Brondby vs Lyngby Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Brondby
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Lyngby
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.8(+6% edge)
Recommended Bets: Brondby vs Lyngby
Brondby vs Lyngby: Match Preview
Brondby enter this fixture in 5th place, having lost four of their last five league matches, including back-to-back home defeats to Randers FC (0-3) and FC Copenhagen (0-1). Despite a strong start to the season, their recent slide has left them with a negative goal difference, though their home record (3W, 0D, 2L) remains respectable. Lyngby sit 10th, with just one win from nine, and have struggled on their travels, losing three of four away and conceding nearly two goals per away game.
From a statistical perspective, Brondby’s attack at home (1.4 goals/game) faces a Lyngby defence that has kept only one away clean sheet all season. However, Brondby’s own defensive frailties are exposed by their 1.4 goals conceded per home match and a last-five average of 2.0 goals against. Lyngby’s attack is modest (1.11 goals/game overall), but they have scored in three of their last four league outings. Set-piece data is limited, but both teams average under two shots on target per match in recent games, pointing to a potential for wasteful finishing. Cards are likely, with both sides averaging over 1.5 yellows per match recently.
The model expects a moderate goal environment, with over 2.5 goals priced at a 58% probability and both teams to score at 56%. Brondby’s home edge and Lyngby’s away frailty make the hosts favourites, but the draw is a live threat given both teams’ inconsistent form and the head-to-head history of close contests.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Brondby vs Lyngby Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Brondby vs Lyngby that most previews miss.
- 1Brondby have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches (0 in last 5).
- 2Lyngby’s away matches average 3.0 total goals (5 scored, 7 conceded in 4 games).
- 3Three of the last six Superliga meetings between these sides have ended in draws, including two 3-3 scorelines.
Who do you think wins: Brondby vs Lyngby?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Brondby vs Lyngby(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.93
The draw probability is modelled at 28%, above the bookmaker's implied 26.3%. Both sides have drawn a combined five matches from 18 this season, and Brondby’s recent home form (3W, 2L, 0D) plus Lyngby’s away record (1W, 0D, 3L) suggest a competitive but not one-sided contest.
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BTTS: No@ 2.27
Model probability for both teams not to score is 44% versus an implied 44.4%, offering a marginal edge. Brondby have failed to score in two of their last five, and Lyngby have two clean sheets in the same span.
Read more ↓
More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This Brondby vs Lyngby Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a moderate-scoring contest with Brondby’s home attack (1.4 goals/game at home) facing a Lyngby defence conceding 1.75 per away match. Both sides are coming off patchy runs, but Brondby’s home edge and Lyngby’s lack of away draws tilt the balance slightly toward the hosts. The most likely outcome is a narrow Brondby win, but the draw is a live result given both teams’ underlying rates.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Brondby average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season.
- →Lyngby have lost three of four away, conceding 1.75 per away game.
- →Brondby’s last five: 0.8 goals scored, 2.0 conceded per game; Lyngby’s last five: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded.
🚩 Brondby vs Lyngby Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Brondby and 5.3 for Lyngby, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 43%.
How Brondby and Lyngby Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Brondby vs Lyngby Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Brondbylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Lyngbylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Brondby’s recent form is concerning, with just one win and four losses in their last five league matches, conceding eight goals in the last three. Lyngby have fared marginally better, picking up one win and two draws in their last five, but were thrashed 0-4 by Silkeborg last time out. Both sides are searching for stability, with Brondby’s home record the only consistent positive.
Brondby vs Lyngby — Last 9 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Brondby vs Lyngby
Brondby have the historical edge, winning five of the last ten meetings, including a 3-0 home victory in 2023. However, draws are common in this matchup, with three in the last six Superliga encounters, and high-scoring stalemates (3-3, 1-1) have featured. The fixture’s recent history suggests a competitive contest with goals at both ends.
Brondby vs Lyngby Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Brondby wins
3
Draws
2
Lyngby wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Brondby vs Lyngby
The model sees slight value on the draw at 3.8, with a 6.4% edge over the market’s implied probability. There is also marginal value on 'BTTS: No', but the edge is small. Most other markets are efficiently priced, with the 1X2 home win and over/under lines closely matching modelled probabilities.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Brondby vs Lyngby
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is volatile, with Brondby losing three straight league matches before this fixture.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are not confirmed at time of modelling.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for some derived stats (e.g., last five averages) may inflate variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Brondby 2–1 LyngbyThe statistical profile points to a narrow Brondby win, with 2-1 the likeliest scoreline. The single strongest data point is Lyngby’s away defensive record (1.75 conceded per away game), which should allow Brondby’s attack to find opportunities. However, Brondby’s recent defensive collapse (eight goals conceded in their last three league games) means a draw or even a Lyngby result cannot be discounted if the hosts’ defensive issues persist.
Brondby vs Lyngby: Common Questions
Who will win Brondby vs Lyngby?
Brondby are modelled as 48% favourites, with the draw at 28% and Lyngby at 24%. Home advantage and Lyngby’s away record tip the balance, but recent form for both sides is mixed.
Will both teams score in Brondby vs Lyngby?
The probability for both teams to score is 56%. Brondby have conceded in all of their last five, while Lyngby have scored in four of their last five across all competitions.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Brondby vs Lyngby?
There is a 58% modelled chance of over 2.5 goals, based on Brondby’s 55.6% season over 2.5 rate and Lyngby’s away matches averaging three total goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Brondby vs Lyngby: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.