CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CR Khemis Zemamra
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 0 - 1
Maghreb Fès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Maghreb Fès
Match Result
6.8/10Late Drama as Maghreb Fès Edge Past 10-Man CR Khemis Zemamra
Maghreb Fès claimed a hard-fought 2-1 victory away at CR Khemis Zemamra in a tense affair at Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri. The visitors took the lead in the 32nd minute and doubled their advantage midway through the second half, before Zemamra pulled one back in stoppage time, but it was too little, too late. The match was marred by disciplinary issues, with CR Khemis Zemamra finishing with ten men after a red card, while both sides accumulated a flurry of yellow cards. Despite a spirited late push from the hosts, Maghreb Fès managed the game well after their second goal, showing composure and tactical discipline. The home side’s late goal provided a glimmer of hope, but Maghreb Fès held on to secure all three points in a match where tempers often flared and defensive solidity proved decisive.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
32' — Goal
Soufiane Benjdida opens the scoring for Maghreb Fès, giving the visitors a 1-0 lead.
73' — Goal
Adam Brika doubles Maghreb Fès' advantage, making it 2-0.
Late second half' — Red Card
CR Khemis Zemamra reduced to ten men after a sending off, further complicating their comeback hopes.
90' — Goal
Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui scores for CR Khemis Zemamra, but it's only a consolation as the match ends 2-1.
CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra struggled to impose themselves for much of the match, falling behind in the first half and conceding again in the 73rd minute. Their efforts were further hampered by disciplinary issues, as they picked up four yellow cards and a red, disrupting any rhythm they tried to build. The late goal in the 90th minute showcased their resilience, but their inability to keep composure and create clear chances earlier in the game ultimately cost them. The hosts showed some attacking intent late on, but their lack of cutting edge and the numerical disadvantage left them chasing the game. Defensive lapses and poor discipline undermined their efforts.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès executed their game plan well, capitalizing on key moments to build a two-goal lead. Their discipline at the back and ability to manage the game after going ahead were crucial, especially as the match grew increasingly physical. Despite conceding late, the visitors looked the more composed side for most of the contest, showing tactical awareness and taking advantage of the hosts’ indiscipline. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed them to control midfield phases and press effectively, with timely goals in each half proving decisive. The team’s ability to stay organized and avoid a red card, despite three yellows, was key to seeing out the win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
CR Khemis Zemamra lined up in a traditional 4-4-2, seeking width and direct play, but struggled to break down a compact Maghreb Fès side. The visitors’ 4-3-3 allowed them to dominate central areas and transition quickly into attack, with the midfield trio providing balance between defense and attack. Maghreb Fès pressed effectively, forcing errors and capitalizing on turnovers. Substitutions and the red card forced Zemamra to adjust tactically, but their numerical disadvantage left them vulnerable. Maghreb Fès, meanwhile, managed the game well, dropping deeper after their second goal and focusing on maintaining shape, which limited the hosts’ late threat until the stoppage-time goal.
Turning Point
Adam Brika’s goal in the 73rd minute, which doubled Maghreb Fès’ lead and left CR Khemis Zemamra with a mountain to climb, especially after the subsequent red card.
Man of the Match
Soufiane Benjdida
His opening goal set the tone and he was a constant threat, leading the line with intelligence and composure.
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Expected goals · model says 0.55
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès are unbeaten all season, have a strong away record (3W 5D 0L), and CR Khemis Zemamra have only 1 home win in 7. The away side's defense is excellent (0.47 conceded/game), and the home attack is weak (0.71 scored/game).
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low over 2.5% rates (CRKZ 42.86%, MAS 20%), and both average under 2 goals conceded per game. Recent H2H meetings are low-scoring.
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Match Result: Draw
Five of the last nine H2H ended in draws, and MAS have drawn five of eight away. CRKZ have drawn four of seven at home.
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The Case For This CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès Prediction
Maghreb Fès travel to CR Khemis Zemamra as league leaders, boasting an unbeaten record and the league's best defense. CR Khemis Zemamra struggle for goals and wins at home, while Maghreb Fès are tough to break down on their travels. Expect a tight, low-scoring match where the away side are more likely to edge it, but a draw is also a strong possibility. H2H history supports a cautious game with few goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →CR Khemis Zemamra have only 1 home win in 7, scoring just 4 goals at home all season
- →Last 5 for CRKZ: DLDLW, only 0.8 goals scored/game
- →H2H: 5 draws in last 9, mostly low-scoring
Defence
- →Maghreb Fès unbeaten in 15 (8W 7D 0L), best defense (0.47 conceded/game)
- →Maghreb Fès away: 3W 5D 0L, 9 scored, 4 conceded
Match Context
- →Both teams have high under 2.5 goal rates
How CR Khemis Zemamra and Maghreb Fès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CR Khemis Zemamralast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Maghreb Fèslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès
CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
CR Khemis Zemamra wins
5
Draws
2
Maghreb Fès wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or possession data; set piece and attacking threat estimates are less precise
- ⚠️Lineups for this match not available; potential for late selection surprises
- ⚠️Recent form weighted, but sample size still moderate
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CR Khemis Zemamra vs Maghreb Fès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.