Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Predictions
La Liga · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Levante
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.4(+22% edge)
Match Result
7/10Late Levante Equalizer Denies Deportivo La Coruna at Riazor
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante played out a tense 1-1 draw at the Estadio de Riazor, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to claim all three points. The hosts took the lead midway through the second half, only for Levante to respond with a late equalizer that shifted the momentum and ensured the spoils were shared. Statistically, Levante edged possession with 54% and registered 11 shots (4 on target), while Deportivo were marginally more threatening in attack, firing 13 shots with 5 on target. Both teams were disciplined defensively, each collecting two yellow cards but avoiding any dismissals. The match was characterized by determined midfield battles and crucial interventions at both ends.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
63' — Goal
B. Nsongo opens the scoring for Deportivo La Coruna, finishing a well-worked move.
82' — Goal
Iván Romero levels for Levante with a composed finish after sustained pressure.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards each in a competitive, hard-fought contest.
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna executed their 4-4-2 system with structure and discipline, creating several promising opportunities and eventually breaking the deadlock in the 63rd minute. Their midfield quartet worked tirelessly to disrupt Levante's rhythm, and the front two offered a consistent threat. However, the inability to maintain their lead in the closing stages proved costly, as they conceded an equalizer just eight minutes from time. Defensively, Deportivo were robust, committing 17 fouls to break up play and limiting Levante's clear chances. However, their inability to capitalize on their lead or manage the game's tempo late on meant they had to settle for a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Levante
Levante's 4-3-3 formation allowed them to dominate possession and control large spells of the match, especially after falling behind. Their midfield trio orchestrated play well, and the wide forwards stretched Deportivo's defense, eventually finding the breakthrough with an 82nd-minute equalizer. Levante showed resilience and composure, particularly in the final stages, as they pushed for a leveller and ultimately succeeded. While they were less prolific in front of goal than their hosts, their patience and control in midfield paid dividends late on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna lined up in a traditional 4-4-2, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions through the wide areas. Their midfielders pressed aggressively, aiming to disrupt Levante's passing lanes. The front two, particularly B. Nsongo, looked to exploit spaces behind Levante's back line. Levante, meanwhile, utilized a 4-3-3 setup, prioritizing possession and width. Their midfield trio, led by Oriol Rey, dictated the tempo and recycled possession effectively, while the wide forwards stretched the Deportivo defense. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half saw Levante push more bodies forward after falling behind, which eventually paid off with their late equalizer. Both sides used set pieces to create chances, but defenses held firm outside of the two goals.
Turning Point
Iván Romero's 82nd-minute equalizer shifted the momentum and ensured Levante left Riazor with a point.
Man of the Match
Iván Romero
Came up with the decisive late goal and was a constant threat in Levante's attack.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante: Match Preview
Deportivo La Coruna return to Riazor sitting 7th, having drawn four of their opening seven league matches and with just one home win to their name. Levante, meanwhile, are struggling in 17th, winless away and with a solitary goal scored in four road games. Both sides are coming off underwhelming runs—Deportivo's form string reads LDDLD, while Levante have lost back-to-back matches and have just one win from six.
The statistical matchup is defined by low attacking output and cautious approaches. Deportivo average 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game (season), but their home matches have seen just 2.25 goals on average. Levante's away record is even more stark: 0.25 goals for, 1.5 against per away game, with three clean sheets in their last five overall but little threat in open play. Both sides average under 3 shots on target per game in their last five, and Deportivo's clean sheet rate is 0%, though Levante's away attack is among the league's least effective.
Given these rates, the model expects a low-scoring contest with a high probability of a draw. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities are counterbalanced by blunt attacks, and neither side has shown the ability to consistently convert chances. The most likely scenario is a 1-1 draw, with the distribution of results tightly clustered around that outcome.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante that most previews miss.
- 1Levante have scored just 1 goal in 4 away league matches this season (0.25 per game).
- 2Deportivo's matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 league fixtures (71%).
- 3The last 6 head-to-head meetings have produced 4 draws and no clean sheets for Deportivo.
Who do you think wins: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.42
The model gives a 36% probability for the draw (implied odds 2.78), while the market offers 3.4 (implied 29.4%), producing a substantial value edge. Both teams have drawn 6 of their combined 13 league matches (46%), and Deportivo have drawn 4 of 7, with Levante drawing 2 of 6.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.9
Deportivo's matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (71%), and Levante's away games have produced just 1 goal in total across 4 fixtures. The model estimates a 53% chance for under 2.5, slightly above the market's implied probability.
Read more ↓
More La Liga Predictions
The Case For This Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, closely contested affair. Deportivo's home record (1W, 2D, 1L, 5:4 goals) and Levante's away record (0W, 2D, 2L, 1:6 goals) both point to limited attacking output and a high draw probability. Both sides' recent games have been tight, with neither attack consistently outpacing the other's defensive frailties.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Deportivo have failed to keep a clean sheet all season, but Levante's away attack is among the league's least productive.
Match Context
- →Deportivo have drawn 4 of 7 league matches, including 2 of 4 at home.
- →Levante have scored just once in 4 away games this season.
🚩 Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Deportivo La Coruna and 4 for Levante, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Deportivo La Coruna and Levante Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Deportivo La Corunalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levantelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Deportivo have drawn three of their last four league matches and have not kept a clean sheet all season, but remain difficult to beat at home. Levante have lost their last two and are winless in four away games, scoring just once on their travels. Both sides arrive with limited attacking momentum and defensive issues.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
The recent head-to-head record is balanced, with three wins each and four draws in the last ten meetings. Notably, Levante have won on their last two visits to Riazor, but four of the last six encounters have ended level or by a single-goal margin. Clean sheets have been rare for Deportivo in this fixture.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Deportivo La Coruna wins
4
Draws
3
Levante wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
The biggest value edge is on the draw at 3.4, with the model's 36% probability well above the market's implied 29%. Under 2.5 goals is also marginally value at current odds, given both teams' low attacking rates. There is no significant value on either side in the 1X2, with the home win and away win both closely aligned to market prices.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
- ⚠️Sample sizes are still modest this early in the season, especially for Levante's away attack.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies for Deportivo may not reflect competitive intensity or lineups.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineup rotation after international breaks is possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 LevanteThe model forecasts a 1-1 draw, driven primarily by Levante's extreme away scoring drought (1 goal in 4 away games) and Deportivo's tendency to draw (4 draws in 7). The most plausible way this goes wrong is if either side capitalises on defensive errors, as both have failed to keep clean sheets regularly.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante: Common Questions
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
The model gives Deportivo a 39% chance to win, Levante 25%, and a draw 36%. Both teams have struggled to win consistently, with Deportivo drawing 4 of 7 and Levante winless away, so a draw is the most probable outcome.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
Both teams to score is rated at 51%, with Deportivo failing to keep a clean sheet all season but Levante scoring just once away from home. The underlying rates suggest this market is close to a coin flip.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Deportivo vs Levante?
Under 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% probability by the model, slightly ahead of the market's implied probability. Deportivo's matches have gone under in 5 of 7, while Levante's away games average just 1.75 goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.