Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Botola ProBotola Pro · Morocco
high confidence
Raja Casablanca

Raja Casablanca

AI Predicted Score

2 - 0

CR Khemis Zemamra

CR Khemis Zemamra

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 21:00 GMT+1 (venue time) · 20:00 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca

Win Probability (1X2)

Raja Casablanca 62%Draw 27%CR Khemis Zemamra 11%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Raja Casablanca Win

Recommended Bets: Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra

Match Result: Raja Casablanca Win
8/10
BTTS: No
6/10

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra: Match Preview

Raja Casablanca approach this fixture in strong short-term form, having won three of their last five and scoring at least once in every match. Their current streak includes back-to-back wins and no failed-to-score results, while CR Khemis Zemamra have struggled to turn draws into wins, recording a D4L1 sequence and just three goals in their last five. The league table is still in its infancy, but Raja's historical pedigree and home advantage are clear, while Zemamra sit near the bottom after a winless run.

From a statistical standpoint, Raja's attack has been efficient, averaging 1.6 goals per game and conceding only 0.8, while Zemamra's output is far less threatening at 0.6 scored per game. Raja's defence has kept two clean sheets in five, and their matches have seen both teams score only three times in that span. Zemamra's attack has failed to score twice in five, and their shot and corner averages are modest, suggesting limited set-piece threat. Disciplinary data is sparse, but Raja's home matches have historically been low-scoring for visitors.

The model expects Raja to dictate play, with a likely scenario involving an early goal and a controlled defensive display. Zemamra's lack of cutting edge away from home, combined with Raja's historical dominance in this fixture, makes a home win the statistical baseline. The most probable outcome is a 2-0 Raja victory, with the under 2.5 goals market holding some value due to Zemamra's limited offensive output.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Raja Casablanca1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

CR Khemis Zemamra0.60

Expected goals · model says 0.60

Win Probability
Raja Casablanca 63% Draw 24% CR Khemis Zemamra 13%

Over 2.5 Goals

39%

BTTS: Yes

36%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 2-0 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
62%
27%
Raja Casablanca 62%Draw 27%CR Khemis Zemamra 11%
Both Teams to Score
28%
72%
Yes 28%No 72%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
41%
59%
Over 2.5 41%Under 2.5 59%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra that most previews miss.

  • 1Raja Casablanca have scored in all of their last five matches, while Zemamra have failed to score in two of five.
  • 2In their last five H2H meetings in Casablanca, Raja have averaged 2.2 goals per game and conceded just 0.4.
  • 3Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches.

Who do you think wins: Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Prediction

Statistical rates point to Raja Casablanca controlling the match, with their recent scoring average more than doubling that of CR Khemis Zemamra and a defensive record that rarely offers up high-value chances. The away side's D4L1 form string reflects a lack of attacking punch, and a visit to Stade Mohamed V has historically been a one-sided assignment.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Head-to-head: Raja have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, including all five at home.

Attack

  • →CR Khemis Zemamra have not won in five (D4L1), scoring just 0.6 per game.

Defence

  • →Raja Casablanca's last five: 1.6 goals scored per game, 0.8 conceded, 3 wins.

🚩 Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Raja Casablanca and 5.3 for CR Khemis Zemamra, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Raja Casablanca and CR Khemis Zemamra Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Raja CasablancaRaja Casablancalast 5 matches
A. KhafifiXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

I. Khafisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. El Amloudsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Y. IguizXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Oyewusisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. BarkokXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

CR Khemis ZemamraCR Khemis Zemamralast 5 matches
M. AbdourahmaneXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Lahtimisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. El BajjaniXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Raja Casablanca are on a W2 streak and have won three of their last five, averaging 1.6 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. CR Khemis Zemamra, by contrast, are winless in five (D4L1) and have struggled to create chances, scoring only three times in that stretch.

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra — Last 5 Matches

Raja CasablancaRaja CasablancaLast 5 results
W2-0
W2-0
D1-1
L1-2
W2-1
W@ Olympique Safi2-0
Wvs Hassania Agadir2-0
D@ Ittihad Tanger1-1
L@ Yacoub El Mansour1-2
Wvs CODM Meknès2-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
CR Khemis ZemamraCR Khemis ZemamraLast 5 results
D0-0
D1-1
D1-1
D1-1
L0-1
D@ FAR Rabat0-0
Dvs FUS Rabat1-1
D@ Hassania Agadir1-1
Dvs Olympique Safi1-1
L@ Ittihad Tanger0-1

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game

What History Says: Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra

Raja Casablanca have a commanding record in this fixture, winning nine of the last ten meetings and every home game in that period. The aggregate score in Casablanca over the last five is 11-2 in Raja's favour, underlining their historical dominance.

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

9

Raja Casablanca wins

1

Draws

0

CR Khemis Zemamra wins

90%10% draws0%
17 Jun 26CR Khemis Zemamra vs Raja Casablanca3-4
1 Feb 26Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra3-0
9 Feb 25CR Khemis Zemamra vs Raja Casablanca1-2
6 Oct 24Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra2-0
21 Apr 24CR Khemis Zemamra vs Raja Casablanca1-2
9 Dec 23Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra2-1

Things to Watch: Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra

  • ⚠️No season-long home/away splits or league-wide rates are available yet for 2026/27.
  • ⚠️Small sample size (5 matches) for both teams; early-season volatility possible.
  • ⚠️Odds unavailable, so value edges cannot be quantified.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Raja Casablanca 2–0 CR Khemis Zemamra

Raja Casablanca are forecast to win 2-0, driven by their superior scoring rate and a head-to-head record that shows nine wins in the last ten meetings. The main risk is early-season unpredictability and the small sample of recent matches, but the underlying rates point to a controlled home performance.

Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra: Common Questions

Who will win Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

The model gives Raja Casablanca a 62% probability of victory, with CR Khemis Zemamra at just 11%. This is based on Raja's recent scoring rate (1.6 per game) and a dominant head-to-head record.

Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Both teams to score is rated at just 28%, with a 72% chance that at least one side keeps a clean sheet. Zemamra have failed to score in two of their last five, and Raja have two clean sheets in that span.

Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in this match?

Under 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 59% probability, reflecting both teams' recent low-scoring trends and Zemamra's limited attacking output.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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