Fulham vs Crystal Palace Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Fulham
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Crystal Palace
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Crystal Palace Win
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Match Preview
Fulham approach this friendly on the back of a mixed pre-season run: a win at Farense, a draw at Al-Ahli Jeddah, and a home defeat to Norwich. Their attack has managed just one goal per game across these friendlies, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, have alternated between emphatic wins (5-1 over Swindon, 3-1 over Al Ula) and heavy defeats (0-3 at Bromley, 0-3 to Lens), but their average of 2.5 goals scored per game in friendlies is notably higher than Fulham’s output.
Statistically, the contrast is sharpest in attack: Palace’s 2.5 goals per game and 100% over 2.5 goals rate in friendlies point to a more open, high-scoring style, while Fulham’s matches have been tighter, with a 33% over 2.5 rate and a negative goal difference. Defensively, both sides have issues—Fulham concede 1.33 per game, Palace 2.0—and neither has kept a clean sheet in friendlies. The head-to-head record further supports Palace’s edge, as they have won three of their last five away matches at Fulham, often by multiple goals.
The model expects Palace’s superior attacking rates and recent H2H dominance to translate into a narrow away win in a match with goals at both ends. Fulham’s inability to keep clean sheets, combined with Palace’s attacking momentum, makes a 2-1 away victory the likeliest outcome, though the high draw frequency in this fixture tempers confidence.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Fulham vs Crystal Palace that most previews miss.
- 1Crystal Palace’s friendlies have seen 100% of matches go over 2.5 goals, compared to just 33% for Fulham.
- 2Five of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws, but Palace have won three of the last five at Fulham.
- 3Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches across all competitions.
Who do you think wins: Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fulham vs Crystal Palace(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Crystal Palace Win
Crystal Palace have scored 2.5 goals per game in their friendlies season record and have won three of the last five head-to-heads away at Fulham, while Fulham have failed to score in one of their last three and have a negative goal difference in friendlies.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities: Fulham concede 1.33 per game, Palace 2.0, and Palace’s friendlies have seen 100% over 2.5 goals, suggesting a higher goal environment.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction
This fixture projects as a moderately open contest, with Crystal Palace’s higher attacking output in recent friendlies (2.5 goals per game) tilting the edge their way. Fulham’s home scoring has been an issue, with no goals in their only home friendly, while Palace’s attack has shown spurts of efficiency, especially against weaker opposition. The head-to-head record leans towards Palace, who have taken three of the last five meetings at Fulham.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Crystal Palace average 2.5 goals scored per game in their friendlies season record, compared to Fulham’s 1.0.
Defence
- →Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three friendlies this pre-season.
Match Context
- →Palace have won three of the last five away meetings at Fulham, including a 3-0 FA Cup win.
🚩 Fulham vs Crystal Palace Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Fulham and 4.8 for Crystal Palace, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Fulham and Crystal Palace Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fulhamlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Crystal Palacelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fulham’s recent form is patchy, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three friendlies, and only one clean sheet in their last five matches. Crystal Palace have been more volatile but higher scoring, with two big wins and two heavy defeats in their last five, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in that stretch.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Fulham vs Crystal Palace
The last ten meetings have produced five draws, but Crystal Palace have won three of their last five away games at Fulham, including a 3-0 FA Cup victory. Fulham have struggled for home wins in this fixture, last beating Palace at home in 2024.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Fulham wins
5
Draws
3
Crystal Palace wins
Things to Watch: Fulham vs Crystal Palace
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Both teams’ recent matches are from friendlies, which may not reflect competitive form or lineups.
- ⚠️No team news or injury updates; lineups for this match are not available.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Fulham 1–2 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace’s higher scoring rate in friendlies and their away dominance in recent head-to-heads make them the statistical favourite, with a 2-1 away win the most probable outcome. The strongest data point is Palace’s 2.5 goals per game in pre-season, but the high draw rate in this fixture remains a risk, especially given Fulham’s tendency to keep games close at home.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Common Questions
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace are given a 42% chance of winning, compared to 26% for Fulham and 32% for the draw. This is based on Palace’s higher scoring rate in friendlies and their recent away record in this fixture.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives a 54% probability for both teams to score, reflecting both sides’ defensive vulnerabilities—Fulham concede 1.33 per game in friendlies, Palace 2.0—and the fact that three of Fulham’s last five have seen BTTS.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, driven by Palace’s 100% over 2.5 rate in friendlies and both teams’ inability to keep clean sheets in recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fulham vs Crystal Palace: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.