CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CR Khemis Zemamra
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Widad Témara
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Widad Témara Win
Match Result
6.8/10CR Khemis Zemamra Held by Ten-Man Widad Témara in Spirited 1-1 Draw
CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara played out a tense 1-1 draw at Stade Municipal Zemamra, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive winner. The hosts struck early through J. Essaghir in the 4th minute, but Widad Témara responded with a well-taken equalizer before the half-hour mark. Despite Zemamra's dominance in possession and chances, Témara's resilience—especially after going down to ten men—ensured a share of the spoils. Zemamra controlled the tempo, enjoying 55% of the ball and firing 18 shots, but only three found the target. Widad Témara, on the back foot for much of the contest, made the most of their limited opportunities, registering four shots on target from just five attempts. The match was punctuated by physicality, with six yellow cards and a red for the visitors, but neither side could capitalize in the final third as fatigue and defensive discipline took over in the closing stages.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
4' — Goal
J. Essaghir opens the scoring for CR Khemis Zemamra with an early strike.
29' — Goal
Oussama Essabri levels for Widad Témara, finishing off a rare attacking move.
Second Half' — Red Card
Widad Témara reduced to ten men after a sending off, increasing pressure on their defense.
Throughout' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up three yellow cards each in a physical, hard-fought contest.
CR Khemis Zemamra
Zemamra started brightly, taking control from the outset and translating their early pressure into a 4th-minute opener by J. Essaghir. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed them to dominate possession (55%) and create a flurry of chances, but a lack of clinical edge in front of goal—just three shots on target from 18—proved costly. After conceding the equalizer, Zemamra pressed hard, especially after Widad Témara were reduced to ten men, but their attacking play became increasingly frantic and predictable. Defensively, the back line was largely untroubled outside of the equalizer, but the inability to break down a resolute and undermanned opponent will be a concern. Three yellow cards reflected their frustration as the match wore on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Widad Témara
Widad Témara showed impressive resilience, coming from behind to equalize in the 29th minute despite being outplayed for long stretches. Their 4-2-3-1 shape was tested by Zemamra's pressure, but they remained compact and disciplined, making the most of limited attacking moments by converting one of their four shots on target. The second half was a backs-to-the-wall effort, especially after being reduced to ten men following a red card. Témara's defensive organization and willingness to put bodies on the line frustrated the hosts, and their ability to escape with a point under difficult circumstances speaks to their fighting spirit.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Zemamra's intent was clear from the start as they pushed numbers forward and sought to overload the flanks. Their double pivot provided a stable base, allowing the fullbacks to join attacks and keep Témara pinned back. However, the lack of incisiveness in the final third was evident, as Zemamra often settled for speculative shots rather than working clear openings. Témara, meanwhile, set up to absorb pressure and strike on the counter. After going down to ten men, they shifted to a deeper block, sacrificing attacking ambition for defensive solidity. Their compact shape and disciplined lines frustrated the hosts, and the goalkeeper's command of the area was crucial in dealing with crosses and set pieces.
Turning Point
The red card to Widad Témara in the second half forced them into a defensive shell, but also galvanized their resolve, ultimately ensuring they held on for a valuable point.
Man of the Match
Rabie Ajlid
Produced several crucial saves, especially after the red card, to preserve the draw for Widad Témara.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara: Match Preview
CR Khemis Zemamra come into this match rooted to the bottom of the table, having collected just a single point from their opening five fixtures. Their form string reads LDLLL, with the side conceding 11 goals and scoring only five. Widad Témara, by contrast, sit 11th with six points, buoyed by two away wins and a positive away goal difference, though their overall form (WLLLW) reflects some inconsistency.
The tactical matchup is defined by Zemamra's defensive frailty against Témara's competent away attack. Zemamra have shipped six goals in just two home games, while Témara's away record boasts six goals scored and only two conceded from three matches. Zemamra average just 1.0 shot on target per game over their last five, while Témara's away defence has allowed under 1.0 goal per game. Notably, Témara's attack tends to strike late, with five of their last six goals coming after half-time, whereas Zemamra's scoring is heavily first-half weighted.
The model expects a controlled away performance, with Widad Témara's superior defensive numbers and away scoring rate likely to decide the outcome. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest result, though both teams' inconsistent finishing could see a lower scoreline. The absence of clean sheets on both sides and Zemamra's urgent need for points may open up the game in the second half.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara that most previews miss.
- 1Widad Témara have scored six goals in three away matches, conceding just two.
- 2CR Khemis Zemamra have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five matches this season.
- 3Five of Widad Témara's last six goals have been scored in the second half.
Who do you think wins: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Widad Témara Win
Widad Témara have collected two away wins from three, averaging 2.0 goals per away match and conceding just 0.67, while CR Khemis Zemamra are winless and have lost both home fixtures, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per home game.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Despite Zemamra's defensive frailty, only 40% of Widad Témara's matches have gone over 2.5 goals and their defence has allowed just 0.8 goals per game, suggesting a moderate goal environment.
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BTTS: No
Widad Témara have failed to score in three of their last five, while Zemamra have failed to score in two of five and have notched just two goals in two home games.
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The Case For This CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Prediction
This fixture pits the league's bottom side, CR Khemis Zemamra, against a Widad Témara team that has shown a clear away-day edge, particularly in attack. Zemamra have yet to win this season, losing four of five and conceding 2.2 per game, while Widad Témara have already picked up two away victories with a +4 away goal difference. The numbers point to a contest shaped by Zemamra's defensive issues and Témara's proficiency on the road. Statistically, Zemamra's home record is troubling: two defeats, six goals conceded, and only two scored. Their last five matches show a 0% clean sheet rate and an average of just 1.0 shot on target per game. In contrast, Widad Témara's away attack is producing 2.0 goals per away match and their defence has allowed just two goals in three away games. The goal timing data leans towards second-half action, with five of Témara's last six goals coming after the break, while Zemamra have managed only one second-half goal in their last five. The model projects a moderately low-scoring encounter, with Widad Témara's away efficiency and Zemamra's defensive vulnerability tipping the balance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to the visitors, but with both teams showing some attacking inconsistency, a 1-1 draw is also plausible. The underlying rates suggest the away side's edge in both shot volume and defensive solidity will be decisive unless Zemamra can find an attacking spark.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →CR Khemis Zemamra have lost four of five matches and conceded 2.2 goals per game.
- →Widad Témara have two away wins from three, scoring six and conceding two away.
- →Neither side keeps clean sheets: Zemamra 0% and Témara 20% clean sheet rates.
🚩 CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for CR Khemis Zemamra and 8 for Widad Témara, for an expected total of 12. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 84% · Over 10.5: 65%.
How CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CR Khemis Zemamralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widad Témaralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CR Khemis Zemamra are enduring a difficult start, winless in five and conceding over two goals per match, with a form string of LDLLL. Widad Témara, though inconsistent, have claimed two away wins and boast a positive away goal difference, suggesting more balance and momentum heading into this fixture.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara
The last four head-to-head meetings have produced no draws, with each side winning twice. Notably, the last encounter saw Zemamra win 3-0 at home, but three of the four matches ended with a clean sheet for the winner, indicating a tendency for one-sided outcomes.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
CR Khemis Zemamra wins
0
Draws
2
Widad Témara wins
Things to Watch: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Both teams have small sample sizes (five matches); early-season volatility possible.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed injury and lineup information could mask key absences.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CR Khemis Zemamra 1–2 Widad TémaraThe data points to a 2-1 win for Widad Témara, driven by their strong away scoring rate (2.0 per away game) and Zemamra's porous defence (2.2 conceded per match). The greatest risk to this projection is the attacking inconsistency of both sides, with each having failed to score in multiple recent fixtures.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara: Common Questions
Who will win CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara?
Widad Témara are favoured by the model with a 44% win probability, compared to 23% for Zemamra and 33% for the draw. This is based on Témara's two away wins and Zemamra's winless start.
Will both teams score in CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara?
The model gives a 48% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Zemamra's struggles in attack (two home goals in two games) and Témara's recent clean sheets away from home.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 58% probability, with both teams averaging under 2.0 goals scored per game and Témara conceding just 0.8 per match this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.