CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
CODM Meknès
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Kawkab Marrakech
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech: Match Preview
Both CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech enter this fixture with similar recent trajectories, marked by conservative play and a tendency towards draws. Meknès have posted a 'WLWDD' form string, with their last five matches yielding two wins, two draws, and a loss, while Kawkab Marrakech have drawn three on the bounce after a win and a defeat. With both sides yet to record a league win this season, and only modest attacking output in recent friendlies and league matches, the stakes are about building early-season momentum rather than chasing the summit.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by low attacking output and limited shot creation on both sides. Meknès have averaged just 1.6 shots and 0.8 shots on target per game across their last five, while Kawkab Marrakech have managed only 1 shot and 0.6 on target. Both teams have kept two clean sheets in their last five, and neither has a set-piece or discipline trend that stands out. Notably, Meknès have scored five of their last six goals after half-time, suggesting a tendency to grow into matches, while Marrakech have struggled for late goals, netting just once after the break in their last five.
Given these underlying rates, the model expects a low-scoring, closely contested match, with the draw the likeliest outcome. The 1-1 scoreline is supported by both teams' recent averages and the H2H pattern of narrow margins. Unless either side finds an unexpected attacking spark or suffers a defensive lapse, a cagey affair with few clear chances is the statistical baseline.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech that most previews miss.
- 1CODM Meknès have scored five of their last six goals in the second half, highlighting a late-game bias.
- 2Kawkab Marrakech have drawn three consecutive league matches, all with under 2.5 goals.
- 3Across the last four H2H meetings, three finished with a one-goal margin and only one saw both teams score.
Who do you think wins: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
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Where the Model Sees Value: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides have averaged under 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game over their last five, with a combined four draws in their last ten matches and a low-scoring recent H2H history; the 1-1 sits at the intersection of these rates.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
With under 2.5 goals landing in 7 of the last 10 combined matches for these teams and both averaging fewer than 2.5 total goals per match in recent form, the statistical environment is clearly on the low side.
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The Case For This CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction
All available indicators point to a tightly contested, low-scoring fixture. Both CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech have struggled to produce high shot volumes or sustained attacking pressure in recent outings, with neither side averaging above 1.6 goals scored or 1.2 conceded across their last five. The distribution of recent results, including a combined four draws in their last ten, suggests a match where neither side can consistently impose itself. The tactical matchup is defined by conservative approaches and limited offensive output. CODM Meknès have relied on second-half goals (five of their last six scored after the break), while Kawkab Marrakech have been slow starters, with just one second-half goal in their last five. Both teams' recent matches have seen low corners and card counts, and neither has shown a clear set-piece edge. Defensive discipline is average, with yellow cards per game hovering just below one for each. Given the statistical rates, the model projects a low-event match, with a draw the modal outcome and a 1-1 scoreline most likely. The lack of recent attacking quality, combined with a history of narrow margins in head-to-head meetings, makes a high-scoring or one-sided result unlikely unless one side capitalises on a rare defensive lapse.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Draws and under 2.5 goals have been frequent outcomes in both sides' recent league form.
Defence
- →Both teams average fewer than 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Recent head-to-heads have produced three wins for CODM Meknès but mostly by a single goal margin.
🚩 CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for CODM Meknès and 3.6 for Kawkab Marrakech, for an expected total of 8.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 42% · Over 10.5: 19%.
How CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknès have alternated wins and draws in their last five, with only one defeat, suggesting a side difficult to beat but not prolific. Kawkab Marrakech's run of three consecutive draws points to similar resilience but a lack of cutting edge. Both teams have managed two clean sheets in that span, reinforcing the expectation of a tight contest.
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech — Last 5 Matches
What History Says: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech
CODM Meknès have had the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning three of the last four, including both home meetings by a single goal. Only one of those four matches saw more than two goals, and draws have been rare, but margins have been consistently narrow.
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
CODM Meknès wins
0
Draws
1
Kawkab Marrakech wins
Things to Watch: CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech
- ⚠️No current season data is available for either team, limiting sample size to last five matches and recent H2H.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds prevents value edge calculation and expected value quantification.
- ⚠️Lineup and injury data is incomplete, so late changes could affect model accuracy.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CODM Meknès 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechThe model projects a 1-1 draw, anchored by both sides' low recent scoring rates and the prevalence of tight, low-scoring outcomes in their head-to-head record. The strongest data point is the combined average of just 1.2 goals conceded per game for each side over their last five. The main risk to this forecast is if either team departs from their recent conservative approach and pushes for an early breakthrough, opening up the game.
CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech: Common Questions
Who will win CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
The model gives CODM Meknès a 36% chance of victory, Kawkab Marrakech a 26% chance, and the draw a 38% probability. Both teams have shown similar recent form, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 68% probability, driven by both sides' low scoring and conceding rates in recent matches and a history of low-scoring head-to-heads.
Are both teams likely to score in CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'no' the more probable outcome at 56%. This reflects the limited attacking output and recent defensive solidity from both sides.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CODM Meknès vs Kawkab Marrakech: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.