by low-scoring games, and both teams will likely prioritize not losing over taking risks. Expect a cagey affair with few clear chances.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Al Ittihad's recent form is missing, but league position and H2H suggest poor attack.
  • →Both teams rank near the bottom for goals scored and have negative goal differences.

Defence

  • →Ismaily's last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses; only 2 goals scored, 4 conceded.
  • →Ismaily have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, but failed to score in 3.

Injuries & Team News

  • →No injuries reported for either side.

Match Context

  • →H2H: 6 of last 10 meetings under 2.5 goals, 5 ended with at least one team blanking.

🚩 Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.8expected total corners
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Al Ittihad and 5 for Ismaily SC, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 65% · Over 10.5: 40%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Al Ittihad and Ismaily SC Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Al IttihadAl Ittihadlast 5 matches
J. Ebukasub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. AlaaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Ismaily SCIsmaily SClast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Ismaily SC's recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five (LDDWL), but they've shown defensive improvement, conceding less than a goal per game in that span. Al Ittihad's form is unknown, but their league position and lack of attacking stats suggest they are struggling for goals and consistency.

Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC — Last 10 Matches

Al IttihadAl IttihadLast 5 results
W3-0
L0-1
W1-0
D0-0
L1-2
Wvs Ismaily SC3-0
L@ Ghazl El Mehalla0-1
Wvs El Geish1-0
D@ Future FC0-0
Lvs Petrojet1-2

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Ismaily SCIsmaily SCLast 10 results
L0-3
D0-0
L1-2
D0-0
D0-0
W1-0
L0-2
L0-1
D1-1
L0-1
L@ Al Ittihad0-3
Dvs Masr0-0
L@ Wadi Degla1-2
D@ National Bank of Egypt0-0
D@ Ghazl El Mehalla0-0
W@ Petrojet1-0
Lvs Future FC0-2
L@ El Gouna FC0-1
D@ Kahraba Ismailia1-1
L@ El Mokawloon0-1

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game

What History Says: Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC

The last 10 head-to-heads have produced mostly low-scoring games, with only two matches exceeding two goals. Ismaily have won more of these fixtures, but draws and narrow margins are common, and both teams have struggled to break each other down.

Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

3

Al Ittihad wins

3

Draws

4

Ismaily SC wins

30%30% draws40%
23 May 26Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC3-0
19 Aug 25Ismaily SC vs Al Ittihad0-1
16 Apr 25Ismaily SC vs Al Ittihad2-0
10 Apr 25Ismaily SC vs Al Ittihad0-0
26 Jan 25Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC1-0
22 Apr 24Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC1-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC

Without bookmaker odds, it's not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, the model strongly favors low-goal outcomes and 'No' on BTTS, so if bookmakers price these conservatively, there could be value in those markets.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Al Ittihad Win1.3027.0%-49.9%
Drawvalue2.7041.0%+4.0%
Ismaily SC Winvalue3.4032.0%+2.6%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value9.0019.0%+7.9%
Under 2.51.0781.0%-12.5%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue8.0024.0%+11.5%
No1.0876.0%-16.6%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 2.70EV +0.107
1X2: Ismaily SC Win @ 3.40EV +0.088
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 9.00EV +0.710
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 8.00EV +0.920

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC

  • ⚠️No recent form or derived stats available for Al Ittihad; reduces model confidence.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lineups are unavailable; late changes could impact defensive solidity.
  • ⚠️Low-scoring matches are inherently more volatile for correct score markets.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Ittihad vs Ismaily SC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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