Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Hassania Agadir
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Maghreb Fès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: Match Preview
Both sides enter this fixture with solid defensive records but contrasting attacking output. Hassania Agadir have struggled for goals, managing just three in their last five outings (form string: DLDDW), while Maghreb Fès have been more productive, netting eight across the same period (form: DWWDW). With both teams yet to play a league match this season, the table offers little guidance, but recent form suggests Maghreb Fès arrive in better shape, especially after a 4-1 CAF Champions League win.
The statistical profile points to a game of few chances. Hassania Agadir's last five home games have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Maghreb Fès have conceded only twice in their last five matches and kept three clean sheets. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals land in the majority of recent matches, and the last five H2H meetings in Agadir have produced just eight goals combined. Set-piece threat is minimal, with both sides averaging under one corner per game recently, and neither side racks up cards at a high rate.
Given the low attacking output from the hosts and the visitors' defensive solidity, the model expects a slow-burning encounter likely to be decided by a single goal. Maghreb Fès' superior head-to-head record and recent scoring edge tip the probabilities slightly in their favour, but the draw is nearly as likely in a contest where margins will be thin and goals at a premium.
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Expected goals · model says 0.60
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès that most previews miss.
- 1Hassania Agadir's last five matches average just 1.4 total goals per game.
- 2Maghreb Fès have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches, conceding only two goals in that span.
- 3Only one of the last five H2H meetings has produced more than two goals.
Who do you think wins: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
With 4 of the last 10 H2H ending level and both sides averaging under 1 goal conceded per game in their last 5, the model sees a 42% probability for the draw—highest of any outcome in a low-scoring environment.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 combined matches, with Hassania Agadir averaging 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, and Maghreb Fès conceding just 0.4 per game in their last 5.
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The Case For This Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, tightly contested game. Hassania Agadir's attack has sputtered, producing just 0.6 goals per match in their last five, while Maghreb Fès have conceded only 0.4 per game over the same span. The historical head-to-head leans towards the visitors, who have won five of the last ten meetings, including a 2-0 and a 4-0 away result in recent years. Expect a cautious first half and a strong probability that one goal could settle it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hassania Agadir have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches and average just 0.6 goals per game.
Defence
- →Maghreb Fès have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and concede only 0.4 goals per game in that stretch.
Match Context
- →Only 2 of the last 10 H2H meetings have produced more than 2.5 goals.
🚩 Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Hassania Agadir and 3.8 for Maghreb Fès, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Maghreb Fèslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadir have struggled to convert draws into wins, recording a DLDDW form string and scoring only three times in their last five matches. Maghreb Fès arrive with stronger momentum, unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW) and fresh off a 4-1 continental win, suggesting a sharper attack and greater defensive stability.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning five of the last ten meetings and taking both of their last two trips to Agadir by multiple goals. Draws are frequent, with three in the last six, and only one of the last five H2H has gone over two goals.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Hassania Agadir wins
3
Draws
5
Maghreb Fès wins
Things to Watch: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
- ⚠️No season-long data available for home/away splits or league-wide rates due to the new campaign.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for most stats; early-season volatility is high.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hassania Agadir 0–1 Maghreb FèsThe model projects a 1-0 win for Maghreb Fès, driven by their defensive record (0.4 goals conceded per game in the last five) and historical dominance in this fixture. The main risk is that Hassania Agadir's home advantage and the early-season context could produce a cagey draw, especially given both teams' low attacking output.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: Common Questions
Who will win Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
The model assigns a 35% probability to a Maghreb Fès win, 42% to a draw, and 23% to a Hassania Agadir victory, with the away side favoured due to recent defensive form and a strong head-to-head record.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 78%, reflecting both teams' recent low-scoring matches and the fact that only two of the last ten H2H encounters have exceeded this line.
Are both teams likely to score in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
Both teams to score is rated at just 28%, with Hassania Agadir failing to score in two of their last five and Maghreb Fès keeping three clean sheets in that span.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.