Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Predictions
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Match Preview
Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth arrive at this fixture locked together on 12 points and an identical -6 goal difference, sitting 11th and 10th respectively in the 2. Bundesliga table. Hannover's home record is slightly more robust (2W, 2D, 1L) than Fürth's away (1W, 2D, 3L), but both sides have struggled for consistency, each registering just three wins in eleven league outings. Recent form offers little to separate them: Hannover's last five league results read W-D-W-L-L, while Fürth alternate L-W-L-W-L, with neither side able to string together positive momentum.
From a statistical perspective, both teams' seasons have been shaped by limited attacking output and defensive frailty. Hannover average 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game, Fürth 1.18 scored and 1.73 conceded. Shot volumes are modest—Hannover's last five league games yielded an average of 15.4 shots and 5 on target, Fürth just 11.6 shots and 2.2 on target. Clean sheets have been rare (Hannover 9%, Fürth 18%), and both teams have failed to score in two of their last five league matches. The head-to-head record is balanced, with three draws in the last five meetings, often featuring both teams on the scoresheet.
The model projects a closely fought contest with little to separate the sides. Both teams' underlying rates point toward a low-scoring draw as the most probable outcome, with a 1-1 scoreline best reflecting their season-long averages and the recent head-to-head trend. Set-piece and discipline data suggest no major edge in secondary markets, and with both attacks struggling for fluency, a tight, attritional match is expected.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth that most previews miss.
- 1Fürth's away matches average 3.33 total goals, but their own away attack produces just 1.17 per game while conceding 2.17.
- 2Hannover's season clean sheet rate is just 9%, the lowest in the division, yet they've only failed to score in two of five home games.
- 3Three of the last five head-to-heads have ended in draws, with both teams scoring in four of those five.
Who do you think wins: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average just over a goal per game (Hannover 1.09, Fürth 1.18), have nearly identical defensive records, and the head-to-head has produced three 1-1 or 2-2 draws in the last five meetings.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Only 45% of Fürth's league matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams' recent matches have shown inconsistent attacking output with clean sheets and failed-to-score results cropping up.
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Double Chance: Hannover 96 or Draw
Hannover have lost just once at home in the league (W2 D2 L1), while Fürth have managed only one away win in six attempts, suggesting Hannover are marginally less likely to lose.
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More 2. Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction
Two sides level on points and goal difference meet in Hannover, each seeking separation from the crowded mid-table. Hannover's home record (2W, 2D, 1L, 7:6) is marginally steadier than Fürth's away (1W, 2D, 3L, 7:13), but neither side has found consistent results: both have just three wins from eleven league matches, and both have negative goal differences. Recent form is patchy—Hannover's last five in the league read W-D-W-L-L, Fürth's L-W-L-W-L, with both teams alternating between promising and flat performances. Statistically, the matchup is defined by low attacking output and leaky defences. Hannover average 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game, Fürth 1.18 scored and 1.73 conceded. Both are below the league median for clean sheet rate (Hannover 9%, Fürth 18%), but neither attack generates high shot volumes or conversion rates: Hannover's last five league games saw them average just 2 goals and 5 shots on target per match, Fürth just 1.2 goals and 2.2 shots on target. The head-to-head record is balanced (3W each, 4 draws in last 10), and three of the last five meetings ended level, often with both teams scoring. The model expects a tightly contested, low-scoring affair, with neither side likely to dominate. The most probable scenario is a 1-1 draw, reflecting both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates, their tendency to play close games, and the statistical symmetry across their home and away splits. Margins are thin, but the underlying numbers point to shared points and limited goalmouth action.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average just over one goal scored per game (Hannover 1.09, Fürth 1.18).
- →Three of the last five head-to-head meetings have ended in draws, often with both teams scoring.
Match Context
- →Hannover have lost just once at home in the league; Fürth have won only once away.
🚩 Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.2 corners for Hannover 96 and 6.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, for an expected total of 13.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (86%). Over 8.5: 92% · Over 10.5: 78%.
How Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hannover 96last 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SpVgg Greuther Fürthlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Hannover have taken five points from their last five league games, including a home win over Dresden and a draw at Heidenheim, but also suffered a cup exit and a heavy away defeat. Fürth's form is similarly uneven, alternating wins and losses in their last five, with a notable 3-0 defeat at Dresden and a narrow home win over Kiel. Both teams have struggled to build momentum, reflected in their identical league records.
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
The last ten head-to-heads are split evenly, with three wins each and four draws. Recent meetings have tended towards stalemates—three of the last five finished level, and both teams have scored in four of those. No side has dominated the series, and close, competitive matches are the norm.
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Hannover 96 wins
4
Draws
3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
Things to Watch: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis is limited.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent form is inconsistent, increasing variance around the mean.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hannover 96 1–1 SpVgg Greuther FürthA 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome, driven by both teams' season-long scoring rates (Hannover 1.09, Fürth 1.18) and a head-to-head history that favours stalemates. The main risk is a defensive lapse from either side—both have conceded 18+ goals already—which could tip the balance if one attack finds form.
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Common Questions
Who will win Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model gives Hannover a 36% chance of winning, Fürth a 30% chance, and a draw 34%. Both sides are statistically very close, with a draw the most likely single outcome.
Will both teams score in Hannover vs Fürth?
There's a 54% probability that both teams will score, reflecting their low clean sheet rates (Hannover 9%, Fürth 18%) and a head-to-head record where both sides have scored in seven of the last ten meetings.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Hannover vs Fürth?
The model estimates a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals. Fürth's matches have gone under this line in 55% of games, and both attacks have struggled for consistency, making the under slightly more likely.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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