Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Faisaly FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Match Result
7.7/10Al-Qadisiyah Outclass Al-Faisaly 3-1 with Dominant Display in Khobar
Al-Qadisiyah FC delivered a commanding performance at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, defeating Al-Faisaly FC 3-1 in a match where the hosts asserted their superiority from the outset. The home side struck early, opening the scoring in the 5th minute, but Al-Faisaly responded swiftly with an equalizer just seven minutes later. However, Al-Qadisiyah regained control before the break and extended their lead in the second half, ultimately sealing a well-deserved victory. Statistically, Al-Qadisiyah were in the ascendancy throughout, enjoying 57% possession and firing 17 shots, nine of which were on target. In contrast, Al-Faisaly struggled to create opportunities, managing only five shots and two on target. The visitors also found themselves on the wrong side of the referee, collecting three yellow cards as they tried to contain the hosts’ attacking verve.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah open the scoring, setting the tone for their dominance.
12' — Goal
Alexandre Mendy equalizes for Al-Faisaly, briefly restoring parity.
30' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah retake the lead before halftime, swinging momentum back their way.
56' — Goal
The hosts extend their lead to 3-1, effectively sealing the result.
Various' — Yellow cards
Al-Faisaly pick up three yellow cards as frustration grows.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC showcased both attacking flair and tactical discipline in their 3-1 triumph. Lining up in a proactive 3-4-2-1 formation, they pressed high and controlled the tempo, translating their 57% possession into sustained pressure and quality chances. The early goal set the tone, and even after conceding an equalizer, they responded with composure and authority, reclaiming the lead before halftime and putting the result beyond doubt with a third goal soon after the interval. The midfield trio of Reijnders, Weigl, and Baah orchestrated play efficiently, while the forward line, led by Mateo Retegui, was clinical and dynamic. Defensively, the back three marshaled by Nacho Fernández kept Al-Faisaly’s attacking threat to a minimum, allowing just two shots on target.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC were second best for much of the match, unable to match Al-Qadisiyah’s intensity or creativity. Their 4-1-4-1 formation offered some early solidity, and they showed character to level the score in the 12th minute. However, they struggled to build meaningful possession (43%) and rarely threatened in attack, with only five shots and two on target. The midfield, anchored by Andrei Girotto, was often overrun, and the back line was stretched by Al-Qadisiyah’s movement. Three yellow cards reflected their increasing frustration as they chased shadows for large spells. Alexandre Mendy’s isolated presence up front highlighted their lack of attacking support.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah’s 3-4-2-1 formation allowed them to dominate midfield and exploit wide areas, with wing-backs pushing high and the midfield trio dictating play. Their pressing forced Al-Faisaly into errors and limited the visitors’ ability to build from the back. The fluid movement of Quiñones and Al Juwayr behind Retegui created overloads and constant danger in the final third. Al-Faisaly’s 4-1-4-1 setup aimed for compactness but ultimately left Mendy isolated up front and the midfield outnumbered. Their inability to transition quickly or hold possession under pressure allowed Al-Qadisiyah to control proceedings. Defensive substitutions and tactical tweaks failed to stem the tide, as Al-Qadisiyah’s width and tempo proved decisive.
Turning Point
Al-Qadisiyah’s second goal in the 30th minute restored their lead and shifted momentum firmly in their favor, forcing Al-Faisaly to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Mateo Retegui
Led the line superbly, scored a crucial goal, and was a constant threat to the Al-Faisaly defense.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC: Match Preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC enter this fixture eighth in the table, having split their opening two league games with a win at Al Shabab and a narrow home defeat to Al-Ittihad FC. Their recent form string of LWWLD is underpinned by a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their last five in all competitions. Al-Faisaly FC, by contrast, sit 14th after two straight league losses, conceding six goals and scoring just twice, and are on a three-game losing streak in competitive matches.
Statistically, the home side's defensive rates stand out: 1.0 goal conceded per league game and two clean sheets in their last five. Al-Qadisiyah FC have also managed 8.2 shots and 4.8 corners per match in that span, indicating a steady attacking output. Al-Faisaly FC's defensive issues are acute, with three goals conceded per league game and just 1.6 shots on target per game in their last five. Both sides have a 50% over 2.5 rate in the league, but the away team's defensive record skews the goal expectation upward.
The model projects a moderate-scoring contest, with Al-Qadisiyah FC's home solidity and higher shot volume likely to prove decisive against an Al-Faisaly FC side that has struggled to contain opposition attacks. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, with the hosts' defensive consistency and the visitors' concession rate the key statistical drivers. The main risk is the small sample size and early-season volatility, but the underlying rates favour the home side.
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Expected goals · model says 1.55
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Faisaly FC's last five competitive matches have averaged 4.0 total goals, driven by defensive frailty.
- 2Al-Qadisiyah FC have failed to score in three of their last five, but all those blanks came outside league play.
- 3Only one of the last six H2H meetings has been decided by more than one goal.
Who do you think wins: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 1.5 goals scored and just 1 conceded per league game so far, while Al-Faisaly FC have shipped 3 per match and have yet to earn a point. The home side's shot volume (8.2 per game last 5) and defensive solidity (0.6 conceded last 5) give them a statistical edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a 50% over 2.5 rate in the league, and Al-Faisaly's matches average 4 total goals per game (2 scored, 6 conceded in two). Defensive frailties on the away side and a home attack averaging 1.6 in the last 5 point to a moderate goal environment.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction
This fixture matches a defensively steady Al-Qadisiyah FC against an Al-Faisaly FC side struggling to keep goals out, with both teams showing moderate attacking output but a clear gap in defensive rates.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC's shot and corner numbers (8.2 shots, 4.8 corners per last 5) point to sustained attacking pressure.
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC concede just 1 goal per league match on average, compared to Al-Faisaly FC's 3.
- →Al-Faisaly FC have lost three straight competitive matches, conceding at least two in each.
🚩 Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.8 corners for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 3.4 for Al-Faisaly FC, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Faisaly FClast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Qadisiyah FC have started the league with a win and a loss, showing defensive stability and a recent 3-1 away win at Al Shabab. Al-Faisaly FC, meanwhile, have lost both league matches—conceding six goals in the process—and are on a three-game competitive losing streak. The home side's underlying numbers are trending upward, while the visitors are struggling to find defensive balance.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC have the historical edge with five wins in the last ten meetings, but Al-Qadisiyah FC won the most recent clash 2-1 at home. Draws are common in this fixture, and only one of the last six has been settled by more than a single goal, indicating a tendency for tight contests.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
3
Draws
5
Al-Faisaly FC wins
Things to Watch: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
- ⚠️Sample sizes are small with only two league games played for each side.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies and cup matches may not fully reflect league-level opposition.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-Faisaly FCA 2-1 win for Al-Qadisiyah FC is the model's call, anchored by Al-Faisaly FC's league-worst defensive rate (3.0 conceded per game) and the home side's reliable shot production. The most plausible way this projection fails is if Al-Faisaly's attack capitalises on early chances or the hosts' recent tendency to blank in non-league matches resurfaces.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC are favoured with a 46% win probability, while Al-Faisaly FC have just a 22% chance and the draw is rated at 32%. The home side's stronger defensive and attacking rates tip the balance.
Will both teams score in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
Both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 54%, with Al-Faisaly FC seeing BTTS in three of their last five and defensive issues on both sides early in the season.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet in this match?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 51%, supported by Al-Faisaly FC's matches averaging 4.0 goals and both teams showing a 50% over 2.5 rate in league play. The goal environment projects as moderate but not extreme.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.