Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Hassania Agadir
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 1
Maghreb Fès
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Maghreb Fès Strike Twice to Edge Hassania Agadir in Agadir Showdown
Maghreb Fès clinched a hard-fought 2-1 away victory over Hassania Agadir at the Stade Adrar, capitalizing on a strong first-half performance. The visitors struck twice before the break, establishing a lead that proved just enough to withstand a spirited second-half response from the hosts. Hassania Agadir rallied after halftime, halving the deficit, but ultimately fell short despite their efforts. The contest was marked by Maghreb Fès’s clinical finishing in the opening period, with goals in the 27th and 39th minutes putting them firmly in control. Hassania Agadir responded with a goal of their own in the 56th minute and pushed forward in search of an equalizer, but their comeback was hampered by discipline issues, as they collected three yellow cards. Maghreb Fès held firm defensively to secure all three points on the road.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
27' — Goal
Maghreb Fès open the scoring to take a 1-0 lead.
39' — Goal
Maghreb Fès double their advantage, making it 2-0 before halftime.
56' — Goal
Hassania Agadir pull one back, reducing the deficit to 2-1.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Hassania Agadir pick up three yellow cards as they chase the game.
Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir struggled to find their rhythm in the first half, conceding twice and looking vulnerable at the back. After the interval, they showed greater urgency, pulling a goal back in the 56th minute and applying sustained pressure in search of an equalizer. However, their efforts were undermined by a lack of composure, as evidenced by three yellow cards, and they were unable to break down a resolute Maghreb Fès defense in the closing stages.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès delivered an efficient and disciplined away performance, taking their chances clinically with two first-half goals. Their defensive organization was tested after the break, but they remained compact and limited Hassania Agadir's opportunities. The visitors' ability to manage the game and maintain composure, avoiding any bookings, was key to seeing out the victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With full lineup and formation details unavailable, the flow of the match suggests Maghreb Fès set up to absorb pressure and strike on the counter, particularly in the first half where they netted twice. Their disciplined approach was evident in the lack of yellow cards and their ability to maintain structure under increasing pressure in the second half. Hassania Agadir, meanwhile, appeared to struggle with defensive organization early on but shifted to a more attacking stance after the break, pushing higher up the pitch and committing more bodies forward. However, their aggression led to disciplinary issues, and they were unable to find the final ball needed to level the match.
Turning Point
Maghreb Fès’s second goal in the 39th minute gave them a crucial cushion and ultimately proved decisive, forcing Hassania Agadir to chase the game from behind.
Man of the Match
Second Maghreb Fès Goalscorer
Scored the decisive second goal and contributed to a disciplined team performance that secured the win.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: Match Preview
Both sides enter this fixture with solid defensive records but contrasting attacking output. Hassania Agadir have struggled for goals, managing just three in their last five outings (form string: DLDDW), while Maghreb Fès have been more productive, netting eight across the same period (form: DWWDW). With both teams yet to play a league match this season, the table offers little guidance, but recent form suggests Maghreb Fès arrive in better shape, especially after a 4-1 CAF Champions League win.
The statistical profile points to a game of few chances. Hassania Agadir's last five home games have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Maghreb Fès have conceded only twice in their last five matches and kept three clean sheets. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals land in the majority of recent matches, and the last five H2H meetings in Agadir have produced just eight goals combined. Set-piece threat is minimal, with both sides averaging under one corner per game recently, and neither side racks up cards at a high rate.
Given the low attacking output from the hosts and the visitors' defensive solidity, the model expects a slow-burning encounter likely to be decided by a single goal. Maghreb Fès' superior head-to-head record and recent scoring edge tip the probabilities slightly in their favour, but the draw is nearly as likely in a contest where margins will be thin and goals at a premium.
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Expected goals · model says 0.60
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès that most previews miss.
- 1Hassania Agadir's last five matches average just 1.4 total goals per game.
- 2Maghreb Fès have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches, conceding only two goals in that span.
- 3Only one of the last five H2H meetings has produced more than two goals.
Who do you think wins: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
With 4 of the last 10 H2H ending level and both sides averaging under 1 goal conceded per game in their last 5, the model sees a 42% probability for the draw—highest of any outcome in a low-scoring environment.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 combined matches, with Hassania Agadir averaging 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, and Maghreb Fès conceding just 0.4 per game in their last 5.
Read more ↓
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The Case For This Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, tightly contested game. Hassania Agadir's attack has sputtered, producing just 0.6 goals per match in their last five, while Maghreb Fès have conceded only 0.4 per game over the same span. The historical head-to-head leans towards the visitors, who have won five of the last ten meetings, including a 2-0 and a 4-0 away result in recent years. Expect a cautious first half and a strong probability that one goal could settle it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hassania Agadir have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches and average just 0.6 goals per game.
Defence
- →Maghreb Fès have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and concede only 0.4 goals per game in that stretch.
Match Context
- →Only 2 of the last 10 H2H meetings have produced more than 2.5 goals.
🚩 Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Hassania Agadir and 3.8 for Maghreb Fès, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (65%). Over 8.5: 48% · Over 10.5: 24%.
How Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fès Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Maghreb Fèslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadir have struggled to convert draws into wins, recording a DLDDW form string and scoring only three times in their last five matches. Maghreb Fès arrive with stronger momentum, unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW) and fresh off a 4-1 continental win, suggesting a sharper attack and greater defensive stability.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
Maghreb Fès have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning five of the last ten meetings and taking both of their last two trips to Agadir by multiple goals. Draws are frequent, with three in the last six, and only one of the last five H2H has gone over two goals.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Hassania Agadir wins
3
Draws
5
Maghreb Fès wins
Things to Watch: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
- ⚠️No season-long data available for home/away splits or league-wide rates due to the new campaign.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for most stats; early-season volatility is high.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hassania Agadir 0–1 Maghreb FèsThe model projects a 1-0 win for Maghreb Fès, driven by their defensive record (0.4 goals conceded per game in the last five) and historical dominance in this fixture. The main risk is that Hassania Agadir's home advantage and the early-season context could produce a cagey draw, especially given both teams' low attacking output.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: Common Questions
Who will win Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
The model assigns a 35% probability to a Maghreb Fès win, 42% to a draw, and 23% to a Hassania Agadir victory, with the away side favoured due to recent defensive form and a strong head-to-head record.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 78%, reflecting both teams' recent low-scoring matches and the fact that only two of the last ten H2H encounters have exceeded this line.
Are both teams likely to score in Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès?
Both teams to score is rated at just 28%, with Hassania Agadir failing to score in two of their last five and Maghreb Fès keeping three clean sheets in that span.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.