Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Hassania Agadir
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
FAR Rabat
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 6.5(+12% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.30
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
20%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 6.5
The model assigns a 27% chance to over 2.5 goals, while the odds imply just 15.4%, creating a positive value edge despite the low overall goal expectation. FAR Rabat's attack is capable, and Hassania Agadir's defense is leaky, so a small stake on a higher-scoring outlier is justified.
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Match Result: FAR Rabat Win@ 1.22
FAR Rabat are undefeated this season, have a strong away record, and have dominated H2H. The model probability (69%) is slightly above the implied probability (82%), so value is marginal, but the likelihood of an away win is high.
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The Case For This Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Prediction
This fixture pits a struggling Hassania Agadir against a title-chasing FAR Rabat. The visitors are unbeaten in the league and boast the best defensive record, while Agadir have struggled for consistency and have one of the leakiest defenses. Recent H2H history is heavily in FAR Rabat's favor, and the underlying stats suggest they should control the match, likely keeping a clean sheet and securing a comfortable win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →FAR Rabat have won 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including the last 5 away to Agadir.
Attack
- →Hassania Agadir's home form is poor (3W 2D 4L), and they average just 0.89 goals scored per game.
Defence
- →FAR Rabat are unbeaten in 19 league matches (W9 D10 L0), with just 9 goals conceded all season.
- →Hassania Agadir have just 5 wins in 19, with a -10 goal difference and only 21% clean sheets.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
How Hassania Agadir and FAR Rabat Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
FAR Rabatlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadir have managed just one win in their last five matches (DWLDL), conceding heavily and showing defensive frailty, especially in their 0-4 loss to Maghreb Fès. In contrast, FAR Rabat remain unbeaten in their last five (DDWDD), with a strong defense conceding less than a goal per game and a solid away record.
Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +63.16% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in FAR Rabat's favor, with 8 wins in the last 10 meetings and several multi-goal victories, including a 3-0 away win in the reverse fixture. Hassania Agadir have not beaten Rabat at home since 2024, and most matches have seen Rabat keep Agadir to one or zero goals.
Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Hassania Agadir wins
0
Draws
8
FAR Rabat wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
The biggest value edge is on over 2.5 goals due to the high odds (6.5) versus a moderate model probability (27%), making it a worthwhile small-stake risk. The away win is likely but offers limited value at current odds. Draw and BTTS markets offer negative value, so are best avoided.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
- ⚠️Goal and shot data for recent matches is incomplete, adding uncertainty to attack/defense projections.
- ⚠️FAR Rabat draw frequently (10/19), so the away win is not a lock despite dominance.
- ⚠️Agadir occasionally score at home and have 4 BTTS in last 5, so a Rabat clean sheet is not assured.
- ⚠️Low odds on away win limit value; over 2.5 is high risk but value-positive.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.