Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Raja Casablanca
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Ittihad Tanger
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Raja Casablanca See Off Ittihad Tanger with Clinical First-Half Display
Raja Casablanca made the most of their home advantage at Stade Mohamed V, dispatching Ittihad Tanger 2-0 with both goals coming in a commanding first-half performance. The hosts struck early, unsettling Tanger’s five-man defence, and doubled their lead just before the interval to take firm control of the contest. Despite Ittihad Tanger’s efforts to claw back into the game, Raja’s disciplined back line and sharp goalkeeping ensured a clean sheet. The match was a well-balanced affair statistically, with Tanger edging possession at 51% and both sides registering seven corners each. However, Raja’s ruthlessness in front of goal—scoring twice from eight shots on target—proved decisive. Both teams picked up a yellow card apiece in an otherwise fair contest, but it was Raja’s clinical edge and defensive solidity that ultimately secured the points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
7' — Goal
M. Oyewusi opens the scoring for Raja Casablanca, finishing a swift attacking move.
45' — Goal
Raja double their lead just before halftime, punishing Tanger’s defensive lapse.
55' — Save
El Mehdi Al Harrar makes a crucial stop to deny Tanger a way back into the game.
67' — Yellow Card
A. Barkok (Raja) goes into the book for a tactical foul in midfield.
74' — Yellow Card
G. Mohutsiwa (Tanger) receives a yellow for dissent.
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca delivered a professional performance, capitalizing on their early dominance to build a comfortable lead. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed them to press high and create overloads in midfield, leading to two well-taken goals in the 7th and 45th minutes. The attacking trio, supported by energetic midfield play, consistently found gaps in Tanger’s defensive setup. Defensively, Raja were organized and composed, restricting Ittihad Tanger’s chances despite conceding 13 shots. Goalkeeper El Mehdi Al Harrar was reliable when called upon, helping to preserve the clean sheet. The team’s ability to maintain composure after gaining the lead was key to their victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger set up with a defensive 5-3-2 formation, aiming to frustrate Raja Casablanca and hit on the break. While they managed to control slightly more possession (51%) and registered more total shots (13), their finishing let them down, with only six shots on target and no goals to show for their efforts. Tanger’s midfield struggled to contain Raja’s surges in the first half, and by the time they settled, they were already two goals down. Despite a more positive approach after the break, Tanger couldn’t break through Raja’s disciplined defence, and their attacking duo found clear chances hard to come by.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Raja Casablanca’s 4-3-3 formation provided both defensive stability and attacking width. Their midfield trio pressed high, forcing Tanger into errors and creating overloads in central areas. The front three were dynamic, frequently interchanging positions and exploiting spaces behind Tanger’s wing-backs. Ittihad Tanger’s 5-3-2 was designed for resilience, but the early concession forced them to chase the game, limiting their ability to break forward in numbers. Their attempts to build from the back were often stifled by Raja’s pressing, and while they managed to create more shots, their attacks lacked the incisiveness required to breach Raja’s well-marshalled defence.
Turning Point
Raja’s second goal on the stroke of halftime killed Tanger’s momentum and effectively sealed the contest.
Man of the Match
M. Oyewusi
His early goal set the tone, and his relentless pressing and movement troubled Tanger’s defence throughout.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger: Match Preview
Raja Casablanca enter this fixture unbeaten in the league but with only one win from four, their campaign defined by defensive reliability and a lack of cutting edge. Their home record (one win, one draw, two goals scored, one conceded) mirrors their overall approach: compact, patient, and risk-averse. Ittihad Tanger, two points ahead but having played a game more, have alternated between resilience and vulnerability, with no clean sheets and two away defeats from three, conceding five on the road.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by Raja’s low-scoring, control-first style against an Ittihad Tanger side whose away games are more open but inconsistent. Raja’s last five league matches average just 2.0 total goals, and their season over 2.5 rate is 0%. They average 10.8 shots and 3.8 on target per game in the last five, but conversion remains modest. Ittihad Tanger’s away defence concedes 1.67 per game, but their attack is opportunistic rather than dominant, with just 2.0 shots and 1.4 on target per game in recent outings. Both sides score more often after the break (Raja: 4 of last 6 goals in the second half; Ittihad Tanger: 6 of last 7).
Given these rates, the model projects a low-scoring draw as most likely, with both teams’ defensive weaknesses balanced by the other’s lack of attacking efficiency. The 1-1 scoreline is supported both by recent H2H results and by the underlying rates, while the under 2.5 goals market is favoured due to Raja’s control and Ittihad Tanger’s lack of clean sheets but modest attacking volume.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
38%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger that most previews miss.
- 1Raja Casablanca’s season over 2.5 goals percentage is 0%, with all four matches finishing under that line.
- 2Ittihad Tanger have not kept a clean sheet in any of their five league matches, conceding in every away game.
- 3The 1-1 scoreline has occurred in two of the last four league meetings between these sides.
Who do you think wins: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides have averaged over a goal per game across their last five matches, but Raja’s home games and Ittihad Tanger’s away games trend low-scoring, with a combined 0.75 and 1.33 goals for/against per game at home/away respectively. The 1-1 has also appeared in two of the last four H2H meetings.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Raja Casablanca’s season over 2.5 rate is 0%, and their defensive record at home (0.5 goals conceded per game) suggests a low ceiling. Ittihad Tanger’s away matches average 3 goals, but much of that is from a single high-scoring win; the majority of their games cluster under 3 goals.
Read more ↓
More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction
This fixture pits Raja Casablanca’s defensive solidity against an Ittihad Tanger side whose away form is erratic but capable of scoring. Raja are unbeaten in the league, but have drawn three of four, while Ittihad Tanger have lost two of their last three away and have not kept a clean sheet all season. The statistical profile points to a tight, low-scoring contest with neither side likely to dominate for long stretches.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Only 0% of Raja Casablanca’s league matches have gone over 2.5 goals, while Ittihad Tanger’s away matches average 3.0 goals but are skewed by one high-scoring result.
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca have conceded just 0.5 goals per league game this season and recorded clean sheets in half of their matches.
- →Ittihad Tanger have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five league games, conceding 1.4 per match on average.
🚩 Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Raja Casablanca and 4.8 for Ittihad Tanger, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablanca are unbeaten in their first four league matches, but three draws and just three goals scored point to a conservative, control-oriented approach. Ittihad Tanger have shown more volatility, alternating wins and losses, but have conceded in every match and lost two of three away from home.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
Raja Casablanca have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last ten and losing just once. Draws are common, including two 1-1 results in the last four league meetings, and Raja’s home record against Ittihad Tanger is especially strong with three wins and a draw in the last four.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Raja Casablanca wins
4
Draws
1
Ittihad Tanger wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value assessment is not possible. However, the model’s probabilities suggest the draw and under 2.5 goals would be the first markets to check for potential edge, given the underlying rates and H2H patterns.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams’ season records (Raja 4 games, Ittihad Tanger 5 games) increases variance risk.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, fouls) are missing for several away games, limiting set-piece and discipline analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Raja Casablanca 1–1 Ittihad TangerA 1-1 draw is the model’s baseline, driven by Raja Casablanca’s low-scoring, defensively stable profile (0.5 goals conceded per game, 0% over 2.5 rate) and Ittihad Tanger’s inability to keep clean sheets but also lack of sustained attacking output away from home. The main risk is that Raja’s home control turns into a rare breakthrough or that Ittihad Tanger’s opportunistic attack finds a second goal, but the distribution clusters around a low total and a shared result.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger: Common Questions
Who will win Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
The model gives Raja Casablanca a 38% chance of victory, Ittihad Tanger a 23% chance, and the draw a 39% chance. Both teams have struggled to convert chances, and recent H2H meetings have often ended level.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
There is a 52% probability that both teams will score, reflecting Ittihad Tanger’s lack of clean sheets and Raja’s tendency to concede just under a goal per game, but neither attack is prolific.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in this match?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 64% probability, supported by Raja Casablanca’s 0% over 2.5 rate this season and their home defensive record.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.