FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
FUS Rabat
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 1
Raja Casablanca
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Raja Casablanca Held by Resilient FUS Rabat in 1-1 Rabat Stalemate
Raja Casablanca and FUS Rabat played out a tightly contested 1-1 draw at Stade Moulay El Hassan, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive winner. Raja struck first in the 20th minute, capitalizing on their early control of possession, but FUS Rabat responded strongly in the second half, equalizing in the 69th minute after sustained pressure. While Raja enjoyed the lion’s share of possession (56%) and dictated much of the tempo, FUS Rabat were more incisive in attack, registering seven shots on target to Raja’s solitary effort. Both teams created periods of momentum, but resolute defending and a lack of clinical finishing ensured the points were shared in Rabat.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
20' — Goal
Y. Bakiz puts Raja Casablanca ahead after a swift attacking move.
69' — Goal
Déo Gracias Maurile Gloire Bassinga levels for FUS Rabat, finishing off a well-worked attack.
77' — Yellow Card
FUS Rabat’s A. Maher is booked for a tactical foul, highlighting the intensity of the closing stages.
FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat demonstrated grit and attacking intent, especially after falling behind early. Despite having less possession, they produced the game’s most dangerous moments, firing 7 shots on target from 10 attempts. Their pressing and willingness to commit numbers forward in the second half paid off with a well-taken equalizer in the 69th minute. Defensively, FUS Rabat limited Raja to just one shot on target, showing strong organization in their 4-4-2 setup. However, their inability to convert more of their chances and a slow start left them with only a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca started brightly, controlling possession and opening the scoring in the 20th minute. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate the midfield and dictate play, but they struggled to translate this into clear chances, managing only one shot on target from 10 attempts. After conceding the equalizer, Raja found it difficult to regain their attacking rhythm, with FUS Rabat’s pressing disrupting their build-up. Despite their technical superiority and territorial advantage, Raja lacked the cutting edge needed to secure all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
FUS Rabat set up in a traditional 4-4-2, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. Their midfield was industrious, and the front two provided a direct threat, particularly in the second half as they chased the equalizer. The full-backs offered width, but the emphasis was on vertical play and exploiting spaces behind Raja’s advanced midfield. Raja Casablanca’s 4-2-3-1 allowed them to dominate possession, with double pivots shielding the defense and facilitating ball circulation. However, their attacking trio behind the striker often found themselves isolated, and despite their control, Raja’s build-up was too ponderous to break down FUS Rabat’s defensive block. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, with both teams largely sticking to their initial game plans.
Turning Point
The 69th-minute equalizer by Bassinga, which shifted momentum and forced Raja onto the back foot for the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
Déo Gracias Maurile Gloire Bassinga
His equalizer and persistent attacking threat were crucial in earning FUS Rabat a hard-fought point.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: Match Preview
FUS Rabat enter this match under pressure, having lost both league games so far and scoring just once in the process. Their form string of 'LLLDW' and a current three-game losing streak highlight ongoing struggles, particularly in front of goal. Raja Casablanca, by contrast, have started with a win and are on a three-match winning streak across all competitions, sitting mid-table but with a game in hand.
Statistically, the game is shaped by FUS Rabat’s blunt attack—averaging 0.5 goals per game this season—against a Raja side yet to concede in league play. Raja’s last five matches show an average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game and three clean sheets, while FUS have failed to score in two of their last five. The head-to-head record further tilts towards Raja, who have won seven of the last ten meetings and kept five clean sheets in that span.
Given these patterns, the model expects a low-scoring contest, with Raja’s defensive solidity likely to frustrate FUS. The most probable outcome is a narrow away win or a draw, with under 2.5 goals strongly favoured. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1, but a goalless draw is also a strong possibility if FUS can hold out.
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Expected goals · model says 0.55
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca that most previews miss.
- 1Raja Casablanca have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their last ten meetings with FUS Rabat.
- 2FUS Rabat have scored just 0.8 goals per game over their last five, and failed to score in two of those.
- 3Only one of the last five Raja matches has seen both teams score.
Who do you think wins: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
With FUS Rabat averaging just 0.5 goals per game and Raja Casablanca conceding none so far this season, the probability of a low-scoring stalemate is significant, especially given the 40% model probability for a draw.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have combined for only two goals in three league matches this season, and 77% model probability points to a strong under 2.5 environment.
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BTTS: No
FUS Rabat have failed to score in two of their last five, while Raja have three clean sheets in their last five; the model gives a 72% chance of at least one side blanking.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Prediction
This fixture projects as a low-scoring, tightly contested affair, with Raja Casablanca’s superior defensive record and FUS Rabat’s attacking struggles shaping the likely outcome. The statistical profile points to a narrow away win or a draw, with under 2.5 goals the most probable scenario.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →FUS Rabat average just 0.5 goals per game this season and have not kept a clean sheet.
- →Raja Casablanca have conceded zero goals in league play and kept three clean sheets in their last five.
- →Seven of the last ten head-to-heads have been won by Raja Casablanca, with five clean sheets.
🚩 FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for FUS Rabat and 3.8 for Raja Casablanca, for an expected total of 8.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (71%). Over 8.5: 41% · Over 10.5: 19%.
How FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FUS Rabatlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FUS Rabat are on a downward trajectory, losing three straight and scoring just once in their opening two league fixtures. Raja Casablanca, meanwhile, have won three in a row across all competitions and have yet to concede in the league, suggesting clear momentum in their favour.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca — Last 4 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings and keeping five clean sheets. FUS Rabat’s last home win over Raja came more than three years ago, with Raja winning the last two in Rabat by comfortable margins.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
FUS Rabat wins
1
Draws
7
Raja Casablanca wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
With no bookmaker odds available, model-derived edges cannot be calculated. However, the strongest statistical signals point to under 2.5 goals and 'both teams to score: no' as the most likely outcomes, both supported by low scoring rates and defensive trends in the data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
- ⚠️Very small league sample size (2 games for FUS, 1 for Raja) means underlying rates are not yet stable.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Raja Casablanca have not played away in the league this season, so away data is inferred from broader form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FUS Rabat 0–1 Raja CasablancaThe model projects a 0-1 win for Raja Casablanca, driven by their outstanding defensive record—no goals conceded in league play and three clean sheets in their last five. The main risk is that Raja’s away attack may not break through, leading to a goalless draw if FUS Rabat can resist sustained pressure.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: Common Questions
Who will win FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca?
Raja Casablanca are favoured with a 42% probability of victory, compared to 18% for FUS Rabat, with a draw rated at 40%. The model leans towards a narrow away win or a draw, reflecting Raja’s recent defensive strength and FUS’s struggles in attack.
Will both teams score in FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca?
The probability of both teams scoring is just 28%, with 72% for 'No'. FUS Rabat have failed to score in two of their last five, and Raja Casablanca have kept three clean sheets in that span.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Yes, the model gives a 77% probability to under 2.5 goals. Both teams have combined for only two goals in three league matches this season, and recent head-to-heads have often been low-scoring.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 6 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.