Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Raja Casablanca
Full Time
4 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
FUS Rabat
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10Raja Casablanca Cruise Past 10-Man FUS Rabat in 4-1 Statement Win
Raja Casablanca delivered a commanding performance at the Stade Mohamed V, dispatching FUS Rabat 4-1 in a match that showcased their attacking prowess and tactical discipline. The hosts took control early, with goals in the 13th and 41st minutes setting the tone for a dominant display. Despite a brief FUS Rabat resurgence after pulling one back at 64 minutes, Raja responded emphatically, scoring twice more to seal the victory. FUS Rabat's task was made even harder by a red card, leaving them a man down and unable to contain Raja's relentless pressure. The home side's fluid 4-2-3-1 formation allowed their midfielders and forwards to combine effectively, while FUS Rabat struggled to find rhythm, particularly after the sending off. Raja's clinical finishing and control of the game's tempo ensured the three points stayed in Casablanca.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
4 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
13' — Goal
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde opens the scoring for Raja Casablanca, setting the early tone.
41' — Goal
Raja double their lead before halftime, putting FUS Rabat under severe pressure.
58' — Goal
Raja score again, effectively putting the result beyond doubt.
64' — Goal
Déo Bassinga pulls one back for FUS Rabat, briefly narrowing the deficit.
77' — Goal
Raja respond immediately, restoring their three-goal cushion.
Unknown' — Red Card
FUS Rabat reduced to 10 men, making their task even harder.
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca asserted their dominance from the outset, dictating play and capitalizing on defensive lapses from FUS Rabat. Their attacking unit, led by Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde and supported by creative midfielders like Sabir Bougrine and Pape Ousmane Sakho, consistently threatened the opposition goal. The backline, marshaled by Badr Benoun and Abdellah Khafifi, remained largely untroubled until the brief spell after FUS Rabat's goal. The hosts' ability to respond quickly after conceding, and their ruthless finishing, highlighted a well-drilled, confident side. The absence of yellow cards also reflected their composure and discipline throughout the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat struggled to match Raja's intensity and organization, falling behind early and never truly recovering. Their 4-1-4-1 setup failed to provide enough defensive cover, and the midfield was often overrun. A red card further compounded their difficulties, leaving them exposed at the back and unable to mount a sustained comeback. Despite a spirited response with a goal at 64 minutes, FUS Rabat's efforts were undermined by indiscipline and a lack of attacking cohesion. The solitary goal was a rare bright spot in an otherwise challenging outing.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Raja Casablanca's 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate both possession and territory, with two holding midfielders providing a solid base for their creative trio to operate behind the striker. The fullbacks pushed high, stretching FUS Rabat and creating overloads in wide areas. Raja's pressing forced turnovers and kept FUS Rabat pinned in their own half for long spells. FUS Rabat's 4-1-4-1 shape was intended to provide midfield solidity, but the single pivot was overwhelmed by Raja's numbers and movement. After the red card, FUS Rabat were forced deeper, and their attempts to counter were largely stifled by Raja's organized defensive structure. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, as Raja maintained control until the final whistle.
Turning Point
The red card for FUS Rabat, which left them a man down and unable to mount any serious resistance after Raja's third goal.
Man of the Match
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde
Set the tone with the opening goal and led the line superbly, constantly troubling the FUS Rabat defense.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
24%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Raja Casablanca Win
Raja Casablanca are unbeaten at home (5W, 3D), have the league's best defence (0.27 conceded/game, 73% clean sheets), and have dominated this H2H. FUS Rabat have lost 5 of 8 away and concede 1.38 goals/game on the road.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Raja's matches are extremely low scoring (7% over 2.5, 0.27 conceded/game, 1.13 scored/game), and FUS Rabat have failed to score in 1 of last 5. H2H is also low scoring.
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BTTS: No
Raja have kept 4 clean sheets in last 5, FUS Rabat only 1. Only 1 of Raja's last 5 saw BTTS. H2H: 6/10 saw at least one team fail to score.
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The Case For This Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Prediction
Raja Casablanca, with the league's best defence and strong home record, host a FUS Rabat side with a poor away record and negative goal difference. Raja rarely concede and are consistent at home, while FUS Rabat's recent form is improved but their away frailty persists. Expect a tight, low-scoring match with Raja likely to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Raja won 6 of last 10, including last 3 at home
- →FUS Rabat recent form (WWW) but mostly at home, away form weak
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca unbeaten at home (5W, 3D, 1 goal conceded in 8 matches)
- →FUS Rabat lost 5 of 8 away, concede 1.38 goals/game away
- →Raja: 73% clean sheet rate, only 7% of matches over 2.5 goals
How Raja Casablanca and FUS Rabat Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
FUS Rabatlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
What History Says: Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Raja Casablanca wins
1
Draws
2
FUS Rabat wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value/edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late injuries or rotations possible
- ⚠️FUS Rabat's recent uptick in form could make them more dangerous than season stats suggest
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.