Angers vs Nice Predictions
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Nice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.73(+6% edge)
Recommended Bets: Angers vs Nice
Angers vs Nice: Match Preview
Angers limp into this contest having taken just five points from their last five matches, with a defensive collapse against both Marseille (2-5) and Brest (1-5) exposing deep structural issues. Their only win in that stretch came against struggling Troyes, and a goalless draw with Lorient last time out did little to lift the mood. Nice, meanwhile, are surging: four wins from five, including a statement 5-2 victory over Rennes, have propelled them into the top half and given their attack a swagger that was missing earlier in the campaign.
The tactical matchup is stark. Nice's attack is in full flow—averaging 2.4 goals, 11.8 shots, and 5 shots on target per game over the last five, with BTTS landing every time. Angers have managed three clean sheets in that same period but have also shipped ten goals in their three defeats, and their home record is frail (one win, nine conceded in five). Nice's away form is less convincing (one win in four), but their ability to create and convert chances—especially through Wahi and Amoura—should test an Angers backline that has switched between back five and back four without finding stability. Discipline could be a subplot, with Nice averaging over three yellow cards per game recently.
The model expects Nice's momentum to carry them through, projecting a 2-1 away win. Angers' sporadic defensive solidity means a low-scoring draw is not out of the question, but the visitors' recent scoring surge and historical dominance in this fixture make them clear favourites to take the points.
How Angers and Nice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Angers vs Nice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Angerslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Nicelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Nice are riding a wave of momentum, having won four of their last five and scoring freely, including five goals against Rennes. Angers, on the other hand, have struggled badly—losing three of five, conceding five goals twice, and only managing a single win in that span. The contrast in trajectories is stark, with Nice on the rise and Angers searching for answers.
Angers vs Nice — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Angers vs Nice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Angers vs Nice that most previews miss.
- 1Nice have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches, while Angers have conceded five goals in two of their last three defeats.
- 2Both teams have scored in each of Nice's last five games, with an average of 3.8 total goals per match across that run.
- 3Angers have failed to score in two of their last five, but have also kept three clean sheets in that span—showing a feast-or-famine defensive pattern.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Angers vs Nice?
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The Case For This Angers vs Nice Prediction
Nice head to Angers with the wind at their backs, having won four of their last five and scoring five against Rennes in their most recent outing. Angers, by contrast, are stuck in a rut, managing just one win in five and suffering two heavy defeats in that span. Momentum is firmly with the visitors, who have also historically enjoyed this fixture. Statistically, Nice's attack is flourishing: 2.4 goals per game and 5 shots on target per match over their last five, with BTTS landing in all five. Angers' defence has been breached ten times in their last three defeats and their home record (one win in five, nine conceded) leaves them vulnerable. Set-piece data is unremarkable, but Nice's higher foul and card counts (3.4 yellows per game recently) suggest a physical approach that could disrupt Angers' rhythm. The model expects Nice's form and attacking edge to tell, projecting a 2-1 away win. Angers' occasional resilience—three clean sheets in their last five—means a low-scoring draw can't be ruled out if Nice's finishing cools off, but the recent goal trends and H2H dominance tilt the balance towards the visitors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Nice have won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals in that run.
Defence
- →Angers have lost three of their last five, conceding five goals twice in that span.
Match Context
- →Nice have won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 away win in Angers last season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Angers vs Nice(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Nice Win@ 2.05
Nice arrive with four wins from their last five matches and have averaged 2.4 goals per game in that stretch, while Angers have lost three of their last five and conceded five goals in two of those. Nice's momentum, combined with their dominance in this H2H (seven wins from the last ten meetings), makes the away win a value play even with their modest away record.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.73
Both teams have seen high-scoring games recently: Nice's last five all featured BTTS and averaged 3.8 total goals, while Angers have conceded five goals twice in their last three. The model's 61% probability for over 2.5 goals edges the market.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
🚩 Angers vs Nice Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Angers and 6.2 for Nice, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 46%.
What History Says: Angers vs Nice
Nice have historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and three of the last four at Angers' ground. The last encounter at Stade Raymond-Kopa ended 2-0 to Nice, and recent H2H clashes have tended to favour the away side, both in result and margin.
Angers vs Nice Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Angers wins
1
Draws
7
Nice wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Angers vs Nice
The model sees a small but real edge in backing Nice at 2.05, with a 51% win probability compared to the market's 48.8% implied. Over 2.5 goals also offers a positive expected value, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. The BTTS 'no' price looks too short given Nice's recent attacking form and Angers' defensive volatility.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Angers vs Nice
- ⚠️Nice's away record this season is modest (1 win, 3 losses, 3 goals scored, 7 conceded), tempering confidence in a straightforward away win.
- ⚠️Angers have managed three clean sheets in their last five, hinting at some defensive resilience despite heavy defeats.
- ⚠️No significant injuries are reported, but lineups are not yet available, so late changes could affect tactical balance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Angers 1–2 NiceThe model calls this 2-1 to Nice, with the visitors' recent momentum—four wins in five, 12 goals scored—standing out as the decisive factor. The biggest risk to this forecast is Nice's patchy away record and Angers' tendency to occasionally shut up shop at home, but the form trajectory and H2H history both point towards an away win.
Angers vs Nice: Common Questions
Who will win Angers vs Nice?
Nice are favoured with a 51% probability of victory, owing to their four wins from the last five and a strong H2H record (seven wins in the last ten meetings). Angers have just a 22% chance based on recent form and defensive frailty.
Will both teams score in Angers vs Nice?
There's a 59% chance of both teams scoring, as Nice have seen BTTS in all of their last five matches and Angers' defence has been breached heavily in recent defeats.
Can Nice's winning run continue away from home?
Nice's away form this season is modest (one win, three losses), but their attacking numbers and current momentum suggest they have a strong chance to extend their run against an Angers side struggling for consistency.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Angers vs Nice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.