Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
3. Liga3. Liga · Germany
high confidence
Hoffenheim II

Hoffenheim II

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Preußen Münster

Preußen Münster

🗓️ Saturday, 21 Nov 2026 at 14:00 CET (venue time) · 13:00 UTC (your time)📍 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim

Win Probability (1X2)

Hoffenheim II 44%Draw 30%Preußen Münster 26%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Recommended Bets: Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS: Yes
6/10

Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster: Match Preview

Hoffenheim II enter this fixture 9th in the 3. Liga, having won two of their last five but with a patchy WLLWL form string. Their home record is positive (3W, 1D, 2L, 12:8 goals), suggesting a slight advantage at Dietmar-Hopp Stadion. Preußen Münster, sitting 14th, have lost four of their last five and are yet to draw away from home, with a concerning 9:13 away goal record and just two wins from six on the road.

From a statistical perspective, both sides are above league average for goals: Hoffenheim II average 1.69 scored and 1.54 conceded per game, while Preußen Münster are at 1.62 scored and 1.92 conceded. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 61.5% of Hoffenheim II matches and a league-high 76.9% for Preußen Münster. Clean sheets are rare on both sides (23% home, 8% away), and both teams have averaged over 13 shots and nearly 5 on target per game in their last five. Cards are likely, with both averaging more than 2.5 yellows per match recently.

The model expects a game with multiple goals, with Hoffenheim II’s stronger home attack and Preußen Münster’s defensive frailty tipping the balance. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 or 2-2 scoreline, with both teams finding the net. The main risk is the volatility in both teams’ recent form, but the underlying rates point to a home edge in a high-scoring contest.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Hoffenheim II1.75

Expected goals · model says 1.75

Preußen Münster1.35

Expected goals · model says 1.35

Win Probability
Hoffenheim II 47% Draw 23% Preußen Münster 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

61%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
44%
30%
26%
Hoffenheim II 44%Draw 30%Preußen Münster 26%
Both Teams to Score
60%
40%
Yes 60%No 40%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
47%
53%
Over 9.5 47%Under 9.5 53%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster that most previews miss.

  • 1Preußen Münster have kept just one clean sheet in 13 matches (7.7%), the lowest rate in the league.
  • 2Over 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of Preußen Münster’s 13 games (76.9%), compared to the league average of 56%.
  • 3Hoffenheim II’s home matches average 3.33 total goals (12 scored, 8 conceded in 6 games).

Who do you think wins: Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More 3. Liga Predictions

The Case For This Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster Prediction

Statistically, this is a mid-table 3. Liga clash between two sides with similar offensive output but a clear edge to the home side in defensive stability and home performance. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches and rarely keep clean sheets, but Hoffenheim II’s home record and slightly better defensive numbers give them the edge.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Both teams' last 5 matches average 3.0 total goals, with BTTS in 7 of those 10 combined games.

Attack

  • →Hoffenheim II average 2.0 goals scored per home match and have lost just 2 of 6 at Dietmar-Hopp Stadion.

Defence

  • →Preußen Münster have the lowest clean sheet rate in the league (7.7%), conceding 1.92 goals per game.

🚩 Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.4expected total corners
Over 47%
Under 53%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Hoffenheim II and 5 for Preußen Münster, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Hoffenheim II and Preußen Münster Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim IIlast 5 matches
Yasin ZorXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Jakov DedicXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. Sprangersub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münsterlast 5 matches
F. HiglXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Antonio TikvićXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Montell Ndikomsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Charalampos MakridisXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Hoffenheim II have alternated wins and losses in their last five, most recently beating Würzburger Kickers away but losing three of the previous four. Preußen Münster have struggled for results, losing four of their last five and conceding at least twice in three of those games, highlighting a defensive vulnerability.

Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster — Last 10 Matches

Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim IILast 10 results
W1-0
L0-1
L1-4
W2-1
L2-3
L2-3
W1-0
W2-1
D2-2
L0-1
W@ Würzburger Kickers1-0
Lvs FC Viktoria Köln0-1
L@ Waldhof Mannheim1-4
Wvs Verl2-1
L@ Stuttgart II2-3
L@ MSV Duisburg2-3
Wvs SV Meppen1-0
W@ FC Ingolstadt 042-1
Dvs Fortuna Köln2-2
L@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0-1

Strengths

  • +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Preußen MünsterPreußen MünsterLast 10 results
L1-2
L1-2
W1-0
L2-3
L1-2
D3-3
L0-2
D3-3
W2-1
W2-1
Lvs MSV Duisburg1-2
L@ Alemannia Aachen1-2
Wvs Fortuna Köln1-0
L@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-3
Lvs Fortuna Düsseldorf1-2
Dvs Rot-Weiß Essen3-3
L@ Waldhof Mannheim0-2
Dvs FC Saarbrücken3-3
W@ Stuttgart II2-1
Wvs Havelse2-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season

Concerns

  • −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form

Things to Watch: Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data is available, so historical matchup trends cannot be factored.
  • ⚠️Odds data is missing, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Both teams' recent form is volatile, increasing the variance in outcome probabilities.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Hoffenheim II 2–1 Preußen Münster

The model predicts a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim II, driven by Preußen Münster’s league-worst clean sheet rate and high concession average. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Hoffenheim II’s own defensive lapses resurface, opening the door to a high-scoring draw or away win.

Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster: Common Questions

Who will win Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster?

Hoffenheim II are modelled as 44% likely to win, with a 30% chance of a draw and 26% for Preußen Münster. The home side’s stronger defensive record and better home form give them the edge.

Will both teams score in Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster?

There’s a 60% probability of both teams scoring, with BTTS landing in 7 of the last 10 combined games and both sides rarely keeping clean sheets.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster?

Yes, the model gives a 62% chance for over 2.5 goals, with both teams’ matches seeing high scoring rates (Hoffenheim II 61.5%, Preußen Münster 76.9% over 2.5).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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