Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Kawkab Marrakech
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
CODM Meknès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Kawkab Marrakech Outclass CODM Meknès with Convincing 3-1 Home Victory
Kawkab Marrakech delivered a commanding performance at the Stade de Marrakech, dispatching CODM Meknès 3-1 in a match that showcased their attacking prowess and game management. The hosts struck early, setting the tone with a goal in the 14th minute, and doubled their lead before halftime. Despite a late consolation from the visitors, Kawkab always looked in control, sealing the points with a third goal late on. CODM Meknès struggled to impose themselves for much of the contest, only finding the net in the dying moments. The match was not without its bite, as both sides picked up several yellow cards, but ultimately it was the home side’s clinical finishing and defensive discipline that made the difference.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
14' — Goal
M. Jemjami opens the scoring for Kawkab Marrakech, giving the hosts an early advantage.
39' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech double their lead, putting CODM Meknès under real pressure before halftime.
84' — Goal
S. Cisse nets Kawkab's third, effectively sealing the victory.
90' — Goal
Y. Anouar scores a consolation for CODM Meknès in stoppage time.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up multiple yellow cards in a physical encounter.
Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech started brightly and maintained their intensity throughout, capitalizing on early momentum to take a deserved lead. Their attacking unit looked sharp and cohesive, finding the net twice in the first half and adding a third late on to quash any hopes of a CODM comeback. Defensively, Kawkab were largely untroubled until the final minutes, showing solid organization and discipline.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CODM Meknès
CODM Meknès were second best for much of the contest, unable to match Kawkab's intensity or creativity in attack. Their midfield struggled to gain a foothold, and defensive frailties were exposed by the home side’s incisive play. Despite a late goal to avoid a shutout, CODM will be disappointed with their overall display and inability to threaten until the match was all but lost.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams’ formations not specified, Kawkab Marrakech’s approach was clearly proactive, pressing high and attacking with purpose from the outset. Their ability to transition quickly and exploit CODM Meknès' defensive vulnerabilities was evident in the timing and manner of their goals. The midfield trio, marshaled by H. Fassoukh, provided both defensive cover and attacking impetus, ensuring Kawkab controlled the tempo. CODM Meknès, meanwhile, struggled to assert themselves in the middle of the park and were forced onto the back foot for long stretches. Their late attacking substitutions injected some energy, resulting in a late goal, but by then the game was beyond them. Both teams’ discipline was tested, as reflected in the five yellow cards shown, but Kawkab’s tactical discipline ultimately proved superior.
Turning Point
Kawkab Marrakech’s second goal in the 39th minute, giving them a commanding lead and sapping CODM Meknès’ confidence.
Man of the Match
M. Jemjami
Set the tone with an early goal and was influential throughout the match.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low season over 2.5 goal percentages (Kawkab 40%, CODM 15%), and recent games show a trend toward low scoring. Defensive solidity and lack of attacking threat from the away side suggest a cagey affair.
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Match Result: Draw
Kawkab are slight favorites on form, but their high draw rate (8 in 20) and CODM's tendency to avoid defeat away (4 draws in 9) make the draw a realistic outcome.
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BTTS: No
CODM have scored just 3 goals in 9 away matches and Kawkab have failed to score only once in their last 5, but the overall attacking output is low and both teams keep a fair number of clean sheets.
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The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès Prediction
Kawkab Marrakech enter this fixture with solid home form and recent momentum, while CODM Meknès have struggled for goals away and are on a poor run. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest, with the hosts slightly more likely to edge it, but a draw is a strong possibility given both teams' defensive tendencies and lack of attacking firepower. The historical head-to-head is dominated by CODM, but current form and home advantage point toward a change in the pattern.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Kawkab's recent home form: 2 wins in last 3 home league games
Attack
- →CODM's away attack: only 3 goals in 9 away league matches
- →Kawkab's higher recent scoring rate (1.6 avg last 5)
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side
Match Context
- →Both teams' low season over 2.5 goal rates
- →Head-to-head: CODM have won all recent meetings
How Kawkab Marrakech and CODM Meknès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CODM Meknèslast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakech have shown mixed but improving form, with three wins in their last five matches and an uptick in goals scored, highlighted by a recent 3-1 cup win. CODM Meknès' current form is unclear due to missing recent match data, but their season record shows a tendency for low-scoring games and a struggle to score away from home.
Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +47.62% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès
The head-to-head record is firmly in CODM Meknès' favor, having won all three recent meetings, each by a single-goal margin. The matches have consistently been low-scoring, with no game seeing more than three goals and two ending 1-0.
Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Kawkab Marrakech wins
0
Draws
3
CODM Meknès wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès
Without bookmaker odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges, but the model strongly favors low goal totals and a tight contest. If under 2.5 goals or 'no' on BTTS are offered at reasonable odds, they would likely represent value based on the teams' season-long scoring and conceding patterns.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No recent match data for CODM's last 5, increasing uncertainty about their current form
- ⚠️No detailed stats (shots, possession, etc.) for recent matches
- ⚠️Standings data is missing, so league position/motivation is inferred from season records
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs CODM Meknès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.