Hebburn Town vs Marine Predictions
National League - North · England
Hebburn Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Marine
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Hebburn Town vs Marine
Hebburn Town vs Marine: Match Preview
Hebburn Town and Marine meet in a clash between two sides separated by a single point in the National League North table, with both hovering just above the relegation zone. Hebburn's recent form is a concern: they've failed to win in five, losing three and conceding 12 goals in that span, while Marine arrive on the back of a 3-1 away win at Scarborough Athletic, their third away victory of the season. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but Marine's slightly better away record (3 wins from 8) and recent attacking output give them a marginal momentum edge.
The underlying numbers point to a match with attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. Hebburn's home games average nearly 3 goals per match (12 scored, 11 conceded in 8), and Marine's away fixtures are even more open, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded in 8. Neither side has managed a clean sheet in their last five league outings, and both average 1.33 goals scored per game across the season. Marine's away attack has shown a knack for early goals, with four first-half strikes in their last five, while Hebburn have conceded heavily in both halves.
Given these rates, the model expects a high-probability goal environment, with both teams likely to score and Marine's away attack having the edge. Hebburn's defensive record, especially at home, makes them vulnerable to Marine's direct style, and the most probable outcome is a narrow Marine win in a match featuring multiple goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hebburn Town vs Marine Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hebburn Town vs Marine that most previews miss.
- 1Hebburn Town have kept just 1 clean sheet in 15 league matches (6.7%), the lowest rate among the mid-table sides.
- 2Marine's away games average 3.5 total goals per match (14 scored, 14 conceded in 8).
- 3Both teams have failed to score in only 1 of their last 5 league matches, supporting a high BTTS probability.
Who do you think wins: Hebburn Town vs Marine?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hebburn Town vs Marine(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average 1.33 goals scored per game this season, with Hebburn conceding 1.87 and Marine 1.33, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of Hebburn's matches and 53% of Marine's.
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Match Result: Marine Win
Marine's away attack (14 goals in 8 away games) faces a Hebburn defence conceding 1.87 per game, and Marine have won 3 of 8 away, while Hebburn are winless in their last five.
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More National League - North Predictions
The Case For This Hebburn Town vs Marine Prediction
This is a lower mid-table clash between two sides with nearly identical records, but diverging recent form and defensive profiles. Hebburn Town have slipped to 15th after a five-match winless run, conceding 12 goals in that span, while Marine sit just below in 16th but come off a morale-boosting 3-1 away win and have produced 14 away goals this campaign. Both teams have struggled for clean sheets, with Hebburn managing just one all season and Marine only two, contributing to a high rate of over 2.5 goal matches. Statistically, the matchup tilts towards goals. Hebburn's home games average 2.88 goals (12 for, 11 against in 8), while Marine's away fixtures are even more open at 3.5 per game (14 for, 14 against in 8). Both teams have seen BTTS in 3+ of their last 5, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that period. Marine's attack has been more consistent away from home, and their last outing saw three first-half goals, suggesting a propensity to start quickly. Set piece and discipline data is limited, but Marine's last five include a red card and 0.6 yellows per game, while Hebburn have been relatively disciplined. The model expects Marine's sharper away attack and Hebburn's defensive frailty to shape the contest. With both sides averaging over 1.3 goals scored per game and conceding at a similar clip, the likeliest scenario is a high-scoring affair with Marine edging it, especially given Hebburn's recent home struggles and Marine's ability to score on the road.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hebburn have conceded 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches, with no clean sheets in that span.
- →Marine have scored 14 goals in 8 away games (1.75 per game), while Hebburn have conceded 11 in 8 home matches (1.38 per game).
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in more than half their matches (Hebburn 60%, Marine 53%).
How Hebburn Town and Marine Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hebburn Town vs Marine Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Hebburn Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Marinelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hebburn Town are winless in their last five league matches (LDDLL), conceding 12 and scoring just 4 in that stretch. Marine's form is patchy but includes a recent 3-1 away win, and they've scored in 4 of their last 5, suggesting more attacking stability than their hosts.
Hebburn Town vs Marine — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Things to Watch: Hebburn Town vs Marine
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams at this level.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot, possession, and set piece data limits the ability to assess tactical matchups beyond scoring/conceding rates.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value calculations are model-only and not actionable for betting.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hebburn Town 1–2 MarineThe model projects a 2-1 win for Marine, driven primarily by their away scoring rate of 1.75 goals per game and Hebburn's defensive slide (2.4 conceded per game in their last five). The biggest risk to this forecast is Hebburn stabilising at home, where they've still won half their matches, or Marine's inconsistency on the road resurfacing.
Hebburn Town vs Marine: Common Questions
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Marine?
Marine are given a 40% chance of victory compared to Hebburn Town's 28%, with the draw at 32%. Marine's stronger away attack and Hebburn's defensive struggles tilt the probabilities in the visitors' favour.
Will both teams score in Hebburn Town vs Marine?
Both teams to score is rated at 59%, as neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five and both average over 1.3 goals scored per game this season.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hebburn Town vs Marine?
Over 2.5 goals is a 61% probability, with Hebburn's matches going over that line 60% of the time and Marine's at 53%, supported by their recent high-scoring trends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hebburn Town vs Marine: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Marine Predictions
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Hebburn Town vs Marine Stats
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National League - North Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results