Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Recommended Bets: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Match Preview
Al Kholood enter this fixture with a flawless home record (3 wins from 3) but sit seventh, largely due to defensive vulnerabilities—no clean sheets in seven league matches and ten goals conceded overall. Al-Qadisiyah FC, fourth in the table, have been even more impressive: five wins from seven, a +8 goal difference, and the league’s best away defensive record (just one goal conceded in three away games). Both sides are in the upper half and chasing the league leaders, so points are crucial for their ambitions.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards goals. Al Kholood’s attack averages 2.67 goals per home game, but their defence allows 1.33 per home match. Al-Qadisiyah’s away output is even stronger: 2.33 scored and just 0.33 conceded per away fixture. Both teams’ last five matches have produced BTTS in four instances, and their combined over 2.5 goals rate stands at 57%. Set-piece threat is moderate (Al Kholood average 5 corners per game, Al-Qadisiyah 3.8), while discipline could be a factor with both sides averaging over 2.5 yellows per match recently.
The model projects a high-probability away win, driven by Al-Qadisiyah’s superior away metrics and overwhelming head-to-head dominance (eight wins in the last ten). Al Kholood’s attack should keep them competitive, but their defensive frailties are likely to be exposed by a clinical visiting side. Expect a 2-1 scoreline, with the away side’s efficiency in both boxes the decisive factor.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Qadisiyah FC have conceded only one goal in three away league matches this season (0.33 per game).
- 2Al Kholood have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches, with five of their last eight goals coming after the 60th minute.
- 3Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings have been won by Al-Qadisiyah FC, with an average margin of 2.1 goals.
Who do you think wins: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.29 goals scored and just 0.33 goals conceded per away match this season, while Al Kholood have yet to keep a clean sheet in any league fixture and have lost eight of the last ten meetings between these sides.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches and the season over 2.5 rate for both is 57%, with each averaging at least 1.4 goals conceded per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Four of the last five for both sides have landed BTTS, and Al Kholood have scored in every home match this season despite defensive frailties.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction
This fixture pits an Al Kholood side with a perfect home record but a leaky defence against an Al-Qadisiyah FC team that has been ruthless away from home, conceding just once in three away league matches. The statistical shape of the match points to a goal-rich environment, with both teams averaging over 1.4 goals conceded per game and a combined over 2.5 goals rate of 57%. Al-Qadisiyah’s away attack (2.33 goals/game) faces an Al Kholood defence still seeking its first clean sheet of the campaign. Conversely, Al Kholood’s attack has found the net in every home fixture, but their 1.33 goals conceded per home game is a concern against the league’s fourth-highest scorers. Both sides’ recent matches trend towards BTTS and late goals, with Al Kholood’s last five featuring five second-half goals and Al-Qadisiyah scoring in both halves regularly. The model expects Al-Qadisiyah’s superior away metrics and dominant head-to-head record (eight wins in the last ten) to tell, but Al Kholood’s home form and attacking output suggest they can make a contest of it. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 away win, with the away attack’s efficiency and the home side’s inability to keep clean sheets the key drivers.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC have won all three away league matches this season, scoring seven and conceding just one.
- →Al Kholood have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their seven league matches.
Match Context
- →Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings have gone to Al-Qadisiyah FC, including a 4-1 away win in the most recent encounter.
🚩 Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Al Kholood and 4.3 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 47% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Kholoodlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Al Kholood have been strong at home, winning all three matches, but their overall form is patchy with just one win in their last three and no clean sheets in seven. Al-Qadisiyah FC are on a five-match unbeaten run in the league (four wins, one draw) and have scored at least twice in each of their last five outings, showing both attacking consistency and defensive resilience away from home.
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
What History Says: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning eight of the last ten meetings and scoring 27 goals in that span. The last encounter ended 4-1 to Al-Qadisiyah in Ar Rass, continuing a trend of high-scoring away wins for them in this fixture.
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Al Kholood wins
1
Draws
8
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
Things to Watch: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams’ home/away splits this season (three matches each).
- ⚠️No injury or suspension data impacting lineups, but future team news could alter probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al Kholood 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FCThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Al-Qadisiyah FC, anchored by their away record of three wins from three and just one goal conceded on the road. The single strongest data point is Al Kholood’s 0% clean sheet rate this season, which looks vulnerable against the league’s fourth-highest scorers. The main risk is Al Kholood’s perfect home record and their ability to score even when outplayed, which could see them nick a point if Al-Qadisiyah’s finishing falters.
Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Common Questions
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC a 50% chance of victory, compared to 22% for Al Kholood and 28% for the draw. This is based on Al-Qadisiyah’s perfect away record and their dominance in recent head-to-head meetings.
Will both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
There is a 61% probability of both teams scoring, as both sides have landed BTTS in four of their last five matches and neither has kept many clean sheets recently.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 58%, supported by both teams’ season-long rates (57% each) and their average goals for and against per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.