Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
Heart Of Midlothian
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Rangers
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.73(+7% edge)
Recommended Bets: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: Match Preview
Hearts return to Tynecastle after a bruising 1-7 defeat away to Celtic, a result that snapped any momentum from their earlier 5-0 demolition of St Mirren. Their home record remains immaculate with four wins from four, conceding just twice at Tynecastle, but the defensive frailty shown in recent away games (11 conceded in five) is a mounting concern. Rangers, meanwhile, have surged into second place with a five-match unbeaten streak (DWWWW), including an impressive 1-0 win away at Celtic and a 3-1 home victory over Kilmarnock. Their attack is firing (10 goals in last five) and the defence has kept three clean sheets in that span, suggesting a side playing close to its ceiling.
The tactical battle will likely hinge on whether Hearts can rediscover their defensive organisation at home. They average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over the last five, but at Tynecastle have been far more secure (just 2 conceded in 4). Rangers’ away record is formidable (3W, 2D, 7-4 goal difference), and they are averaging 16 shots and 7.2 on target per match over their last five. Both teams have failed to score just once in their last ten combined matches, and Hearts’ matches are league-high for over 2.5 goals (88.9%).
The model expects Rangers’ momentum and defensive discipline to edge a high-intensity contest, but Hearts’ home scoring threat means the visitors will likely need to score at least twice to win. Expect an open first half—both sides have scored five or more first-half goals in their last five—and a result that rewards the more clinical side in transition.
How Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Heart Of Midlothianlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rangerslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rangers arrive in Edinburgh on a five-match unbeaten run, collecting four wins and a draw while conceding just three goals. Hearts, by contrast, have stumbled with only one win in their last five, including a heavy 1-7 defeat at Celtic. Momentum is firmly with the visitors, though Hearts’ home form remains a potential equaliser.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 88.89% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers that most previews miss.
- 1Hearts’ matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 league games (88.9%), the highest in the league.
- 2Rangers are unbeaten away this season (3W, 2D), conceding just four goals in five trips.
- 3Both sides have scored in four of Hearts’ last five matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of their combined last ten.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
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The Case For This Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Prediction
Momentum is the story here: Rangers arrive at Tynecastle riding a five-match unbeaten run, while Hearts are licking wounds from a heavy defeat. The visitors’ defensive discipline and recent away scalps give them the edge, but Hearts’ home record and attacking intent mean this should be far from routine.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Hearts perfect at home (4W, 13-2 goal difference), but Rangers unbeaten away (3W, 2D).
Defence
- →Rangers unbeaten in last five (DWWWW), conceding only three goals.
- →Hearts have conceded 11 in last five matches, including a 1-7 loss to Celtic.
Where the Model Sees Value: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.73
Both sides have scored at least once in all of their last five matches, with Hearts averaging 1.8 goals for and 2.2 against, and Rangers at 2.0 for and just 0.6 against. Hearts’ matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 league games (88.9%), and Rangers’ attack is in form with 10 goals in their last five outings.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Rangers Win@ 2.11
Rangers are unbeaten in their last five (DWWWW), conceding just three goals and winning away at Celtic, while Hearts arrive off a 1-7 thrashing and have conceded 11 in their last five. The away side’s momentum and defensive solidity tilt the probabilities in their favour.
Read more ↓
More Premiership Predictions
🚩 Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Heart Of Midlothian and 5 for Rangers, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
What History Says: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
Rangers have won five of the last ten meetings, but Hearts have claimed the last two encounters at Tynecastle by 2-1 scorelines. Only one of the last ten finished goalless, and both teams have scored in four of the last seven, suggesting a competitive and open fixture.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Heart Of Midlothian wins
2
Draws
5
Rangers wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
The model finds the most value in the over 2.5 goals market, where the probability (62%) outpaces the implied odds (57.8%). There’s also a small edge on Rangers to win at 2.10, with the model’s 49% probability slightly above the market. Both teams to score is efficiently priced, offering minimal value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
- ⚠️Hearts’ home form is flawless so far, which could blunt Rangers’ momentum.
- ⚠️Recent heavy defeat for Hearts may provoke a tactical shift or reaction.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but starting lineups are not yet available.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 RangersRangers’ recent form—ten points from the last twelve and a defence conceding just 0.6 goals per game—makes them favourites to edge this, despite Hearts’ perfect home record. The single strongest signal is Hearts’ defensive collapse away from home (11 conceded in five), suggesting Rangers will find joy if they maintain their current attacking output. The main risk is Hearts’ proven ability to raise their level at Tynecastle, where they have already beaten Rangers twice in a row.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: Common Questions
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
Rangers are favoured with a 49% probability to win, compared to 24% for Hearts and 27% for the draw. The visitors’ unbeaten run and defensive form tip the balance, but Hearts’ strong home record keeps things close.
Will both teams score in Hearts vs Rangers?
There’s a 60% probability for both teams to score, with Hearts seeing BTTS in four of their last five and Rangers scoring in every away match this season.
Can Hearts bounce back after their 1-7 defeat to Celtic?
Hearts have been strong at home (4 wins from 4), but their recent defensive issues—11 goals conceded in five—raise questions. The model gives them a 24% chance to win, so a reaction is possible but the odds favour Rangers’ momentum.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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