FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Predictions
Liga MX · Mexico
FC Juarez
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
Club Queretaro
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Club Queretaro Win
Recommended Bets: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro: Match Preview
FC Juarez enter this fixture rooted to the bottom of Liga MX, with just four points from 13 matches and a league-worst -24 goal difference. Their recent form offers little hope: two straight defeats, only one win all season, and a chronic inability to score (eight goals in 13 games). Queretaro, meanwhile, sit 8th with 20 points and have picked up four away wins, giving them one of the division's better road records. Both teams are looking to bounce back from consecutive losses, but the underlying numbers point to a significant quality gap.
Statistically, Juarez's attack is the least productive in the league, averaging just 0.62 goals per game and 3.4 shots on target over their last five. Their home record is similarly bleak, with only five goals scored in seven matches. Queretaro's defence is solid if unspectacular—1.25 goals conceded per game—and they've kept two clean sheets in their last five. The first half is often tight for both sides: Juarez have not scored before half-time in their last five, while Queretaro have only two first-half goals in that span. Corners are likely to be plentiful, with both teams averaging over five per match recently.
The model expects Queretaro's away efficiency and Juarez's scoring woes to define the contest. The likeliest outcome is a controlled away win, with Queretaro capitalising on Juarez's inability to create quality chances. A 0-2 scoreline is most probable, with the visitors' superior away record and Juarez's anaemic attack the decisive factors.
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro that most previews miss.
- 1Juarez have failed to score in 9 of 13 matches this season, the highest rate in Liga MX.
- 2Queretaro have won four of their seven away games, with a +0 goal difference (9 scored, 9 conceded).
- 3Only two of the last ten H2H meetings have seen both teams score, and Queretaro have kept five clean sheets in that span.
Who do you think wins: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Club Queretaro Win
Club Queretaro have won four of their last seven away matches and face a Juarez side with just one win in 13, a league-worst 0.62 goals scored per game, and only a 7.7% clean sheet rate.
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BTTS: No
Juarez have failed to score in two of their last five and average under a goal per game for the season, while Queretaro have two clean sheets in their last five and concede just 1.25 per game.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides are near 50% for over 2.5 goals on the season, but Juarez's attack is the league's least productive and Queretaro's away matches average just 2.57 total goals.
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More Liga MX Predictions
The Case For This FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Prediction
This fixture pits Liga MX's bottom side, FC Juarez, against a Queretaro team with one of the league's stronger away records. Juarez's season-long numbers are historically poor: just one win, eight goals scored, and a 0.62 goals per game rate. Queretaro, by contrast, sit 8th and have claimed four away wins, with a positive goal difference on their travels. The gulf in season-long performance is stark, and recent form provides little evidence of a reversal. Statistically, this is a clash between the league's weakest attack and a mid-table defence. Juarez average only 3.4 shots on target per match over their last five and have failed to score in two of those. Queretaro's defensive record away from home is solid (9 conceded in 7), and they've kept two clean sheets in their last five overall. The first half is typically cagey for Juarez (zero first-half goals in their last five), while Queretaro have scored just two first-half goals in that span, suggesting a slow start is likely. Given Juarez's chronic scoring issues and Queretaro's proven ability to win on the road, the model expects the visitors to control proceedings. The most probable scenario is a Queretaro win to nil, with the likeliest scoreline 0-2. The overall goal environment is moderate—over 2.5 is close to a coin flip—but Juarez's anaemic attack tips the balance toward a lower-scoring away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Queretaro have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, including 3 of the last 4 in Juarez.
Attack
- →Juarez have the league's worst attack (0.62 goals per game) and have failed to score in 2 of their last 5.
- →Queretaro have won 4 of 7 away games and average 1.33 goals scored per match this season.
🚩 FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for FC Juarez and 4 for Club Queretaro, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How FC Juarez and Club Queretaro Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Juarezlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Club Queretarolast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Juarez's recent form is dire: two straight losses, only one win in their last five, and just two goals scored in that span. Queretaro have also lost their last two, but those came after a run of three unbeaten, including two away wins. The visitors' underlying numbers remain far stronger than the hosts'.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
Queretaro have dominated the head-to-head, winning five of the last ten meetings and three of the last four at Juarez. Clean sheets are common for the visitors, and only two of the last ten have seen both teams score. Juarez's lone win in this span came away from home.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
FC Juarez wins
4
Draws
5
Club Queretaro wins
Things to Watch: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are unavailable.
- ⚠️Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses, but Queretaro's overall rates are far superior.
- ⚠️Juarez's only win this season was at home, but their underlying numbers remain very weak.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Juarez 0–2 Club QueretaroThe model projects a 0-2 away win for Queretaro, driven by Juarez's league-worst attack (0.62 goals/game) and the visitors' strong away record. The biggest risk is Queretaro's recent defensive lapses—five goals conceded at Santos Laguna—but Juarez's chronic lack of firepower makes a home breakthrough unlikely.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro: Common Questions
Who will win FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
The model gives Club Queretaro a 57% chance of victory, compared to just 13% for Juarez and 30% for the draw. Queretaro's strong away record and Juarez's poor attack are the key drivers.
Will both teams score in FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
Both teams to score is rated at just 29%. Juarez have failed to score in 9 of 13 matches this season, while Queretaro have kept two clean sheets in their last five.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
Over 2.5 goals is a near coin flip at 51%, but the most probable scorelines are 0-2 and 0-1. Juarez's matches go over 2.5 half the time, but their attack is the weakest in the league.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Resources
FC Juarez Predictions
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FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results