Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Ittihad Tanger
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Raja Casablanca
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.5/10Late Drama as Ittihad Tanger Deny 10-Man Raja Casablanca at the Death
Ittihad Tanger and Raja Casablanca played out a dramatic 1-1 draw at Stade Ibn Batouta, with both sides leaving everything on the pitch in a fiercely contested Botola Pro encounter. Raja looked to have secured all three points after taking the lead just before halftime, but a late surge from the hosts saw them snatch a deserved equalizer in the dying moments of the match. The contest was marked by intensity and discipline issues, with a total of nine yellow cards and a crucial red card for Raja Casablanca that shifted the momentum. Despite being reduced to ten men, Raja defended resolutely, but Ittihad Tanger's persistence paid off with a last-gasp goal, ensuring the spoils were shared.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
44' — Goal
Raja Casablanca take the lead with a well-timed goal just before the break.
Second Half' — Red Card
Raja Casablanca reduced to ten men, shifting the momentum in favor of the hosts.
90' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger equalize in stoppage time, capping off a dramatic finish.
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger showed great resilience, especially in the second half, as they pressed for an equalizer against a Raja side that had gone down to ten men. The hosts struggled to break down Raja's defense for much of the game but maintained their composure and intensity, ultimately finding a breakthrough in stoppage time. Their discipline was questionable, picking up five yellow cards, but their fighting spirit was undeniable. The late goal was a testament to their attacking persistence and refusal to give up, ensuring that they salvaged a point in front of their home fans.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca put in a disciplined away performance, taking the lead just before halftime and looking comfortable for long stretches. However, their momentum was disrupted by a red card, forcing them to defend deep for much of the second half. Despite being under pressure, Raja's defensive organization nearly saw them over the line, but they ultimately conceded late, leaving them with just a point. Four yellow cards and a red highlighted their struggles to maintain composure under pressure, but their effort with ten men was commendable.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams set up with a clear intent: Ittihad Tanger focused on home pressure, while Raja Casablanca looked to control the tempo and strike on the counter. The match was physical and tightly contested, as evidenced by the nine yellow cards and one red. After Raja's sending off, Ittihad Tanger pushed more bodies forward, exploiting the extra space and testing Raja's defensive resolve. Raja responded by dropping deeper, sacrificing attacking ambition for defensive solidity, but were ultimately undone by relentless late pressure. Substitutions and tactical tweaks from Ittihad Tanger in the second half increased their attacking width and urgency, while Raja's shape became more compact and defensive after the red card. Set pieces and crosses became more frequent for the hosts as they chased the equalizer, eventually finding reward in stoppage time.
Turning Point
The red card to Raja Casablanca in the second half, which handed Ittihad Tanger the initiative and led to the late equalizer.
Man of the Match
Ittihad Tanger's 90th minute goalscorer
Delivered under pressure with a dramatic stoppage-time equalizer, salvaging a point for his team.
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have inconsistent recent form, and Ittihad Tanger draws frequently at home while Raja Casablanca have a solid away record but have also drawn 3 of 13 away. The H2H record also features several draws, making this a plausible outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams' season over 2.5 goal percentages are low (Ittihad Tanger 25.9%, Raja Casablanca 22.2%), and their recent games have generally been low-scoring. Defensive solidity and lack of attacking explosiveness suggest a tight game.
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Double Chance: Draw or Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca are higher in the table, have a strong away record, and a dominant H2H record. The probability of them avoiding defeat is high based on form and matchup data.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca Prediction
This is a closely matched fixture between two sides with contrasting recent form and historical records. Ittihad Tanger have been solid at home but often settle for draws, while Raja Casablanca are chasing a top finish and have a strong away record, though their recent form is mixed. The H2H history heavily favors Raja, but Ittihad Tanger's resilience at home and both teams' tendency for low-scoring games point to a cautious, evenly fought contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form for both is patchy: both lost their last match.
- →H2H: Raja Casablanca have won 6 of the last 10, but draws are not uncommon.
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca have the league's second-best away clean sheet rate (51.85%).
- →Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game this season.
Match Context
- →Ittihad Tanger have drawn over half their home matches this season.
How Ittihad Tanger and Raja Casablanca Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tanger come into this match on the back of a loss but had won three straight prior, showing some late-season resilience. Raja Casablanca have also been inconsistent, alternating between wins and losses in their last five, but have generally been more prolific in attack. Both sides have struggled for consistency, making this an unpredictable contest.
Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca have a strong historical edge in this fixture, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, but there have been 3 draws and only one Tanger win. Scorelines are often low, with only one match in the last five exceeding two goals. This suggests a tight, competitive fixture is likely.
Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Ittihad Tanger wins
4
Draws
5
Raja Casablanca wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
With no odds available, model value cannot be directly assessed. However, the model suggests that under 2.5 goals and double chance X2 are the most likely outcomes, and draws are more probable than typical for this league. If bookmakers price the draw or under 2.5 goals generously, these could offer value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner/foul data for recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and card/corner predictions.
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available, so late injuries or rotations could impact projections.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.