FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Predictions
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 2
FC Thun
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
7.2/10St. Gallen and Thun Share the Spoils in Tense Super League Standoff
FC St. Gallen and FC Thun played out a fiercely contested 1-1 draw at Kybunpark, with both sides trading second-half blows in a match that ebbed and flowed but ultimately ended with honours even. The hosts broke the deadlock in the 65th minute, only for Thun to respond swiftly eight minutes later, ensuring the points were shared after a display marked by attacking intent and physical duels. The statistics told the story of a balanced encounter: both teams split possession evenly at 50%, while Thun edged the shot count with 20 attempts to St. Gallen's 18. However, the hosts were more clinical, registering six shots on target compared to Thun’s two. Despite their greater attacking output, Thun were unable to make their dominance in corners (9 to 3) and overall shots count, as both sides ultimately lacked the cutting edge to claim victory.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
65' — Goal
Nevio Scherrer puts St. Gallen ahead after sustained pressure.
73' — Goal
Brighton Labeau equalises for Thun, finishing off a well-worked move.
various' — Yellow Cards
A flurry of bookings for both sides reflects the intensity and physicality of the contest.
FC ST. Gallen
St. Gallen produced a spirited display, particularly in the second half, where their attacking efforts were rewarded with the opening goal. Their midfield was industrious, and they created several good opportunities, as evidenced by their six shots on target. Defensively, they held firm for much of the match but were undone by Thun’s persistence shortly after taking the lead. Discipline was an issue, as they collected three yellow cards in a physical contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Thun
Thun approached the match with attacking intent, registering 20 shots and dominating set pieces with nine corners. Their response to going behind was swift, demonstrating mental strength and tactical flexibility. However, their finishing let them down, as only two of their efforts tested the goalkeeper. Defensively, they were largely solid but momentarily switched off to allow St. Gallen’s opener.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up with balanced formations, matching each other for possession and midfield numbers. St. Gallen sought to exploit width through their full-backs and pressed high in phases, while Thun focused on set pieces and quick transitions, as seen in their nine corners and rapid equaliser. The midfield battle was fierce, with both teams pressing aggressively and not shying away from tackles, leading to a high foul count (16 for St. Gallen, 17 for Thun). Substitutions, though not detailed, likely injected fresh legs but did not alter the overall tactical pattern, as both teams maintained their attacking intent until the final whistle.
Turning Point
Brighton Labeau’s equaliser in the 73rd minute, which shifted momentum back to Thun and ultimately ensured the draw.
Man of the Match
Brighton Labeau
Scored the crucial equaliser and led Thun’s line with determination, keeping St. Gallen’s defence under constant pressure.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS: Yes
64%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have high season over 2.5 and BTTS rates (St. Gallen: 72%, Thun: 75% over 2.5), recent H2H meetings have seen frequent goals, and both teams average above 1.8 goals scored per game.
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Correct Score: 2–2
A 2-2 draw has occurred recently in H2H, both teams are strong in attack but have shown defensive vulnerabilities, and the draw probability is relatively high.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have season over 2.5 rates above 70%, and their recent games and H2H history show a trend for goals.
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Prediction
This is a high-stakes clash between the top two teams in the Swiss Super League. FC St. Gallen come in with strong recent form, winning 3 of their last 5, while FC Thun are league leaders but have lost 4 of their last 5, showing a dip in form. Both sides are prolific in attack but have vulnerabilities at the back, as shown by their high goals-for and goals-against numbers. The H2H record is balanced, with recent meetings producing goals and close scorelines. Expect an open, competitive match with both teams likely to score and a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →St. Gallen's recent form is strong (WLWWD), Thun are on a 3-game losing streak.
Attack
- →H2H history is balanced with frequent draws and both teams scoring.
- →Both teams average over 1.8 goals scored per game.
Defence
- →Neither side keeps many clean sheets (St. Gallen 22%, Thun 16% season clean sheet rates).
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal percentages (St. Gallen 72%, Thun 75%).
- →Discipline: Both sides average above 3 yellow cards per game recently.
🚩 FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for FC ST. Gallen and 6 for FC Thun, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How FC ST. Gallen and FC Thun Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC ST. Gallenlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
FC Thunlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.05% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.68% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
FC ST. Gallen wins
4
Draws
2
FC Thun wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match statistics (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Last 5 form for Thun is poor but season-long away record is strong.
- ⚠️Model confidence reduced due to missing odds and some stat gaps.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.