Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City Predictions
National League - South · England
Hampton & Richmond
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Truro City
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Truro City Win
Recommended Bets: Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City: Match Preview
Hampton & Richmond find themselves rooted to the foot of the table after a torrid run, with just two points from their last seven league matches and a three-game losing streak coming into this fixture. Their defensive record is the worst in the division, conceding 26 in 11, and recent home form offers little comfort. By contrast, Truro City are surging: unbeaten in five across all competitions and fresh from away wins at Braintree and Maidstone, they sit fourth with a +9 goal difference and real momentum behind them.
The contrast in recent performance is stark. Truro have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game over their last five, while Hampton have managed only two goals in their last four and have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five. Truro's away record (3W, 2D, 1L) is among the league's strongest, and their scoring is distributed across both halves, making them a constant threat. Hampton's home attack is not without teeth (nine goals in five), but their second-half defensive collapses have been costly, and their clean sheet rate is a meagre 9%.
Given these trajectories, the model expects Truro to impose themselves early and maintain control, with Hampton's fragile confidence likely to be tested if they fall behind. A 2-1 away win is forecast, with Truro's form and attacking variety the decisive factors. Unless Hampton can halt their slide and shore up defensively, the gulf in momentum should prove telling.
How Hampton & Richmond and Truro City Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Hampton & Richmondlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Truro Citylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Hampton & Richmond enter this fixture in the midst of a deep slump, losing three straight and failing to score in two of those. Their last five read LLLDD, with defensive frailty a constant theme. Truro City, by contrast, are in the division's hottest form patch, stringing together a WWDWW run and scoring freely, including back-to-back away wins in the league.
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City that most previews miss.
- 1Truro City have scored at least twice in four consecutive matches across all competitions.
- 2Hampton & Richmond have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding an average of two per game in that span.
- 3Three of the last four H2H meetings have produced three or more goals, with the away side winning on each occasion.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City Prediction
Momentum could hardly be more divergent as bottom-placed Hampton & Richmond welcome a surging Truro City. The hosts are winless in five and have taken just two points from their last seven league outings, while Truro have collected 10 from their last four and are riding a wave of attacking confidence. The gap in form is underlined by Truro's +9 goal difference and Hampton's -15, with the home side conceding at a rate of 2.36 per game this season. Statistically, Truro's attack is peaking at precisely the moment Hampton's defence is at its most fragile. The visitors have averaged 2.6 goals per game over their last five, while Hampton have shipped two or more in four of their last five and failed to keep a clean sheet in any of them. Truro's away record (3W, 2D, 1L) is among the division's best, and their recent scoring split (six first-half, seven second-half goals in five) suggests a threat throughout. Hampton's only hope may lie in their ability to score at home (nine in five), but their vulnerability after the break remains a glaring weakness. The model expects Truro's momentum to carry them through, projecting a 2-1 away win with the visitors likely to strike first and control much of the contest. Hampton's current streak and defensive frailty are too stark to ignore, and unless they can rediscover some resilience, Truro's form trajectory should prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Truro City have won four of their last five in all competitions, scoring 13 goals in that span.
Defence
- →Hampton & Richmond are on a three-match losing run, conceding six and scoring just once in that stretch.
- →Truro's away record (3W, 2D, 1L) and recent attacking numbers (2.6 goals per game last five) far outstrip Hampton's defensive output.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Truro City Win
Truro City arrive with a WWDWW form string and have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded over their last five, while Hampton & Richmond have lost three straight and scored only twice in their last four. The away side's momentum is stark, but the lack of odds data prevents a value calculation.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen three of their last five feature BTTS, and Hampton & Richmond's defence has conceded 10 in five, while Truro City have scored multiple goals in four straight competitive matches.
Read more ↓
More National League - South Predictions
What History Says: Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City
The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with each side winning twice in the last four meetings and no draws. Interestingly, the away team has prevailed in three of those encounters, and three of the four matches have featured at least three goals, suggesting a trend towards open games when these sides meet.
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Hampton & Richmond wins
0
Draws
2
Truro City wins
Things to Watch: Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Recent stats lack shot, possession, and set piece data, limiting tactical depth.
- ⚠️Small sample size in H2H (4 matches), and both teams have changed since last season.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hampton & Richmond 1–2 Truro CityTruro City are tipped to extend their formidable run with a 2-1 win, powered by their recent streak of high-scoring performances and Hampton & Richmond's ongoing defensive woes. The single strongest data point is Truro's 2.6 goals per game over the last five, set against Hampton's three-match losing streak and 26 goals conceded in 11 league games. The main threat to this prediction is Hampton's sporadic ability to score at home, which could keep the contest closer if Truro's defence wobbles.
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City: Common Questions
Who will win Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?
Truro City are strong favourites according to the model, with a 53% probability of victory compared to just 18% for Hampton & Richmond. The away side's recent form and attacking output make them the likelier winners.
Will Truro City's winning run continue?
Truro City are on a WWDWW streak and have scored 13 in their last five matches. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning and an 82% chance of avoiding defeat (double chance), so the data strongly supports their momentum continuing.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
There is a 54% model probability for over 2.5 goals, with both teams seeing three of their last five matches go over this line and recent head-to-heads also trending high-scoring.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results