Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Predictions
UEFA Europa League · World
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dinamo Zagreb Win
Match Result
6.4/10Hapoel Beer Sheva Held by Resolute Dinamo Zagreb in Goalless Europa League Stalemate
Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Rapid-Giulesti Stadium in Bucharest, as both sides opened their UEFA Europa League campaigns with a point apiece. The Israeli side dominated possession and carved out more opportunities, but were repeatedly frustrated by a disciplined Dinamo Zagreb defense and a lack of clinical finishing in the final third. Despite registering 15 shots and controlling 66% of the ball, Hapoel Beer Sheva could only muster two shots on target, while Dinamo Zagreb, content to sit deep and counter, threatened rarely with just one effort on target from their seven attempts. The match was characterized by Hapoel Beer Sheva's patient build-up play against a compact Croatian rearguard, with neither side able to find the breakthrough. Both managers stuck with their initial formations throughout, and the absence of cards or major flashpoints reflected a tactical, if somewhat cagey, encounter. Ultimately, a combination of defensive solidity and attacking inefficiency ensured the spoils were shared.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
12' — Chance
Pedro Amador surges forward and delivers a dangerous cross, but Igor Zlatanović heads wide.
28' — Save
Dominik Kotarski makes a comfortable stop from Zahi Ahmed's long-range effort.
53' — Chance
Javon East finds space in the box but drags his shot off target under pressure.
67' — Save
Ofir Marciano called into action to deny Dinamo's only shot on target, parrying a strike from Mislav Oršić.
80' — Blocked Shot
Miguel Vítor's header from a corner is blocked on the line by Niko Galešić.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva dominated the ball and dictated the tempo, but struggled to convert their territorial advantage into meaningful chances. Their 15 shots yielded just two on target, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in attack. The midfield trio worked hard to recycle possession and probe for openings, but Dinamo Zagreb's defensive discipline forced Beer Sheva into speculative efforts from distance or crowded areas. Defensively, Beer Sheva were rarely troubled, easily repelling Dinamo's sporadic counter-attacks. However, their inability to break down a well-organized opponent will be a concern as they look to progress from the group stage.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb executed a disciplined away performance, prioritizing defensive shape and organization. Lining up in a 4-1-4-1, they ceded possession but remained compact, frustrating Hapoel Beer Sheva and limiting them to few clear-cut chances. The back four, marshaled by Scott McKenna and Sergi Domínguez, dealt well with crosses and blocked numerous shots. Going forward, Dinamo offered little, managing only one shot on target and rarely threatening on the break. However, their ability to absorb pressure and maintain concentration earned them a valuable point on the road.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva set up in a 4-3-3, seeking to stretch Dinamo Zagreb with width and quick ball circulation. Their full-backs, particularly Pedro Amador, pushed high to provide overlapping support, while the midfield trio aimed to overload central areas. Despite their dominance in possession, Beer Sheva struggled to penetrate Dinamo's compact 4-1-4-1 block, often forced into recycling the ball or shooting from range. Dinamo Zagreb's tactical discipline was evident as they sat deep, congested the middle, and relied on Josip Mišić to screen the back four. Their transitions were limited, but when they did break, they looked to exploit space behind Beer Sheva's advanced full-backs, though with little end product. Both managers stuck with their initial shapes, and the absence of cards or tactical fouling underscored a contest defined by structure over risk.
Turning Point
Miguel Vítor's 80th-minute header cleared off the line by Niko Galešić — the closest either side came to a breakthrough.
Man of the Match
Scott McKenna
Commanded Dinamo Zagreb's defense, organizing the back line and making crucial interventions to preserve the clean sheet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Match Preview
Neither Hapoel Beer Sheva nor Dinamo Zagreb have settled into their domestic seasons, but recent form points to the away side carrying more attacking threat. Hapoel arrive off a heavy 1-4 home defeat and have conceded at least twice in three of their last five, while Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in four of five and have failed to score only once in that stretch. With both teams sitting mid-table in the early Europa League group, the incentive to start strongly is clear.
The statistical matchup is defined by Dinamo's offensive output: 19.8 shots and 1.8 goals per game over their last five, compared to Hapoel's 8.2 shots and 1.4 goals. Hapoel's defence has been porous, conceding 2.4 per match and keeping zero clean sheets, while Dinamo's only recent shutout came at home. Both teams have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and first-half goals are common—five for Dinamo, three for Hapoel in that span. Set-piece volume also favours Dinamo, with 6.6 corners per match.
Given these rates, the model expects an open game with Dinamo Zagreb's shot volume and attacking variety likely to create problems for Hapoel's defence. Hapoel's ability to find the net at home, despite their defensive issues, suggests a decent chance of both teams scoring. The likeliest scenario is a Dinamo Zagreb win in a match featuring at least two goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb that most previews miss.
- 1Dinamo Zagreb have averaged nearly 20 shots per game in their last five, more than double Hapoel Beer Sheva's 8.2.
- 2Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, with an average combined goals per game of 3.2.
- 3Hapoel Beer Sheva have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
Who do you think wins: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dinamo Zagreb Win
Dinamo Zagreb average 1.8 goals scored and 19.8 shots per game over their last five, while Hapoel Beer Sheva have conceded 2.4 per match in the same span. The away side's attacking volume and Hapoel's defensive frailty tilt the probability towards Dinamo.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen four of their last five matches finish with BTTS, and their combined last-5 average goals per game is 3.2, supporting a moderate goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in four of the last five for both sides, and neither has posted more than one clean sheet in that span.
More UEFA Europa League Predictions
The Case For This Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction
Dinamo Zagreb's attacking metrics stand out against a Hapoel Beer Sheva side that has struggled defensively in recent matches. The Croatian side's shot volume and consistent scoring suggest they are equipped to exploit Hapoel's vulnerabilities, though both teams' recent tendency to concede points to a competitive, open contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →BTTS has occurred in four of the last five matches for both sides.
Attack
- →Dinamo Zagreb average 19.8 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match over their last five games.
Defence
- →Hapoel Beer Sheva have conceded 2.4 goals per match across their last five, with no clean sheets.
🚩 Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 5.2 for Dinamo Zagreb, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hapoel Beer Shevalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dinamo Zagreblast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent form is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two heavy defeats in their last five, conceding 12 goals in that stretch. Dinamo Zagreb have been more consistent, losing just once in five and scoring in every match, underpinned by high shot volumes and strong possession figures.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
These sides have met twice before, with Dinamo Zagreb winning 5-0 at home and drawing 2-2 away in 2018. Both encounters featured at least four goals, and Dinamo have never lost to Hapoel Beer Sheva in European competition.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
2
Draws
1
Dinamo Zagreb wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
With bookmaker odds unavailable, no explicit value edges can be identified. However, the model's probabilities suggest the market should lean towards Dinamo Zagreb and a moderate goal total, given the underlying shot and goal rates. Any odds offering over 2.10 on Dinamo or above evens for over 2.5 goals would merit close inspection.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
- ⚠️No season-long home/away splits available due to lack of league data; all rates based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️Both teams are early in their domestic campaigns, increasing uncertainty around true defensive and attacking baselines.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–2 Dinamo ZagrebThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Dinamo Zagreb, with their 19.8 shots per game and Hapoel's 2.4 goals conceded per match the decisive factors. The most plausible risk is Hapoel's home attack finding early success against a Dinamo defence that has also conceded regularly, pushing the match towards a high-scoring draw.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Common Questions
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb are favoured with a 47% probability of victory, compared to 25% for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 28% for the draw. Dinamo's attacking metrics and Hapoel's defensive record drive this edge.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58%, supported by the fact that BTTS has landed in four of the last five matches for both sides and neither has kept more than one clean sheet recently.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?
There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' recent combined average of 3.2 goals per game and their tendency to concede regularly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Resources
Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions
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Dinamo Zagreb Predictions
All Dinamo Zagreb fixtures & tips
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Stats
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UEFA Europa League Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results