CRB vs Cuiaba Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
CRB
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Cuiaba
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10CRB Dominate Cuiabá 3-0 with Relentless Attack in Maceió
CRB delivered a commanding performance at Estádio Rei Pelé, sweeping aside Cuiabá 3-0 in a one-sided Serie B encounter. The hosts set the tone early, finding the net in the 6th minute and never relinquishing control. With 28 shots and 10 on target, CRB's attacking intent was clear, while Cuiabá struggled to contain the home side's energy and creativity. After doubling their lead shortly after halftime, CRB continued to press, sealing the result with a third goal in the 75th minute. Cuiabá, despite matching CRB in corners and showing flashes of promise, were ultimately undone by their defensive frailties and indiscipline, picking up five yellow cards as frustration mounted.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
6' — Goal
CRB open the scoring early, setting the tone for their dominant display.
50' — Goal
CRB double their lead shortly after halftime, deflating Cuiabá’s hopes of a comeback.
75' — Goal
CRB seal the result with a third goal, putting the game beyond doubt.
Various' — Yellow cards
Cuiabá pick up five yellow cards as their frustration grows under CRB’s pressure.
CRB
CRB were dominant from the outset, dictating play with 52% possession and a relentless attacking approach that produced 28 shots, 10 of which tested the goalkeeper. Their 4-1-4-1 formation provided both defensive solidity and midfield dynamism, allowing them to transition quickly and overload Cuiabá’s backline. Early and sustained pressure paid dividends with goals in the 6th, 50th, and 75th minutes, reflecting their control and clinical edge. Defensively, CRB were disciplined, conceding just 4 shots on target and keeping their composure with only one yellow card. The midfield trio orchestrated play effectively, while the lone striker was a constant threat.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cuiaba
Cuiabá struggled to match CRB’s intensity and attacking quality, conceding three times and rarely threatening to mount a comeback. Their 3-4-2-1 formation was overrun in midfield and exposed on the flanks, as they allowed 28 shots and were forced into desperate defending, reflected in their five yellow cards. Offensively, Cuiabá managed 13 shots but only 4 on target, rarely testing the CRB goalkeeper. While they matched the hosts in corners, their transitions were sluggish and their attacks lacked cutting edge, leaving Fábio Gomes isolated up front.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
CRB’s 4-1-4-1 formation allowed them to control the midfield and transition quickly into attack, overwhelming Cuiabá’s three-man defense with width and numbers in advanced areas. The single pivot shielded the back four effectively, while the attacking quartet pressed high and created overloads, resulting in a high volume of chances. Cuiabá’s 3-4-2-1 setup was intended to provide solidity and midfield presence, but their wing-backs were pinned back, limiting their attacking width. As CRB pressed, Cuiabá’s midfield was outnumbered and their backline exposed, leading to frequent fouls and bookings as they tried to disrupt CRB’s rhythm.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 50th minute, which doubled CRB’s lead and extinguished any realistic hope of a Cuiabá fightback.
Man of the Match
Dadá Belmonte
Pulled the strings in midfield, driving CRB’s attacks and playing a key role in their dominance and goals.
CRB vs Cuiaba: Match Preview
CRB enter this clash on the back of three home wins in their last four, sitting 7th with 45 points and a home record of 7-3-4 (25 scored, 17 conceded). Cuiaba, 12th with 40 points, have drawn more than any other side (13 in 28), and their away form is defined by resilience: just 4 losses in 14 on the road, conceding under a goal per game.
The statistical matchup is clear: CRB's home attack is robust (1.79 goals per home game, 21.4 shots per last 5), but they face a Cuiaba defence that travels well (0.93 conceded per away, 39% clean sheet rate overall). Cuiaba's own attack is limited (0.93 scored per away), but their defensive discipline keeps games tight. Both sides average under 1.5 goals conceded per match, and recent form for both points to close margins, with CRB's last five averaging 3.2 total goals but Cuiaba's just 2.4.
Given Cuiaba's draw-heavy profile and defensive strength, the model projects a low-scoring contest with the draw the likeliest outcome. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, supported by both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates, and the recent H2H trend towards parity.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS: Yes
38%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CRB vs Cuiaba Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CRB vs Cuiaba that most previews miss.
- 1Cuiaba have drawn 6 of their 14 away matches, the highest away draw rate in the division (43%).
- 2CRB's home games average 3.0 total goals, but Cuiaba's away matches average just 1.86, pulling the expected total down.
- 3In the last 10 H2H meetings, the away team has won 5 times, with only 3 home wins and 2 draws.
Who do you think wins: CRB vs Cuiaba?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: CRB vs Cuiaba(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams average just under 1 goal conceded per game (CRB 1.43, Cuiaba 0.79), and the draw is the most common away result for Cuiaba (6/14 away) and a frequent outcome in their H2H history (2 of last 5).
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Cuiaba matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 22 of 28 games (78.6%), and their away games average just 1.86 total goals. CRB's attack is stronger at home, but Cuiaba's defensive rate (0.93 conceded per away game) drags the goal expectation down.
Read more ↓
More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This CRB vs Cuiaba Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, tightly contested encounter. CRB's home attack (1.79 goals per home game) faces a Cuiaba side that has conceded just 13 in 14 away, while Cuiaba's own attack has struggled to break 1 goal per away match. The draw emerges as the modal result due to both sides' tendency to cancel each other out, especially given Cuiaba's league-high draw count.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Head-to-head: 6 Cuiaba wins in last 10, but 2 of last 5 meetings finished level.
Defence
- →Cuiaba's away defence: 0.93 goals conceded per away game, 6 draws in 14 away matches.
- →CRB's home attack: 1.79 goals scored per home game, but only 25% clean sheet rate at home.
🚩 CRB vs Cuiaba Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for CRB and 4.7 for Cuiaba, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How CRB and Cuiaba Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CRB vs Cuiaba Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CRBlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cuiabalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CRB have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches (form: WLWWL), scoring 8 and conceding 8, with a strong home run of three wins in four. Cuiaba's recent form (DWLWD) is steadier, with 2 wins, 2 draws and a single defeat, but their matches are tighter, averaging just 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game over that span.
CRB vs Cuiaba — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 21 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
What History Says: CRB vs Cuiaba
Cuiaba have had the better of recent meetings, winning 6 of the last 10, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. However, two of the last five have ended 1-1, and the away side has often been the more successful in this fixture.
CRB vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
CRB wins
2
Draws
6
Cuiaba wins
Things to Watch: CRB vs Cuiaba
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Injuries are not reported, but late lineup changes could affect defensive stability.
- ⚠️CRB's home matches are higher scoring than Cuiaba's away, introducing some variance in the goal expectation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CRB 1–1 CuiabaThe model calls this a 1-1 draw, with Cuiaba's defensive record and high draw rate the decisive factors. If CRB's home attack can break through early, the match could tilt, but the most plausible way this goes wrong is if Cuiaba's low-scoring profile drags the match towards a 0-0.
CRB vs Cuiaba: Common Questions
Who will win CRB vs Cuiaba?
The model gives CRB a 33% chance, Cuiaba a 28% chance, and the draw a 39% probability. Both teams' defensive records and Cuiaba's high draw rate (13 in 28) make the draw the most likely result.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in CRB vs Cuiaba?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 66%, with both teams averaging under 2 total goals conceded per match and Cuiaba's away games averaging just 1.86 total goals.
Is both teams to score likely in CRB vs Cuiaba?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with CRB involved in 4 BTTS games in their last 5, but Cuiaba's away defensive record (39% clean sheets) keeps this market close to even.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CRB vs Cuiaba: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.