Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Amal Tiznit
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Kawkab Marrakech
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Kawkab Marrakech Win
Recommended Bets: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech: Match Preview
Kawkab Marrakech arrive at this match leading the Botola Pro after four rounds, having collected nine points and boasting a perfect away record with two wins from two. Their current three-match winning streak is built on defensive strength, while Amal Tiznit, sitting 11th, have struggled at home—losing both matches and conceding eight goals in the process. The home side have at least shown attacking intent, scoring in every league fixture so far.
This contest is shaped by contrasting defensive records: Kawkab have yet to concede on their travels (two away clean sheets), while Amal Tiznit have the league's leakiest home defence so far. Both teams average just over a goal per game, but Amal Tiznit's matches have been more open, with 50% going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in four of their last five. Kawkab's away matches, by contrast, have been tight and low-scoring. Set-piece data is limited, but corners and cards rates are both moderate, suggesting a game more likely to be decided in open play than by dead balls or discipline.
Given these splits, the model expects Kawkab Marrakech to control proceedings, leveraging their defensive organisation to restrict the hosts. However, Amal Tiznit's consistent scoring record means a clean sheet is far from assured for the visitors. The most probable outcome is a narrow away win, with the 2-1 scoreline reflecting Kawkab's edge in both form and defensive reliability. The main risk is that Amal Tiznit's defensive frailty at home could see the match swing into higher-scoring territory.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech that most previews miss.
- 1Kawkab Marrakech have kept clean sheets in both away matches this season, but Amal Tiznit have failed to score in none of their last five games.
- 2Amal Tiznit's home matches average 5.5 goals per game so far (3 scored, 8 conceded in 2 games).
- 3Both teams have scored in 80% of Amal Tiznit's last five matches, but only 60% of Kawkab's last five.
Who do you think wins: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Kawkab Marrakech Win
Kawkab Marrakech have won both away games this season without conceding, while Amal Tiznit have lost both home matches and conceded eight goals at home. The away win probability is modelled at 47% based on these splits.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams are averaging exactly 50% over 2.5 goals in their four league matches, but Kawkab Marrakech's away games have both finished under 2.5 (aggregate 2-0), and the overall goal environment is moderate.
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BTTS: Yes
Amal Tiznit have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and have failed to score in none of those games, suggesting a higher-than-average BTTS probability despite Kawkab's away clean sheets.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction
Kawkab Marrakech come into this fixture top of the Botola Pro, having taken nine points from four matches and winning both away games without conceding. Amal Tiznit, by contrast, sit 11th and have struggled defensively at home, losing both matches at their own ground and conceding eight goals in the process. The away side's current three-match winning run is underpinned by a defensive record that stands in sharp contrast to the home team's vulnerabilities. Statistically, the matchup is defined by Kawkab's defensive solidity on the road (0 goals conceded in two away games) against an Amal Tiznit attack that has at least found the net in every match so far. The home side's defensive record is a concern, with an average of 2.25 goals conceded per game and a clean sheet rate of just 25%. Goal output from both teams is moderate: Kawkab average 1.5 goals for and 1 against per match, while Amal Tiznit average 1.25 for and 2.25 against. Both sides see 50% of matches go over 2.5 goals, but Kawkab's away matches have been notably lower-scoring. The model expects Kawkab Marrakech's defensive structure to limit the hosts, but Amal Tiznit's consistent scoring record suggests they can find a goal. The most likely scenario is a controlled away performance, with Kawkab's attack doing enough to edge a 2-1 result. The main caveat is Amal Tiznit's tendency for high-scoring home defeats, which could tilt the total goals higher if defensive issues persist.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have scored in four of Amal Tiznit's last five matches.
Defence
- →Kawkab Marrakech have won both away matches this season without conceding (2-0 aggregate).
- →Amal Tiznit have lost both home matches, conceding eight goals in those two games.
🚩 Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Amal Tiznit and 4 for Kawkab Marrakech, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 44% · Over 10.5: 21%.
How Amal Tiznit and Kawkab Marrakech Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Amal Tiznitlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Amal Tiznit's recent form is mixed, with just one win in their last five and defensive issues at home—conceding five and three in their two home defeats. Kawkab Marrakech, by contrast, are on a three-match winning streak, including two away victories without conceding. The away side's defensive consistency and ability to edge tight games give them clear momentum coming into this fixture.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Things to Watch: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available; historical matchup unknown.
- ⚠️Small sample size (4 league games each) limits reliability of rate estimates.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Amal Tiznit 1–2 Kawkab MarrakechThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Kawkab Marrakech, with the single strongest data point being the visitors' perfect away defensive record (two clean sheets from two). The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Amal Tiznit's attack, which has scored in every match, capitalises on any Kawkab defensive lapse and turns the game into a high-scoring draw.
Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech: Common Questions
Who will win Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Kawkab Marrakech are modelled as 47% likely to win, compared to 20% for Amal Tiznit and 33% for the draw. The away side's perfect defensive record on the road and Amal Tiznit's poor home form underpin this edge.
Will both teams score in Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Both teams to score is rated at 54% probability. Amal Tiznit have seen BTTS land in four of their last five matches, while Kawkab have yet to concede away but have faced less potent attacks.
How many goals are expected in Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech?
The model sees a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of over 1.5, reflecting Amal Tiznit's high-scoring home games and Kawkab's generally tighter approach. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to the visitors.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Resources
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Kawkab Marrakech Predictions
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Model Accuracy
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