Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Raja Casablanca
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Hassania Agadir
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir: Match Preview
Raja Casablanca approach this fixture on the back of three consecutive draws in all competitions, having conceded just once in their opening three league matches (W1 D2 L0). Their defensive discipline is reflected in a 66.7% clean sheet rate this season, but their attack has struggled for fluency, averaging only 0.67 goals per league game. Hassania Agadir, meanwhile, sit third in the table with two wins from four and boast the league's most prolific attack, netting 11 times already, including 8 in just two away games. Both sides are unbeaten on the road, but Raja's home form and defensive record provide a stern test for the visitors.
The tactical contrast is stark: Raja's matches are low-event, with an average of just 1 goal per game across their league fixtures, while Hassania Agadir's away games average 6 goals, driven by a high BTTS rate (5/5 in their last five overall). Raja's last five have seen them fail to score only once, but they've also managed three clean sheets, suggesting a pragmatic approach that limits both their own and their opponents' chances. Hassania Agadir, by contrast, have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding 1.8 per game, but their attack has found the net in every outing.
Given these underlying rates, the model expects Raja's defensive structure to slow down Hassania Agadir's attack, with the most probable outcome a low-scoring draw. While Hassania Agadir's attack is in form, Raja's home record and historical H2H dominance (7 wins from 10, 5 clean sheets) suggest the visitors will find clear chances at a premium. The likeliest scenario is a tactical stalemate, with neither side able to impose their preferred rhythm for long spells.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir that most previews miss.
- 1Raja Casablanca's league matches have all finished under 2.5 goals this season (0% over 2.5).
- 2Hassania Agadir have scored and conceded in every league match so far, with BTTS landing in all four.
- 3Raja have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 meetings with Hassania Agadir, including both of the last two at home.
Who do you think wins: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams' season scoring/conceding rates and the distribution of recent results point to a low-scoring draw as the modal outcome, with Raja averaging just 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per league game, while Hassania Agadir's away matches average three goals but with a high BTTS rate.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Raja Casablanca have seen under 2.5 goals in all three league matches this season and have kept clean sheets in two of their last three, while Hassania Agadir's attack is potent but meets a defence conceding just 0.33 goals per game.
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The Case For This Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Prediction
Raja Casablanca's defensive solidity at home faces a Hassania Agadir side with the league's most prolific attack so far, but the underlying rates suggest a tactical deadlock is likely to emerge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca's season average: 0.67 goals scored, 0.33 conceded per game.
- →Hassania Agadir have scored 8 goals in 2 away matches but also conceded 4.
- →Raja have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
🚩 Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for Raja Casablanca and 4.5 for Hassania Agadir, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 45% · Over 10.5: 21%.
How Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablanca are unbeaten in their last five, but have drawn three straight, conceding just three goals in that span. Hassania Agadir have been much more open, with two wins, two draws and a loss in their last five, scoring 12 and conceding 8, and have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
Raja Casablanca have dominated the head-to-head, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings and keeping clean sheets in half of those. The last two encounters at Stade Mohamed V both ended in Raja victories without conceding, underscoring their historical home advantage.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Raja Casablanca wins
2
Draws
1
Hassania Agadir wins
Things to Watch: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' league campaigns (3-4 matches).
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Recent Hassania Agadir matches have been high-scoring, but Raja's defensive record is from a low-event sample.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Raja Casablanca 1–1 Hassania AgadirThe model projects a 1-1 draw, anchored by Raja Casablanca's defensive record—just one goal conceded in three league games—against a Hassania Agadir side that scores freely but also leaves gaps at the back. The single strongest data point is Raja's 66.7% clean sheet rate this season, but if Hassania Agadir's away scoring burst continues, the match could tip towards a higher-scoring outcome than the baseline suggests.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir: Common Questions
Who will win Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?
The model gives Raja Casablanca a 38% chance of victory, with a 37% probability for a draw and 25% for a Hassania Agadir win. The most likely outcome is a draw, reflecting Raja's defensive solidity and Hassania Agadir's attacking threat.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Hassania Agadir having scored in every match this season and Raja keeping three clean sheets in their last five. The clash of styles makes BTTS slightly more likely than not.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 55%, supported by Raja Casablanca's 0% over 2.5 rate in league play and their strong defensive numbers, despite Hassania Agadir's high-scoring profile.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.