BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Predictions
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
AI Predicted Score
3 - 2
FC Thun
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun: Match Preview
Young Boys enter this fixture second in the Super League, eight points off the top with a game in hand, and unbeaten in their last three league outings. Their attack has been prolific, netting 41 times in 13 matches, while Thun sit eighth but have been far more effective on the road, scoring 20 of their 27 goals away from home. Both sides arrive off high-scoring draws and wins, with neither defence showing much resistance in recent weeks.
The matchup is shaped by Young Boys' relentless home attack (22 goals in 7 home games, 3.14 per match) against a Thun defence conceding 2.85 per game overall and 20 in 7 away trips. Thun's own attack is potent, averaging 2.86 goals per away game, but their defensive frailty is exposed by a league-low clean sheet rate (7.7%). Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 11 of 13 matches (84.6%), and the last five H2H have produced 31 goals combined. Set-piece threat is moderate, with both averaging around 4 corners per game.
The model expects a high-tempo, open contest with Young Boys' forward line exploiting Thun's defensive gaps, but Thun's counter-punching away form likely to yield goals of their own. A 3-2 scoreline is most probable, with the distribution heavily weighted towards over 2.5 and BTTS. The main risk is variance from defensive errors or finishing efficiency, but the underlying rates point firmly to a goal-rich encounter.
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Expected goals · model says 2.40
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS: Yes
73%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun that most previews miss.
- 1Thun's away matches average 5.71 total goals (20 scored, 20 conceded in 7 games).
- 2Young Boys have failed to keep a clean sheet in 77% of league matches, despite their high scoring output.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have produced at least five goals, with an average scoreline of 4.4-2.1 in Young Boys' favour.
Who do you think wins: BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 11 of 13 league matches (84.6%), and their combined season average is 5.23 goals per game.
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 4 of Thun's last 5 and in 2 of Young Boys' last 5, with both teams averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over that stretch.
Match Result: BSC Young Boys Win
Young Boys' home attack (22 goals in 7) faces a Thun defence conceding 2.85 per game; the hosts have won 7 of the last 10 H2H.
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as one of the highest goal environments in the Swiss Super League, with both Young Boys and Thun combining for 68 goals scored and 62 conceded through 13 rounds. Young Boys' home record is formidable in attack but leaky in defence, while Thun's away matches average nearly 6 goals per game. The likeliest scenario is a high-scoring contest with the hosts' superior finishing just edging a dangerous but defensively vulnerable Thun side.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Young Boys average 3.15 goals scored per league game, highest in the division.
Defence
- →Thun have conceded 37 goals in 13 matches (2.85 per game), with only one clean sheet all season.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 84.6% of league matches.
🚩 BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for BSC Young Boys and 4.4 for FC Thun, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How BSC Young Boys and FC Thun Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
BSC Young Boyslast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Thunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Young Boys have taken 10 points from their last five league games, with a 3-2 win at Luzern and a 2-0 home win over St. Gallen highlighting their attacking depth. Thun's recent form is mixed, but their last three away league matches have all produced at least five goals, including a 5-4 win at Lausanne. Both sides are trending towards high-scoring, open contests.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 84.62% of games this season
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 84.62% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun
Young Boys have won seven of the last ten meetings with Thun, including a 6-0 away triumph earlier this season. The fixture is consistently high-scoring, with four of the last five league games producing at least five goals. Thun's last success at Wankdorf came in March 2026, but Young Boys remain the dominant force in this matchup.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
BSC Young Boys wins
0
Draws
3
FC Thun wins
Things to Watch: BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Both teams' defences are volatile, increasing scoreline variance.
- ⚠️Recent lineups and injuries are not a factor, but potential rotation post-international break is unknown.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
BSC Young Boys 3–2 FC ThunThe model projects a 3-2 victory for Young Boys, driven by their league-best 3.15 goals per game and Thun's league-worst defensive record. The strongest data point is the 84.6% over 2.5 goal rate for both teams. The likeliest way this call misses is if finishing variance or tactical conservatism after recent high-scoring games leads to an unexpectedly low total.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun: Common Questions
Who will win BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun?
Young Boys are favoured with a 54% win probability, reflecting their superior attacking numbers and home record. Thun's away scoring threat means a draw or away win cannot be discounted, but the hosts have won 7 of the last 10 H2H.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Young Boys vs Thun?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 77%, with both teams seeing 11 of 13 league matches go over this mark and a combined season average of 5.23 goals per game.
Is both teams to score likely in Young Boys vs Thun?
BTTS is rated at 68%, as Thun have scored in 6 of 7 away games and Young Boys have conceded in 10 of 13 matches. Four of the last five H2H have also seen both teams score.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.