Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Rosenborg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Rosenborg Win
Recommended Bets: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: Match Preview
Fredrikstad approach this fixture in need of a spark, having failed to win any of their last four league matches (LDDDL) and slipping to eighth in the table. Their recent home form is steady but unspectacular, with draws against Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 sandwiching a narrow defeat to Viking. In contrast, Rosenborg are riding a wave of momentum with four wins and a draw in their last five, climbing to fifth and closing in on the European places.
The tactical battle is likely to hinge on Rosenborg's resurgent attack, which has averaged 2.6 goals and 4.8 shots on target per game over the last five matches. Fredrikstad's defence, conceding 1.2 per game in the same stretch and managing just one clean sheet, faces a stern test. Set pieces could play a role, with both sides averaging around four corners per match recently, but Rosenborg's greater efficiency in front of goal is telling. Discipline could be a subplot: both teams average over one yellow card per game, and Rosenborg have seen a red in two of their last five.
Given the visitors' current trajectory, the model expects Rosenborg to control proceedings for long spells, especially after the break, where they've netted seven second-half goals in their last five. Fredrikstad's ability to stay in games—evidenced by four BTTS outcomes in five—suggests they won't fold easily, but Rosenborg's sharper edge in both boxes points to a narrow away win.
How Fredrikstad and Rosenborg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fredrikstadlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rosenborglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fredrikstad's recent run (LDDDL) has seen them struggle for wins, with only one clean sheet in their last five and three consecutive draws prior to a narrow defeat at Viking. Rosenborg, meanwhile, are in their best patch of the season, unbeaten in five and averaging more than two goals per game, with a comprehensive 3-0 win at Sarpsborg 08 last time out.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg that most previews miss.
- 1Rosenborg have scored first in four of their last five league matches, with three of those openers coming before the 30th minute.
- 2Fredrikstad have seen both teams score in four of their last five league outings, despite only one clean sheet in that period.
- 3The last three league meetings have all gone over 2.5 goals, with Rosenborg winning two by multi-goal margins.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
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The Case For This Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Prediction
Momentum is firmly with Rosenborg, who have surged up the table on the back of a five-match unbeaten run, while Fredrikstad's form has stalled with a four-game winless streak. The visitors' attack has been rampant, and their recent defensive solidity gives them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Rosenborg's last five league matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 13 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- →Fredrikstad have not kept a clean sheet in four straight league games.
Match Context
- →Rosenborg have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings, including a 4-0 home victory in July.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Rosenborg Win
Rosenborg arrive with four wins and a draw in their last five, averaging 2.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game in that stretch, while Fredrikstad have not won any of their last four league matches and have only managed one clean sheet in five.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in more than half their league matches (Fredrikstad 52%, Rosenborg 61%), and Rosenborg's last five league games have averaged over 3 goals per match.
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BTTS: Yes
Fredrikstad have scored in all of their last five, while Rosenborg have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last five league outings.
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More Eliteserien Predictions
🚩 Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Fredrikstad and 5.8 for Rosenborg, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 82% · Over 10.5: 61%.
What History Says: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
Rosenborg have dominated the head-to-head in recent seasons, winning three of the last four meetings and keeping clean sheets in two of those. The 4-0 victory in July underlined the gap in quality, but Fredrikstad did hold them to a draw in their last home encounter. Goals have been a feature, with three of the last four matches producing at least three.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
Fredrikstad wins
2
Draws
3
Rosenborg wins
Things to Watch: Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Fredrikstad have been competitive at home (5W, 3D, 3L), and their xG/shots data suggest potential for improvement.
- ⚠️Rosenborg's away record (4W, 1D, 6L) is less convincing than their recent form suggests.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Fredrikstad 1–2 RosenborgRosenborg's surge—four wins and a draw in their last five, with 13 goals scored—makes them clear favourites to edge this encounter 2-1. The single strongest data point is Rosenborg's recent attacking output, but the main risk lies in their patchy away record and Fredrikstad's ability to keep games close at home.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: Common Questions
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg are favoured with a 48% win probability, driven by their four wins and a draw in the last five matches, while Fredrikstad have only managed three points from their last four.
Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
There's a 56% chance of both teams scoring, as Fredrikstad have scored in all of their last five and Rosenborg have conceded in three of their last five league games.
Can Rosenborg's strong form continue away from home?
Rosenborg's recent momentum is strong, but their away record this season is mixed (4 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses). Their current form (2.6 goals scored, 0.6 conceded per game in the last five) suggests they are well-placed to keep their run going.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.