FC Sion vs Servette FC Predictions
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Servette FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: FC Sion vs Servette FC
FC Sion vs Servette FC: Match Preview
FC Sion enter this fixture third in the table, having taken 26 points from 13 matches and posting a strong home record (four wins from six). Their recent form is steady, with three wins and a draw in their last five league outings, and only one defeat in that stretch—a 0-3 loss to Servette in Geneva. Servette, sitting sixth, have struggled for consistency away from home (two wins, four losses), but are unbeaten in three of their last five and recently held Zurich to a goalless draw.
The matchup is defined by balanced attacking and defensive rates: Sion average 2.0 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home game, while Servette's away attack produces 1.5 goals per match but concedes 1.67. Both sides have tightened up defensively, each recording three clean sheets in their last five, and neither averages more than five shots on target per game. The discipline data shows Servette averaging 2.6 yellows per match recently, suggesting a risk of bookings, while corners should be plentiful given both sides' recent averages (Sion 3.2, Servette 4.6 per game).
Given the statistical symmetry, the model expects a low-scoring, closely fought contest. The H2H series is draw-heavy, with six of the last ten meetings finishing level, and both teams' current rates point to a 1-1 or 1-0 either way as the likeliest outcomes. Unless one side capitalises on a set piece or defensive lapse, a share of the points remains the most probable result.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Sion vs Servette FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Sion vs Servette FC that most previews miss.
- 1Six of the last ten Sion–Servette meetings have ended in draws, with three finishing 1-1 or 0-0.
- 2Sion's home matches average just 3.17 goals per game, but only 19% have exceeded 3.5 goals this season.
- 3Servette have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding only 0.6 goals per match in that run.
Who do you think wins: FC Sion vs Servette FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Sion vs Servette FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average between 1.2 and 2 goals per game, with Sion conceding 1.38 and Servette 1.23 per match, and the H2H has produced four draws in the last six meetings including two 1-1 or 0-0 results.
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Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5
Only 19% of Sion's matches and 19% of Servette's have gone over 3.5 goals across the season, with both teams showing improved defensive numbers in the last five matches.
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BTTS: Yes
Sion have scored in 4 of their last 5, Servette in 4 of 5, and BTTS has landed in over half of the last 10 H2H meetings.
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The Case For This FC Sion vs Servette FC Prediction
Statistical rates point to a balanced contest: Sion's home attack (2.0 goals/game at home) faces a Servette side conceding 1.67 away, while Servette's away attack (1.5 goals/game) meets a Sion defence allowing 1.17 at home. Recent form shows both teams with three clean sheets in their last five, but neither side dominates the shot or xG data. The H2H is draw-heavy, with six of the last ten ending level.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Six draws in the last ten H2H meetings, including three 1-1 or 0-0 scorelines.
Defence
- →Sion's home record: 4W-1D-1L, 2.0 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game.
- →Servette's away record: 2W-0D-4L, 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game.
🚩 FC Sion vs Servette FC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for FC Sion and 5.4 for Servette FC, for an expected total of 9.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 65% · Over 10.5: 40%.
How FC Sion and Servette FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Sion vs Servette FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Sionlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Servette FClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sion have collected three wins and a draw in their last five, including a dominant 4-0 away win at Vaduz and a narrow 1-0 home victory over Lausanne, conceding just twice in that span. Servette have also shown defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in five and a notable 2-1 away loss at St. Gallen their only defeat in that stretch. Both sides have failed to score just once in their last five, underlining consistent attacking output.
FC Sion vs Servette FC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC Sion vs Servette FC
Servette have had the upper hand in this fixture, unbeaten in the last ten meetings and winning four times. Draws are common, with six in that span and three finishing 1-1 or 0-0. Sion have not beaten Servette in recent years, and the last meeting ended 3-0 to Servette in Geneva.
FC Sion vs Servette FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
FC Sion wins
6
Draws
4
Servette FC wins
Things to Watch: FC Sion vs Servette FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available: value edges and EV calculations not possible.
- ⚠️Recent Servette uptick in attack (2.0 goals/game last five) may not be fully reflected in season-long rates.
- ⚠️Cup matches in recent form may distort underlying league performance slightly.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Sion 1–1 Servette FCThe model projects a 1-1 draw, anchored by both teams' season-long scoring rates (Sion 2.23, Servette 1.31 goals/game) and the persistent H2H pattern of stalemates. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Sion's home attack finds another gear or Servette's recent defensive improvement proves unsustainable, tilting the match towards a narrow win for either side.
FC Sion vs Servette FC: Common Questions
Who will win FC Sion vs Servette FC?
The probabilities are closely matched: Sion win 36%, draw 36%, Servette win 28%. Recent H2H meetings have been draw-heavy, and both teams' season records suggest a balanced contest.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Servette FC?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, based on both sides averaging over a goal per game and BTTS landing in more than half of their recent meetings.
How likely is under 3.5 goals in this match?
The model gives an 81% probability to under 3.5 goals, with only 19% of Sion's and Servette's matches this season exceeding that mark.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Sion vs Servette FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.