Faversham Town vs Newmarket Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Faversham Town
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Newmarket
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
5/10Newmarket Edge Faversham Town in Tight FA Trophy Contest
Newmarket clinched a narrow 1-0 victory over Faversham Town in the FA Trophy, grinding out a result in a match that offered few clear-cut chances but plenty of determination from both sides. The visitors managed to find the decisive breakthrough, and resolute defending saw them through to the final whistle, despite Faversham Town’s efforts to claw their way back. With neither side able to dominate proceedings or generate a wealth of attacking opportunities, the contest was ultimately decided by Newmarket’s solitary goal. Faversham Town pressed for an equaliser but were unable to breach a disciplined Newmarket rearguard, and the match concluded without a single card issued, reflecting a hard-fought yet fair encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Newmarket score the only goal of the game to take the lead.
Faversham Town
Faversham Town battled bravely but struggled to create meaningful chances in front of goal. Despite home advantage, they were unable to break down Newmarket’s disciplined defence and lacked the cutting edge required to turn possession into genuine threats. Their inability to register on the scoresheet ultimately cost them a place in the next round. The team’s discipline was commendable, as they avoided any bookings, but they will rue their lack of attacking impetus and the failure to respond after falling behind.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Newmarket
Newmarket produced a professional away performance, seizing their opportunity to score and then managing the game effectively. Their defence held firm under pressure, and their organisation ensured Faversham Town rarely threatened an equaliser. The visitors’ ability to see out the match without conceding or collecting any cards speaks to their composure and tactical discipline. While not a dominant attacking display, Newmarket’s efficiency in front of goal and defensive solidity proved decisive in this cup tie.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups or formation data available, both teams appeared to prioritise defensive solidity and discipline, as evidenced by the lack of cards and limited attacking output. Newmarket’s approach was pragmatic: they capitalised on their key opportunity and then set about protecting their advantage, likely dropping deeper as the match wore on. Faversham Town, meanwhile, were forced to chase the game but struggled to find the creativity or penetration needed to break down a well-organised opponent. Set pieces and wide play did not prove decisive, and the match was largely contested in midfield, with both sides cancelling each other out for long stretches.
Turning Point
Newmarket’s solitary goal proved the difference, shifting the momentum and forcing Faversham Town onto the front foot without reward.
Man of the Match
Undisclosed (Newmarket goalscorer)
Scored the decisive goal and contributed to a disciplined team display.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket: Match Preview
Faversham Town enter this FA Trophy clash off the back of two straight wins, including a 6-2 home victory and a 2-0 away result, and have yet to taste defeat in the competition this season. Newmarket are also unbeaten in the FA Trophy, collecting two wins and a draw, and have demonstrated attacking prowess with five goals against Gorleston and two against Leighton Town. With both sides in positive form and no league table context available, momentum is drawn from their recent cup exploits.
The statistical matchup is shaped by prolific scoring and defensive vulnerabilities. Faversham Town's season average of 3.67 goals for and just 0.67 against is boosted by a 6-2 win, but even excluding that, their output remains high. Newmarket's 3.0 goals scored per game is offset by a concession rate of 1.67, and they have not kept a clean sheet in the competition. Both teams' last five matches average over 2.5 goals, and Newmarket have seen both teams score in four of those. With no set piece or discipline data, the goal environment is the clearest statistical signal.
Given these rates, the model expects a match with multiple goals and a high probability of both teams finding the net. Faversham Town's superior defensive record gives them a slight edge, but Newmarket's attack should ensure a competitive contest. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 home win, but the distribution is wide enough to keep 2-2 and 3-1 in play.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.95
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Faversham Town vs Newmarket that most previews miss.
- 1Newmarket have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in the FA Trophy this season, with all three matches featuring at least four goals.
- 2Faversham Town have kept two clean sheets in their last five but have also conceded twice in their only home FA Trophy match.
- 3Both teams have scored in seven of their combined last ten matches across all competitions.
Who do you think wins: Faversham Town vs Newmarket?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Faversham Town vs Newmarket(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average over 3 goals scored per game in the FA Trophy this season (Faversham Town 3.67, Newmarket 3.0), and the over 2.5 goals rate is 100% for Newmarket and 66.7% for Faversham Town.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Four of Newmarket's last five matches saw both teams score, and Faversham Town have failed to score in none of their last five, with both sides showing attacking strength but less defensive solidity.
Read more ↓
More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Faversham Town vs Newmarket Prediction
Statistically, this FA Trophy tie projects as a high-scoring contest between two attack-minded sides. Faversham Town's 3.67 goals per game and Newmarket's 3.0 in the competition point to a match where defensive records may be secondary to offensive output. Neither side has shown a tendency for clean sheets recently, and both have a high rate of matches with three or more goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams arrive with two straight wins and identical 'WWLDW' form strings in their last five.
Attack
- →Faversham Town have averaged 3.67 goals scored per FA Trophy match this season.
Defence
- →Newmarket's matches in the competition have all gone over 2.5 goals, with a 0% clean sheet rate.
How Faversham Town and Newmarket Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Faversham Townlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Newmarketlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Both teams arrive in strong form, each winning their last two matches and posting 'WWLDW' over their last five. Faversham Town have not failed to score in any of their last five, while Newmarket have only one blank in that span, indicating attacking momentum on both sides.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
What History Says: Faversham Town vs Newmarket
There is no head-to-head data available between Faversham Town and Newmarket, so no historical trends or patterns can be drawn for this fixture.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Faversham Town wins
0
Draws
1
Newmarket wins
Things to Watch: Faversham Town vs Newmarket
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available, limiting context on relative team strength.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set piece data restricts the ability to model underlying performance.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Faversham Town 2–1 NewmarketThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Faversham Town, anchored by their higher season-long goal difference (+9 vs +4) and stronger clean sheet rate (66.7% vs 0%). The biggest risk to this call is the lack of head-to-head or league context, which could mask a difference in underlying quality not visible in the cup data.
Faversham Town vs Newmarket: Common Questions
Who will win Faversham Town vs Newmarket?
The model gives Faversham Town a 46% chance of victory, with a 29% probability of a draw and a 25% chance for Newmarket. Faversham's superior defensive record and home advantage are key factors.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Faversham Town vs Newmarket?
There is a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams averaging over 3 goals scored per FA Trophy match and Newmarket having a 100% over 2.5 rate in the competition.
Will both teams score in Faversham Town vs Newmarket?
The probability for both teams to score is 63%. Newmarket have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and Faversham Town have scored in all recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Faversham Town vs Newmarket: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.