CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CODM Meknès
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
UTS Rabat
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10CODM Meknès Edge UTS Rabat in Tense 1-0 Botola Pro Battle
CODM Meknès claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over UTS Rabat at the Stade d'Honneur, thanks to a decisive first-half goal in the 44th minute. Despite UTS Rabat edging possession with 51%, the hosts were more incisive, registering 15 shots to the visitors' 5 and forcing 6 saves from the away goalkeeper. The match was a physical affair, reflected in the eight yellow cards shown by the referee. The home side's attacking intent was evident throughout, but their inability to convert further chances kept UTS Rabat in the contest. The visitors, however, struggled to create meaningful opportunities, managing just a single shot on target all evening. Ultimately, CODM Meknès' resilience and superior attacking output proved the difference in a tightly contested encounter.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
44' — Goal
H. El Janati scores for CODM Meknès, breaking the deadlock just before halftime.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of 8 yellow cards shown in a fiercely contested match (5 for CODM Meknès, 3 for UTS Rabat).
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès delivered a disciplined and energetic performance, making the most of their attacking opportunities and showing defensive solidity when required. Their 15 shots, including 6 on target, demonstrated a clear intent to take the game to UTS Rabat, and they were rewarded just before halftime with the game's only goal. The hosts did not let up after taking the lead, continuing to press and create chances, though a lack of clinical finishing kept the margin narrow. Defensively, the team managed to limit UTS Rabat to just one shot on target, showcasing effective organization at the back. However, the five yellow cards picked up by CODM Meknès highlighted a combative approach that, while effective, could have proved costly on another day.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
UTS Rabat
UTS Rabat controlled slightly more possession (51%) but struggled to turn that advantage into meaningful attacking play, registering only 5 shots and just 1 on target. Their approach was measured, but a lack of creativity and penetration in the final third hampered their ability to threaten CODM Meknès' goal. The visitors did manage to force 3 corners, but set pieces failed to yield any clear-cut opportunities. Defensively, UTS Rabat were organized and limited the hosts to a single goal despite facing significant pressure. However, their own attacking shortcomings and three yellow cards reflected a side battling to keep pace in a physical contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams set up with disciplined, compact shapes, focusing on controlling midfield and limiting space between the lines. CODM Meknès pressed with intent, often pushing numbers forward and creating overloads in wide areas, which contributed to their high shot count. Their willingness to take risks in attack was balanced by a robust defensive line that allowed just a single shot on target. UTS Rabat, meanwhile, prioritized ball retention and looked to build from the back, but their lack of width and penetration made it difficult to break down the hosts. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical landscape, as both sides largely stuck to their initial game plans. Set pieces offered UTS Rabat some hope, but CODM Meknès defended their box with authority.
Turning Point
H. El Janati's goal in the 44th minute shifted the momentum decisively in favor of CODM Meknès, forcing UTS Rabat to chase the game after halftime.
Man of the Match
H. El Janati
Scored the decisive goal and led the line with energy and purpose.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat: Match Preview
CODM Meknès come into this fixture off a mixed start, sitting mid-table with one win and one defeat from their opening two league matches. Their only home game ended in a 0-1 loss to Kawkab Marrakech, highlighting a lack of attacking punch at home, while their away form was boosted by a 6-2 outlier win. UTS Rabat, currently second in the table, remain unbeaten after three matches (two wins, one draw), conceding just once and showing a strong defensive platform both home and away.
The statistical matchup points to a low-event contest. CODM’s average of 3.0 goals scored per game is inflated by a single high-scoring away win; at home, they have yet to find the net. UTS Rabat’s matches average just 1.33 total goals, with their away outing ending 1-0. Both sides have strong recent clean sheet records (UTS: 3 in last 5, CODM: 1 in last 5), and their head-to-head history is dominated by stalemates and low scores. Set-piece and discipline data are sparse, but yellow card rates are moderate for both teams in recent matches.
Given these trends, the model expects a cagey, low-scoring affair likely to be decided by a single moment or to end level. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with neither attack showing the consistency to break down the other’s defensive shape. Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured, and a draw is the likeliest result based on the distribution of outcomes and historical precedent.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS: Yes
35%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat that most previews miss.
- 1UTS Rabat have kept clean sheets in two of their three league matches and three of their last five overall.
- 2CODM Meknès have scored just once in their last two home league fixtures, failing to score in their most recent.
- 3Three of the last four H2H meetings have finished as draws, with two goalless stalemates.
Who do you think wins: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Three of the last four H2H meetings have ended level, and both sides show early-season defensive solidity (UTS Rabat: 0.33 conceded per game, CODM: 1.5), with the model assigning a 39% draw probability in a low-scoring environment.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
UTS Rabat matches have seen under 2.5 goals in two of three league games (average 1.33 total goals per game), while CODM failed to score in their only home fixture; the model puts 'under' at 69%.
Read more ↓
More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-goal, tightly balanced contest, with both teams showing early-season defensive discipline and limited attacking output outside of outlier results. UTS Rabat’s away record (one win, one goal scored, none conceded) and CODM Meknès’ home struggles (0-1 loss in their only home match) point to a contest where chances are at a premium. The model’s distribution favours a draw, with neither side expected to dominate the shot or possession counts.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →UTS Rabat have conceded just one goal in three league matches (0.33 per game), with two clean sheets.
Match Context
- →CODM Meknès have failed to score in their only home league match this season.
- →Three of the last four head-to-head meetings have ended in draws.
🚩 CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for CODM Meknès and 4.5 for UTS Rabat, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 44% · Over 10.5: 21%.
How CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
UTS Rabatlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknès have alternated between high and low output, with a heavy 6-2 away win sandwiched between a 0-1 home defeat and a 2-0 friendly win. UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last five, including two wins and a draw to start the league, and have conceded just once in that span, suggesting a more stable defensive platform.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
The last four meetings have produced three draws and just one win for UTS Rabat, with two goalless matches and only one fixture (June 2026) featuring more than one goal. This suggests a pattern of closely contested, low-scoring encounters between these sides.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
CODM Meknès wins
3
Draws
1
UTS Rabat wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
With bookmaker odds unavailable, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the probabilities indicate the market may underrate the likelihood of a draw and a low-scoring outcome, given both teams’ defensive rates and the H2H trend.
Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
- ⚠️Limited sample size on both teams’ current season home/away splits.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) are missing for recent games.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CODM Meknès 1–1 UTS RabatThe model calls a 1-1 draw as the most probable outcome, driven by UTS Rabat’s defensive record (0.33 goals conceded per game) and a head-to-head history dominated by draws. The main risk is that CODM’s attack, which exploded for six goals away, finds a way to replicate that output at home, but the overall rates and home/away splits suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat: Common Questions
Who will win CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat?
The model gives UTS Rabat a slight edge (34% win probability) over CODM Meknès (27%), but the draw is the most likely result at 39%. Both teams have strong defensive records and a history of stalemates in this fixture.
Will both teams score in CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat?
The probability of both teams scoring is 46%, with recent trends suggesting at least one side could keep a clean sheet. UTS Rabat have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while CODM failed to score in their only home match this season.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat?
Yes, the model estimates a 69% chance of under 2.5 goals. UTS Rabat matches average just 1.33 goals per game, and three of the last four H2H meetings have finished with one goal or fewer.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.