FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
FAR Rabat
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Ittihad Tanger
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: Match Preview
FAR Rabat enter this home fixture sitting mid-table with four points from two league matches, having opened their season with a 1-0 win and a 2-2 draw. Ittihad Tanger, currently fourth, have played twice as many league games and have shown more attacking intent, scoring seven and conceding five, but their away record is balanced at one win and one loss. Both sides are unbeaten in their last two competitive outings, and neither has a significant injury concern.
From a statistical perspective, both teams' season averages are closely matched: FAR Rabat score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game, while Ittihad Tanger are at 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Notably, FAR Rabat have kept a clean sheet in half their league matches, while Ittihad Tanger have yet to record one. The last five matches for both teams show a similar trend, with each averaging over a goal scored and a goal conceded per game, and both showing a moderate BTTS rate (FAR Rabat 60%, Ittihad Tanger 80%). Set-piece threat appears muted, with both teams averaging under one corner per game in the limited available data.
Given the balanced attacking and defensive rates, the historical frequency of draws in this fixture, and the lack of a clear statistical edge, the model expects a closely fought contest. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with neither side likely to dominate, and the overall goal expectation sitting just below the 2.5 mark.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger that most previews miss.
- 1FAR Rabat have never lost to Ittihad Tanger in their last ten meetings (7W, 3D).
- 2Ittihad Tanger's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of their league fixtures this season, compared to 50% for FAR Rabat.
- 3Across both teams' last five matches, second-half goals (8) have outnumbered first-half goals (4), hinting at late match activity.
Who do you think wins: FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have averaged just over a goal per game (FAR Rabat 1.5, Ittihad Tanger 1.75), with neither side showing a dominant attack or defence; the draw has featured in three of the last five H2H meetings and both sides' recent results suggest a low-margin contest.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
With FAR Rabat conceding just one goal in their last two league matches and Ittihad Tanger keeping only one clean sheet in four, the average goals per game for both sides (1.5 and 1.75) point to a contest more likely to finish below three goals.
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The Case For This FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a tightly contested, low-scoring affair, with both FAR Rabat and Ittihad Tanger posting similar season-long scoring and conceding rates and little to separate them in recent form. The underlying numbers suggest a draw is the modal outcome, with a slight lean towards both teams finding the net once.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →FAR Rabat have kept clean sheets in 50% of their league matches so far.
- →Ittihad Tanger have averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per league game.
Match Context
- →Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have been won by FAR Rabat, but three of the last five have ended level.
🚩 FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for FAR Rabat and 4 for Ittihad Tanger, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 51% · Over 10.5: 26%.
How FAR Rabat and Ittihad Tanger Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FAR Rabatlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FAR Rabat are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, including two league matches where they've taken four points and conceded just twice. Ittihad Tanger have played more league games and shown a marginally stronger attack, but have also conceded in every match, with a WLDW form string. Both teams arrive with moderate momentum but no clear dominance.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
What History Says: FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger
FAR Rabat have been the dominant force in this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and never losing to Ittihad Tanger. However, three of the last five have ended all square, including both of the most recent encounters, suggesting the gap has narrowed in recent seasons.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
FAR Rabat wins
3
Draws
0
Ittihad Tanger wins
Things to Watch: FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger
- ⚠️Season sample sizes are small (FAR Rabat only two league matches played).
- ⚠️Lack of available odds restricts value analysis.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, fouls) are incomplete for recent fixtures.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FAR Rabat 1–1 Ittihad TangerA 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome, driven by both sides' near-identical scoring and conceding rates and the historical tendency for this fixture to finish level. The single strongest data point is the 60%+ BTTS rate in their recent games. The main risk is that Ittihad Tanger's higher attacking output in a larger sample (seven goals in four league matches) could tilt the balance if FAR Rabat's defence falters.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: Common Questions
Who will win FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
The model gives FAR Rabat a 39% chance of victory, Ittihad Tanger a 25% chance, and the draw a 36% probability. The most likely result is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced scoring rates and recent H2H record.
Will both teams score in FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
There is a 53% probability that both teams will score, based on recent BTTS rates (FAR Rabat 60%, Ittihad Tanger 80% in their last five) and their similar attacking and defensive numbers.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger?
Under 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 54% probability, with both sides averaging just over a goal scored and conceded per game this season and FAR Rabat keeping a clean sheet in half their league matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.