CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CODM Meknès
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 0 - 2
FAR Rabat
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: FAR Rabat Win
Match Result
8.2/10Late Drama in Meknes as CODM Edge FAR Rabat 3-2 in Five-Goal Thriller
CODM Meknès claimed a dramatic 3-2 victory over FAR Rabat in a pulsating Botola Pro encounter in Meknes. The hosts struck first and led twice, but were pegged back by a resilient FAR side before a late winner sealed all three points. Despite enjoying just 42% possession and being outshot 17 to 8, CODM made their chances count with clinical finishing and resolute defending. FAR Rabat dominated large spells, registering 6 shots on target and forcing 7 corners, but their inability to convert pressure into goals proved costly. CODM’s defensive discipline and opportunism in front of goal, especially in the dying minutes, saw them withstand a late FAR fightback and secure a memorable home win.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
10' — Goal
CODM Meknès open the scoring to take an early lead.
28' — Goal
FAR Rabat equalize, capitalizing on their attacking pressure.
59' — Goal
CODM Meknès restore their lead with a well-taken goal.
87' — Goal
CODM Meknès score a late goal, appearing to seal the win.
90' — Goal
FAR Rabat pull one back in stoppage time, but it's too late to salvage a point.
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès delivered a gutsy and efficient performance, making the most of their limited opportunities. Despite conceding possession and territory, the hosts struck early and responded well each time FAR Rabat threatened a comeback. Their defensive organization was tested throughout but held firm under pressure. With just 8 shots (4 on target), CODM’s attacking play was direct and purposeful, capitalizing on moments of transition. The team’s discipline was evident, though three yellow cards reflected the intensity of their defensive effort.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FAR Rabat
FAR Rabat controlled possession (58%) and dictated much of the play, creating numerous opportunities with 17 shots and 7 corners. Their attacking intent was clear, but a lack of composure in the final third and defensive lapses at crucial moments undermined their efforts. Despite twice drawing level, including a late goal in the 90th minute, FAR were ultimately undone by CODM’s late surge. The visitors’ discipline slipped at times, picking up three yellow cards as they chased the game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
CODM Meknès set up to absorb pressure and strike on the break, ceding possession but maintaining compact defensive lines. Their direct approach paid dividends, especially in transition, as they capitalized on FAR Rabat’s advanced positioning. The hosts’ discipline and organization were key, though the accumulation of yellow cards highlighted their physical approach. FAR Rabat, by contrast, pressed high and dominated the ball, looking to stretch CODM with width and overloads. Their 17 shots and 7 corners reflected their attacking intent, but they struggled to convert opportunities and left gaps at the back, which CODM exploited. Tactical substitutions and late surges could not overturn CODM’s late winner.
Turning Point
The 87th-minute goal by CODM Meknès, which restored their lead and ultimately secured the victory despite FAR Rabat’s late response.
Man of the Match
CODM Meknès Goalscorer (87')
Delivered the decisive late goal and proved clinical in a tense finish.
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
38%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat?
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Where the Model Sees Value: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: FAR Rabat Win
FAR Rabat are unbeaten all season, have a strong away record, and dominate the H2H. CODM Meknès are in poor form and struggle to score. No odds provided, but model strongly favors the away side.
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BTTS: No
CODM Meknès have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and average less than a goal per game at home. FAR Rabat have a 50% clean sheet rate and a strong defense, making BTTS 'no' a likely outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams trend under 2.5 goals on the season (CODM: 28.6%, FAR Rabat: 46.4% over 2.5), and CODM's home games are generally low-scoring.
More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Prediction
FAR Rabat travel to Meknes as strong favorites, boasting an unbeaten record and a clear edge in both attack and defense. CODM Meknès are in a slump, winless in their last five, and have struggled to find the net. The visitors' title ambitions and dominant H2H record point to another professional away performance, with a low-scoring result likely given both sides' season-long goal trends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →FAR Rabat are unbeaten in 28 league matches (13W, 15D)
- →CODM Meknès have not won in their last 5 matches (0W, 2D, 3L)
Defence
- →FAR Rabat have conceded only 10 goals in 14 away games
Match Context
- →CODM Meknès average just 0.86 goals per home match
- →FAR Rabat have won both recent H2H meetings by 3+ goals
- →Both teams have strong under 2.5 goal trends
🚩 CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for CODM Meknès and 5.5 for FAR Rabat, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How CODM Meknès and FAR Rabat Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FAR Rabatlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknès are on a poor run, failing to win any of their last five (DDLLL) and struggling for goals, with just four scored and eight conceded in that span. FAR Rabat, by contrast, remain unbeaten in their last five (DDWDW), scoring nine and conceding six, and have not lost a single league match all season.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +48.28% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
The head-to-head record is heavily in FAR Rabat's favor, with two big wins (4-0, 3-0) and a single draw in the last three meetings. CODM Meknès have not beaten FAR Rabat in recent memory and have struggled to score more than once per match against them.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
CODM Meknès wins
1
Draws
2
FAR Rabat wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
With no odds available, value cannot be precisely calculated. However, the model's strong preference for FAR Rabat and 'BTTS no' suggests these would be value spots if odds are not overly short. Unders may also offer value given both teams' season-long trends.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected values cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches limits set piece and attacking threat analysis
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available; late changes could impact predictions
- ⚠️Discipline and corners data are estimated from league averages, not match specifics
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.