UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
UTS Rabat
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
CODM Meknès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Late Surge Seals UTS Rabat Victory Over 10-Man CODM Meknès
UTS Rabat clinched a crucial 2-0 win over CODM Meknès at the Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, thanks to a pair of late goals in a tense Botola Pro encounter. After a cagey first hour, the match turned on its head when CODM Meknès were reduced to ten men, opening the door for the hosts to capitalize. UTS Rabat broke the deadlock in the 71st minute and sealed the points with a second goal in stoppage time, punishing their visitors' numerical disadvantage. The match was fiercely contested, with both sides showing plenty of commitment—reflected in the seven yellow cards and a red that punctuated proceedings. UTS Rabat's persistence in the final third paid off late, while CODM Meknès' resilience was ultimately undone by their lack of discipline and inability to hold out under increasing pressure.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
71' — Goal
UTS Rabat broke the deadlock with a crucial opener, shifting momentum.
Late second half' — Red Card
CODM Meknès reduced to ten men, leaving them vulnerable.
90' — Goal
UTS Rabat doubled their lead in stoppage time to secure the win.
UTS Rabat
UTS Rabat delivered a patient, disciplined performance, biding their time before making the breakthrough against a stubborn CODM Meknès side. Despite a lack of early goals, they maintained composure and ramped up the pressure after their opponents went a man down, eventually finding the net twice in the closing stages. Four yellow cards reflected their aggressive approach, but the hosts managed to avoid any dismissals and kept their defensive shape intact throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès held firm for much of the match, frustrating UTS Rabat with organized defending and occasional forays forward. However, their efforts were undone by a costly red card, which left them exposed and unable to withstand the late onslaught. Three yellow cards and a red highlighted their disciplinary issues, ultimately contributing to their downfall as they conceded twice in the final 20 minutes.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams set up with a disciplined, defensive approach in the opening stages, leading to a tightly contested midfield battle. UTS Rabat's patience in possession paid off as they gradually increased their attacking intent after CODM Meknès went down to ten men. The hosts exploited the extra space, pushing more players forward and eventually breaking through. CODM Meknès, meanwhile, were forced into a reactive, compact shape after the red card, sacrificing any attacking ambition in favor of damage limitation. The high number of cards indicated a physical contest, with both sides pressing aggressively and not shying away from challenges.
Turning Point
The red card for CODM Meknès in the second half, which opened the door for UTS Rabat's late goals.
Man of the Match
71st minute goalscorer (UTS Rabat)
His opener broke the deadlock and set the stage for his team's victory.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
27%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès?
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Where the Model Sees Value: UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
All three previous H2H meetings ended in draws, both teams average a high number of draws this season, and the model assigns the highest probability to the draw outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low season over 2.5 rates (UTS 29%, CODM 25%), recent H2H meetings were low scoring, and both sides have struggled offensively at times.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès Prediction
This fixture features two teams that have drawn more than they have won, with UTS Rabat still winless at home and CODM Meknès struggling for away victories. The head-to-head history is dominated by stalemates, and both sides have shown defensive improvement recently. Expect a tight, low-scoring encounter with a draw the most likely outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: UTS Rabat unbeaten in last 5 (3W, 2D), CODM Meknès have 1 win in last 5 (1W, 1D, 3L).
Match Context
- →All three previous H2H meetings ended in draws (two 0-0, one 1-1).
- →UTS Rabat have drawn 12 of 24 league matches and are winless at home (0W, 7D, 5L).
- →CODM Meknès have just 1 away win in 11 (1W, 5D, 5L) and score only 0.45 goals per away match.
- →Both teams have a season over 2.5 rate below 30%.
How UTS Rabat and CODM Meknès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
UTS Rabatlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last five matches, picking up three wins and two draws, including a solid away draw at Raja Casablanca and clean sheets in three of their last five. CODM Meknès, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last five and two losses in their last three, though they have managed to score in every recent match.
UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès
The head-to-head record is remarkably balanced, with all three previous encounters ending in draws and very few goals scored. This trend, combined with both teams' tendency to draw, points strongly toward another close contest.
UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
UTS Rabat wins
3
Draws
0
CODM Meknès wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value assessment is not possible. However, the model's highest probabilities are for the draw and under 2.5 goals, which would be the focus for value if competitive odds were offered.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data available; reduces confidence in goal and corners estimates.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent lineups and tactical approaches are partially unknown due to missing formation data for some matches.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some recent improvement, so a surprise result cannot be ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for UTS Rabat vs CODM Meknès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.