America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
America Mineiro
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Cuiaba
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba: Match Preview
America Mineiro enter this round rooted to 19th, having lost 24 of 34 matches and scored just 22 goals all season. Their recent form offers little encouragement, with four defeats in their last five and only one goal scored, though that came in a narrow 1-0 home win last time out. Cuiaba, by contrast, sit mid-table with a strong defensive record and are unbeaten in 11 of 16 away trips, though their own attack is modest at 0.97 goals per game.
Statistically, this is a clash between the league's weakest attack and one of its most robust defences. America Mineiro average just 0.76 goals per home match, while Cuiaba concede 1.00 per away and keep clean sheets in 42% of all games. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches (America Mineiro 53%, Cuiaba 76%), and neither side has produced BTTS in any of their last five outings. Set-piece threat is moderate, with both averaging over 5 corners per match, but the game is likely to be decided in open play.
The model projects a low-scoring contest, with Cuiaba's defensive solidity and America Mineiro's blunt attack making an away win or draw the most probable outcomes. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1, reflecting Cuiaba's ability to edge tight games and America Mineiro's chronic struggles in front of goal.
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS: Yes
24%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind America Mineiro vs Cuiaba that most previews miss.
- 1America Mineiro have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches and average just 0.65 goals per game this season.
- 2Cuiaba's matches have finished under 2.5 goals in 76% of their league fixtures, the second-lowest rate in Serie B.
- 3Only once in the last five H2H meetings have both teams scored, with three matches ending 1-0 or 2-1.
Who do you think wins: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
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Where the Model Sees Value: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Cuiaba Win
Cuiaba's defensive record away (1.00 goals conceded per game) and America Mineiro's league-worst attack (0.65 goals per game overall, 0.76 at home) point to a strong chance of an away win, especially given the 24 losses in 34 matches for America Mineiro.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides are among the lowest in the league for over 2.5 goals (America Mineiro 47%, Cuiaba 24%), and their combined season scoring rates (0.65 vs 0.97) suggest a low-scoring contest.
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BTTS: No
America Mineiro have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Cuiaba have kept 3 clean sheets in that span; BTTS has not landed in any of either side's last 5 matches.
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More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Prediction
This fixture pits the league's lowest scorers and most porous defence, America Mineiro, against a mid-table Cuiaba side with one of Serie B's best defensive records. America Mineiro have lost 24 of 34, scoring just 22 goals, while Cuiaba have conceded only 26 in 33 and kept 42% clean sheets. The underlying rates suggest a low-scoring match, with Cuiaba's away record (1.00 goals conceded per game) likely to stifle a home attack averaging just 0.76 goals per game at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →America Mineiro average 0.65 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game, worst in the league.
- →Cuiaba's season clean sheet rate is 42.4%, with only 0.79 goals conceded per game overall.
- →America Mineiro have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches; Cuiaba have kept 3 clean sheets in that span.
🚩 America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for America Mineiro and 5.2 for Cuiaba, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How America Mineiro and Cuiaba Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
America Mineirolast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Cuiabalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
America Mineiro's form is dire, with just one win and four defeats in their last five, and only one goal scored in that span. Cuiaba have been steadier, picking up two wins and a draw from their last five, and conceding only four goals in that period.
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 57% avg
What History Says: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba
Cuiaba have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four of the last ten and taking the most recent encounter 1-0. Draws are frequent, and low-scoring games are the norm, with only one of the last five H2Hs seeing both teams score.
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
America Mineiro wins
4
Draws
4
Cuiaba wins
Things to Watch: America Mineiro vs Cuiaba
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️America Mineiro's recent win at home is an outlier in a long losing streak.
- ⚠️Cuiaba's attack is not prolific (0.97 goals per game), so a 0-0 or 0-1 is highly plausible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
America Mineiro 0–1 CuiabaThe data points firmly to a low-scoring away win, with Cuiaba's defensive record (0.79 goals conceded per game) and America Mineiro's league-worst attack (0.65 per game) driving the 0-1 prediction. The main risk is Cuiaba's own limited attacking output, which could see the match drift to a goalless draw if they fail to convert their chances.
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba: Common Questions
Who will win America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
Cuiaba are favoured, with a 44% probability of an away win compared to just 18% for America Mineiro. The draw is also a strong runner at 38%, reflecting both teams' low scoring rates and defensive tendencies.
Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
The model gives just a 16% chance of both teams scoring, with America Mineiro failing to score in 4 of their last 5 and Cuiaba keeping 3 clean sheets in that span.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
There is an 81% probability of under 2.5 goals, as both sides average fewer than 1 goal scored per game and only 24% of Cuiaba's matches have gone over this line all season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.